April 12, 2026, 7:10 a.m. ET

The New York Yankees (8-6) and Tampa Bay Rays (7-7) clash Sunday as they cap off a 3-game AL East series in Tampa, Florida. The first pitch from Tropicana Field will be a 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-0

The Yankees had been solid early this season, but they have lost the first 2 games of this series and have now stumbled in 4 consecutive games. New York lost Friday’s game 5-3 and lost Saturday’s game 5-4 in 10 innings.

Tampa Bay, which was a +144 underdog Saturday, is 5-2 across its last 7 games. The Rays leapfrogged New York in Saturday’s 10th frame — they turned a 3-3 tie through 9 into a 5-4 triumph in a 2-for-1 10th inning.

Watch MLB on Fubo!Yankees at Rays projected starters

RHP Cam Schlittler vs. RHP Drew Rasmussen

Schlittler (2-0, 1.62 ERA) is making his fourth start. He owns a 0.48 WHIP, 0.0 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 16 2/3 innigs.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 5-3 win vs. Athletics TuesdayCareer vs. Rays (regular season): 0-1, 2.45 ERA (11 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 6 BB, 13 K in 2 startsLast start vs. Tampa: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 1 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 6-4 loss at Tampa Aug. 20, 2025

Rasmussen (0-0, 1.80 ERA) is making his third start. He has a 0.70 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 10 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 8-2 loss at Milwaukee Brewers April 1Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 3-1, 1.19 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 24 H, 9 BB, 44 KExpected to return from the paternity list for this startYankees at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -146 (bet $146 to win $100) | Rays +126 (bet $100 to win $126)Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+114) | Rays +1.5 (-137)Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Rays picks and predictionsPrediction

Yankees 4, Rays 3

New York won 9 of 13 meetings with Tampa last season. The Yankees are 2-0 in road-series finales thus far this season.

The Yanks have lost 6 games and 5 of those have been by 1-run margins. Schlittler’s stuff is very much for real. He’s missing bats and keeping a wraps on hard contact.

The first 2 games of this set have seen the Yankees go 2 for 16 (.125) with runners in scoring position while the Rays have gone 7 for 18 (.389).

Peg the value meter here as tilting — slightly — toward the YANKEES (-146).

No interest; PASS.

The last 7 New York road games have seen the Under go 5-2. The Under is 3-1 across the last 4 New York-at-Tampa games.

If Rasmussen goes for the Rays, his 10-day layoff is a wild-card factor. But the lefty does have a strong history when it comes to starts on 6-plus days’ rest (1.73 ERA in 19 career starts).

Tampa owns a mere .642 OPS at home; New York has registered a .647 OPS on the road. The UNDER 7.5 (-105) — a price available on BetMGM Sportsbook — has leverage in this Sunday series finale.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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