“Redevelopment, if any, would be slow to occur during the next few days as the system encounters generally unfavorable upper-level winds while moving quickly west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph,” the agency said.
Still, experts are keeping an eye on the system.
“If Dolly’s remnants survive into the [Florida] Keys and around south Florida, wind shear is much lighter and water well warmer than where it is now. Hence the point of needing to keep tabs with this later this week,” Bergren wrote in a social media post. “There is a scenario, albeit not the most likely outcome at this time, that a tropical system gets going quickly [Thursday to Saturday] around [Florida]. It’s also possible the remnants get too strung out by shear Monday and Tuesday and nothing happens.”
Waters ahead of the tropical wave are 5 or more degrees warmer than where it currently is, he added.
“The critical ‘line in the sand’ is going to be what … the remnants look like Tuesday morning on satellite,” Bergren said. “Are they still alive and kicking, or all but fallen apart. That will be key to figuring what may or may not happen later this week.”