The NC State Wolfpack (5-4, 2-3 ACC) and No. 16 Miami Hurricanes (7-2, 3-2) meet in an ACC showdown Saturday afternoon. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA football odds around the NC State vs. Miami odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Wolfpack took down the then-undefeated No. 12 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 48-36 on Nov. 1, having a Week 11 bye. They covered as a 5.5-point home underdog as the Over (58) cashed. NC State snapped a 2-game losing streak with the victory. It is just 2-4 over its last 6 contests and has gone 4-5 against the spread (ATS).

The Hurricanes throttled the Syracuse Orange 38-10 Saturday, failing to cover as a 28.5-point favorite as the Over (46.5) hit. Miami has traded off winning and losing over its last 5 games, going 2-3 ATS. It is led by former Georgia Bulldogs QB Carson Beck, who has 2,194 passing yards and 16 total TDs.

NC State ended a 5-game losing streak in the series with a 20-6 in the last meeting (2023). Miami leads the all-time series 11-6-1.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Watch NCAA football on Fubo!NC State at Miami odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:23 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): NC State +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Miami -650 (bet $650 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): NC State +15.5 (-110) | Miami -15.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -102 | U: -118)NC State at Miami picks and predictionsPrediction

Miami 35, NC State 24

PASS.

Avoid this wager. Miami (-650) should win easily at home, but is far too expensive to consider here.

BET NC STATE +15.5 (-110).

The Hurricanes should win, but they haven’t dominated opponents over the last few games. They are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games with a double-digit spread and are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3 home games. Miami’s offense has been the problem, scoring more than 28 points just twice in the last 6 games. Those issues should limit how far it can pull away.

Of note, the Wolfpack have scored 82 points over their last 2 games and have tallied at least 33 points in a game 6 times this season. They should have the firepower to keep this close. Back NC STATE +15.5 (-110).

BET OVER 55.5 (-102).

The NC State defense has been terrible over the past few weeks, allowing 89 points over its last 2 games and giving up at least 36 points in its last 3 contests. The Wolfpack are 6-3 O/U.

The Hurricanes are 2-1 O/U in their last 3 games and are 4-3 O/U at home. Their defense has left something to be desired as well, allowing at least 22 points in 3 of their last 5 performances.

Considering those defensive trends on both sides, expect points to come easy and back OVER 55.5 (-102).

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