The National Hurricane Center on Monday continued to increase the odds a system in the Atlantic could develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm while keeping tabs on two more systems.

As of the NHC’s 8 p.m. tropical outlook, the most developed of the three was an area of low pressure located 500 hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands with a large area of showers and thunderstorms.

“Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter half
of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic,” forecasters said.

The NHC gives the system a 30% chance to develop in the next two days, up from 20% earlier Monday and a 70% chance in the next seven. That number increased from 60% as of Monday afternoon and 50% on Sunday.

Already closer to the Caribbean, but less developed, are disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave about midway between the coast of west Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

“Some gradual development of this system is possible through mid-week while it moves quickly westward across the central tropical Atlantic,” forecasters said. “Environmental conditions are expected to become less favorable for development later this week as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.”

The NHC reduced its chances since Sunday from 20% to only 10% that it could develop in the next seven days.

A third Atlantic system popped up on the NHC’s radar late Sunday — a trough of low pressure with a small area of shower and thunderstorm activity located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda and headed away from the U.S. coast.

“Some development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves quickly eastward across the central subtropical Atlantic,” forecasters said. “The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending its chances of formation by Thursday.”

The NHC gave it a 10% chance to develop in the next two to seven days.

So far the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and runs through Nov. 30, has been slow with only two named systems – tropical storms Arthur and Bertha.

The next names on the list are Cristobal, Dolly and Edouard.

JUST IN: NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook remains ‘below normal,’ in August update

*U.S. residents need to remain prepared*

Details: https://t.co/kxshxyagwC#HurricaneOutlook @NWS @NWSCPC pic.twitter.com/3N9s8hrz8e

— NOAA (@NOAA) August 6, 2026

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration this past week updated its seasonal forecast stating it expects between seven and 13 named storms this year. Of those, two to six would become hurricanes, and a prediction that there might not be any major hurricanes this year, or at most two.

Already 2026 was predicted to have lower than average storm generation, and that has been reduced even further with the latest forecasts from the NOAA and other weather groups.

An average year would see 14 named storms and seven hurricanes, with three of those growing to Category 3 strength or higher.

The height of hurricane season, though, has yet to begin with it running between mid-August and mid-October.