BSPN: Bank On Baker Mayfield Season Passing Yards Over
August 2nd, 2026
Easy money.
You’ve heard it; Joe’s heard it. An aggrieved and aggravated Baker Mayfield will carry his anger to the football field on Sundays (and Monday night and Thursday night) to torch defenses because he thinks he got the shaft by the Bucs.
And if they want him back next year, it will cost them.
That’s good for the Bucs (unless you are a Team Glazer accountant) and good for gamblers, per Liz Loza of BSPN.
In an article on the best bets for the Bucs, Loza claims a lead pipe lock is for Mayfield to ring up over 3,599 yards passing this season.
Best bet: Baker Mayfield passing yards OVER 3,599.5 (+100)
Not much went right for Mayfield in 2025. He played through a litany of injuries (PCL, MCL and AC joint sprains), was largely without his two most senior receivers and was under the instruction of a first-time offensive coordinator. Despite the numerous obstacles, Mayfield routinely put the team on his back, seemingly willed production into existence and cleared the above line by 90 yards. He’s in a significantly better position this time around, as he is reunited with Robinson, is fully healthy and playing behind a top-five offensive line.
Well, as excellent as Mayfield was before the bye, Mayfield routinely didn’t put the team on his back in the final nine games. That’s why the Bucs gagged away a playoff berth.
But hey, Joe tends to believe Mayfield will have a big year because he is p!ssed off and because he should have a healthy offensive line. Or at least, a much healthier line..
And Mayfield does have a history of rising to the occasion when folks doubt him.
Just FYI, Mayfield’s worst year for passing yards with Tampa Bay was last year when he threw for 3,693 yards.