The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head north to Orchard Park for a cold, rain-soaked showdown with the Buffalo Bills in Week 11. Both teams enter the matchup with playoff implications and heavy fantasy relevance. Using FantasyPros’ consensus rankings, this breakdown examines the offensive outlook for both squads: highlighting trends, consistency, and how weather could redefine fantasy expectations.
From top-tier starters to deep-league streamers, every offensive role in this game carries a storyline worth watching.
Weather Outlook
Sunday’s forecast in Buffalo calls for steady rain and temperatures in the low 40s °F (5–7 °C). Slick field conditions should slow vertical passing and emphasize short-yard execution. Both offenses are expected to pivot toward run-heavy scripts and quick-timing throws, making precision and balance the keys to production rather than explosive plays.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Offensive Snapshot
Tampa Bay’s attack has settled behind Baker Mayfield, who averages 18.4 half-PPR points per week with one of the lowest volatility profiles among fantasy QB2s. The receiving corps now runs through Emeka Egbuka (126.6 points, 14.1 ppg), who becomes even more vital with Chris Godwin (doubtful, lower-leg) and Mike Evans (IR) sidelined. Rachaad White maintains lead-back duties and dominates passing-down usage, giving him game-script proof RB2 value in half-PPR formats. Tez Johnson has quietly carved out a flexible role, and Cade Otton remains a steady safety valve in two-tight-end sets.
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Mayfield has logged seven straight games between 17 and 23 points. Egbuka has hit double digits in six of nine contests. Otton provides a stable 6-plus point floor each week. White’s dual-threat role keeps him matchup-relevant in bad weather.
Injury Report
Bucky Irving (RB, Shoulder) — Questionable
Irving was seen back at practice but for now White is the RB1 with Tucker taking the vulture RB2 role.
Chris Godwin (WR, Lower Leg) — Doubtful
target tree condenses toward Egbuka Johnson and Otton.
Mike Evans (WR, Collarbone) — On IRÂ
Even with injuries, Tampa’s offensive nucleus, Mayfield, White, and Egbuka, remains intact and primed for volume-driven fantasy output.
Buffalo Bills: Offensive Snapshot
Buffalo’s offensive engine still runs through Josh Allen, who leads the matchup with 209.7 half-PPR points (23.3 ppg). His rushing usage and red-zone dominance preserve a solid QB1 floor. James Cook ranks second on the roster (153.4 pts, 17 ppg) and continues to deliver steady RB2 returns with three 20-plus outings. Dalton Kincaid has flashed ceiling potential as his route share rises, while Khalil Shakir has quietly become the most consistent wideout. Rookie Keon Coleman remains a weekly enigma but is worth a thought if you are in desperate need of a FLEX option in week 11.
Trends & Consistency
Allen has not fallen below 17 points since Week 3. Cook provides the steadiest non-QB floor in the matchup. Shakir owns four double-digit weeks in his last six. Kincaid’s red-zone usage continues to climb.
Injury Report
Dalton Kincaid (TE, Hamstring) — Questionable.
The Dawson Knox and Jackson Hawes duo would share the workload if Kincaid ends up sitting out of the game.
Josh Palmer (WR, Knee) — Questionable
Despite the injuries, Buffalo’s fantasy nucleus: Allen, Cook, Shakir, remains fully operational heading into Week 11.
Fantasy Takeaway
Cold rain and shallow footing suggest a grind-it-out style game, where efficiency takes precedence over explosiveness. Expect the Bills’ core of Allen and Cook to control tempo, while Egbuka and White headline Tampa’s volume-based fantasy hopes. Managers should prepare for modest yardage totals but steady half-PPR floors from each team’s primary options.
BUF Josh Allen QB1TB Baker Mayfield QB8BUF James Cook III RB6TB Rachaad White RB22TB Sean Tucker RB39BUF Ty Johnson RB50TB Emeka Egbuka WR9BUF Khalil Shakir WR31TB Tez Johnson WR32BUF Keon Coleman WR44TB Cade Otton TE10BUF Dwason Knox TE35