The Louisville Cardinals and Miami Hurricanes will face each other on Saturday afternoon with the No. 2 seed in the ACC Tournament on the line. If Miami wins, they’ll finish with the same record as Louisville, but they’ll finish in second place due to the head-to-head record.
The winner will also further boost its resume for the upcoming NCAA Tournament.
Let’s dive into the odds and my best bet for this regular season finale.
Louisville vs. Miami Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread
Louisville -0.5 (-110)Miami +0.5 (-110)
Moneyline
Louisville -110Miami -110
Total
OVER 157.5 (-110)UNDER 157.5 (-110)Louisville vs. Miami How to WatchDate: Saturday, March 7Game Time: 2:00 pm ETVenue: Watsco CenterHow to Watch (TV): ESPNULouisville Record: 21-9 (10-7 in ACC)Miami Record: 24-6 (13-4 in ACC)Louisville vs. Miami Betting TrendsLouisville is 1-4 ATS in its last five gamesLouisville is 0-5 ATS in its last five road gamesThe UNDER is 4-2 in Louisville’s last six gamesMiami is 6-1 ATS in its last seven gamesThe OVER is 8-4 in the last 12 games between these two teamsLouisville vs. Miami Key Player to WatchMalik Reneau, F – Miami Hurricanes
Malik Reneau is leading Miami in scoring, averaging 19.1 points per game, along with 6.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists. He’s also shooting 55.9% from the field. He hasn’t had his best stuff of late, scoring a combined 22 points in his last two games. They need him to have a bounce-back performance this afternoon.
Louisville vs. Miami Prediction and Pick
The overall shooting and defensive numbers are extremely similar, but Louisville has a significant stylistic advantage. What I mean by that is that what Louisville does offensively can attack where Miami is weak defensively.
Louisville has one of the highest three-point shot rates in the country; meanwhile, the Hurricanes rank 246th in opponent three-point field goal percentage, allowing teams to shoot 35% from beyond the arc. If Miami can’t defend the perimeter, Louisville is going to win this game.
Pick: Louisville -110
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You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!