Where: L&N Stadium, Louisville
When: Friday, 7 p.m.
TV: ESPN
Weather: 79 degrees with a 5% chance of precipitation
Line: Louisville by 3.5 points.
Coaches: Mike Norvell is 41-36 at FSU, 79-51 overall; Jeff Brohm is 30-15 at Louisville, 96-59 overall.
Quick slant: The Seminoles are 18-6 all-time vs. the Cardinals and 7-3 in games at Louisville. FSU’s last win away from Tallahassee? The 2023 ACC title game, a 16-6 victory over Louisville. Isaac Brown has 12 career 100-yard rushing games, tied for third-highest in Cardinals history.
About FSU (3-2, 1-1 ACC): Ashton Daniels ranks third in the FBS with nine rushing touchdowns. Including his time at Syracuse and Nebraska, Tony White’s defenses have held opponents under 20 points in 34 games (FSU has done so three times in 2026, although the Seminoles gave up 50 at Alabama). Ousmane Kromah forced a season-high seven missed tackles in the win over Virginia and has 28 in five games, according to Pro Football Focus.
About Louisville (2-3, 1-2 ACC): Each of Louisville’s losses have been by three points. The Cardinals jump on teams early, outscoring opponents 41-16 in the first quarter. Louisville has 17 players from Florida on its roster, including FSU transfer WR Lawayne McCoy (Miami Gardens). McCoy is averaging 20.1 yards per catch at Louisville.
Three things to watch
1. Florida State has scored 34 or more points in four of five games and has the No. 41 rush offense in the FBS. The Seminoles should lean on Daniels and Kromah to build long, sustained drives and keep Louisville’s high-powered offense (38.6 points per game) on the sideline.
2. Louisville has found success on offense with balance. QB Lincoln Kienholz is a 69.1 percent passer (nine touchdowns and one interception) and the ground attack averages 198.6 yards per game. But leading rusher Keyjuan Brown (367 rushing yards, three touchdowns) is questionable for the Cardinals, which means they would lean on Brown (322 rushing yards, two touchdowns). Brown, a Miami native, had 125 rushing yards in the loss at NC State.
3. FSU’s defense has been wildly inconsistent, giving up 247 rushing yards at Alabama before holding Virginia to 37 rushing yards (the Cavaliers were top 40 in the FBS going into the FSU game). Can FSU get enough stops on the ground and force Louisville to win through the air?