March 3, 2026, 11:51 p.m. ET
The No. 22 Miami Hurricanes (23-6, 12-4) visit the SMU Mustangs (19-10, 8-8) Wednesday. Tip-off at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas, is at 7 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Miami vs. SMU odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
Miami has won back-to-back games and 6 of its last 7 after dominating the Boston College Eagles 76-54 Saturday, covering as a 15.5-point home favorite with the Under (143.5) hitting. G Tre Donaldson scored a team-high 15 points, while C Ernest Udeh Jr. added a double-double (11 points, 12 rebounds).
SMU has dropped back-to-back games after losing 95-75 against the Stanford Cardinal Saturday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point road underdog with the Over (155.5) hitting. G Boopie Miller scored a team-high 26 points, and G Jaron Pierre Jr. added 21 in the stunning loss.
SMU and Miami met on the basketball court for the first time last season with the Mustangs winning 117-74.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
Watch NCAA basketball on Fubo!Miami at SMU odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:43 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Miami +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | SMU -125 (bet $125 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Miami +1.5 (-110) | SMU -1.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Miami at SMU picks and predictionsPrediction
Miami 77, SMU 74
BET MIAMI (+105).
The Hurricanes are 7-2 on the road and 8-2 in their last 10 games overall, including 4-1 on the road. They have played well in conference play, with a 12-4 ACC record, while their opponents have dropped 8 of their 16 conference games. The Mustangs tend to play better at home, but coming off back-to-back losses and 3 losses in their last 5 overall, the visitors have the advantage.
PASS.
There is better value on the Hurricanes to win outright.
BET UNDER 160.5 (-110).
The Hurricanes have scored 77 or fewer points in 5 of their last 7 games, while allowing 73 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and 5 of their last 7. They have the Under in 4 of their last 6.
The Mustangs have scored 75 or fewer in back-to-back games, and 78 or fewer in 3 of their last 5. They have allowed 73 or fewer in 2 of their last 3.
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