Dyllan Furness, College of Marine Science

For the first time and with help from artificial intelligence, researchers have conducted
a comprehensive study of global floating algae and found that blooms are expanding
across the ocean. These trends are likely the result of changes to ocean temperature,
currents, and nutrients, according to the authors, and could have a significant impact
on marine life, tourism, and coastal economies.

Led by researchers at the University of South Florida (USF) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the study demonstrates the power of artificial intelligence as a tool for
processing large amounts of ocean data.

“While regional studies have been published, our paper gives the first global picture
of floating algae, including macroalgal mats and microalgal scum,” said Chuanmin Hu, professor of oceanography at the USF College of Marine Science and senior author
of the paper published this week in Nature Communications. “Our results show that the global ocean now favors the growth of floating macroalgae.”

Read more: USF experts lead on sargassum research, monitoring, and prediction

Hu refers to macroalgae, such as seaweed, as a double-edged sword. In open water,
they can provide critical habitat for marine life and have a positive impact on fisheries,
serving as a nursery for many species. But once the algae reach coastal waters, the
decaying biomass can cause considerable harm to tourism, economies, and the health
of people and marine life.

Between 2003 and 2022, both microalgal scum and macroalgal mats expanded around the
globe. Microalgae on the ocean surface saw a modest but significant increase of one
percent per year. However, blooms of macroalgae increased by 13.4 percent per year
in the tropical Atlantic and western Pacific, the authors found, with the most dramatic
increase in biomass occurring after 2008. The cumulative size of these macroalgal
blooms reached 43.8 million square kilometers (16.9 million square miles), breaking
with historic trends.

The tipping points for macroalgae blooms occurred around 2010. The first major bloom
of the green seaweed known as Ulva happened in the Yellow Sea in 2008. A significant bloom of the brown seaweed Sargassum took place in the tropical Atlantic in 2011. Another Sargassum bloom occurred in the East China Sea in 2012.

“Before 2008, there were no major blooms of macroalgae reported except for sargassum
in the Sargasso Sea,” Hu said. “On a global scale, we appear to be witnessing a regime
shift from a macroalgae-poor ocean to an macroalgae-rich ocean.”

Read more: Study reveals dramatic decline in some historic sargassum populations

To conduct the study, Hu and his colleagues used artificial intelligence to scan 1.2
million satellite images of the ocean, focusing on 13 zones and five types of algae.
They trained a deep-learning model to spot features that signal the presence of algae
floating on the ocean surface. In most cases, these features appear across many image
pixels, but they typically comprise less than one percent of each pixel.

Lin Qi, an oceanographer at the NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research and first author of the study, updated a computer model previously developed by the
same research team to analyze 20 years of images from the global ocean. It took several
months and millions of image features to train Qi’s model.

The authors credit USF’s Research Computing department for its critical role in the
study. The facility provided access to high-performance infrastructure that processed
multiple groups of images simultaneously. Even still, it took several months to process
and analyze the 1.2 million satellite images.

“This work is impossible without the high-performance computing facility or the long-term
collaborations between NOAA and USF,” Qi said.

The study attributed the bloom expansions to both human activities, such as nutrient
runoff into the ocean, and climate variability, such as ocean warming, while acknowledging
that the reasons may differ among regions. Looking forward, Qi said, “we are going
to explore more satellite data and look for better understanding of the expansions.”