We are 13 weeks into the high school football season and seven Orlando-area teams remain alive in the FHSAA state playoffs. In Class 7A, DeLand, Lake Mary and Dr. Phillips have all moved on to the state quarterfinals, as has 6A South Lake, 5A Edgewater, 4A Jones and 3A Bishop Moore.
Following Friday night’s region championship games, the FHSAA will adjust its power rankings and reseed the remaining four teams in each class to determine opponents and sites for the state semifinal matchups.
Let’s take a look at the path each Orlando team has as they all try to get to Miami, where the championship games will be held, Dec. 10-13, at Pitbull Stadium on the FIU campus .
Class 7A
DeLand (12-0), according to the FHSAA power points, sits as the No. 1 overall team in the state, just ahead of No. 2 Vero Beach (12-0). Lake Mary (9-3) sits at No. 3 in 7A and Dr. Phillips (9-3), the No. 7 overall seed in Region 3, is No. 13 in the class.
DeLand hosts Lake Mary (9-3) in the Region 1 final, and a Bulldogs’ victory would secure home field for DeLand . a the state semifinal game, which would be Miami Palmetto (10-2) if the rankings hold as they are today.
Should Lake Mary win, the reseed would likely put the Rams at No. 2, which would mean a home game against Venice, the same team that dominated Lake Mary in last year’s state championship game 52-19. That scenario, however, is only if Vero Beach (12-0) defeats Dr. Phillips. Power rankings say DP is no match for unbeaten Vero. The same ranking system, however, told us that Vero was favored when DP traveled and beat the Indians 21-14 to get to the final four.
DP has the same thing in mind this week, and, as Coach Rodney Wells put it Friday after the region semifinal victory over Fort Pierce Central: “We knew we weren’t a seven-seed team, and the guys have played like it.”
If DP and Lake Mary both win Friday, the rankings would likely push Lake Mary to the top seed, and the Rams would host Dr. Phillips in a semifinal, exactly like last season.
Of course, those are a lot of ifs. The what-ifs are less confusing in the lower classes for Orlando-area teams.
Class 6A
South Lake (11-1) is the underdog at unbeaten Armwood (12-0) on Friday. The 11 wins are the most ever for a South Lake team. With a win South Lake, per current rankings, send the Eagles to either top seed Gainesville Buchholz or Jacksonville Mandarin in a semifinal.
Class 5A
Edgewater, ranked No. 2 in the clss behind Fort Lauderdale power St. Thomas Aquinas, has a doozy of a matchup at home with No. 3 Lakeland (10-2) in Friday’s Region 2 final. A win would keep the Eagles home for the semifinal round, hosting either Daytona Beach Mainland (9-2) of Ponte Vedra (10-2).
Lakeland proved it can be vulnerable against a stiff defense when TFA upset the Dreadnaughts in three overtimes four weeks ago. The Edgewater defense is stout and the Eagles have not allowed a point in 11 straight quarters.
Class 4A
Jones (10-2), last year’s state runner-up, is looking to get back to the state championship game, and visiting Lake Wales (10-2) stands in the Tigers way on Friday night. Jones defeated Lake Wales on the road earlier this season 48-22, for a district title.
Jones (20.075 ranking points) fell to No. 2 in 4A this week, behind Archbishop McCarthy (20.786) of Broward County by 0.711 points. A Jones victory Friday could put the Tigers back at No. 1, since McCarthy (10-2) plays a lower-ranked Plantation American Heritage (6-5) team. That scenario would put Jones at home again for a semifinal matchup against Region 3 favorite Tampa Jesuit (11-1).
Class 3A
Bishop Moore (11-1) has been licking its chops for Friday night’s rematch with Eau Gallie (9-3), the team that knocked the Hornets out of the playoffs last season in a game that was littered with controversial officiating. Bishop Moore was missing three key players a year ago in Kenyon Alston, Jaxon Anderson and Peter Cannon. Those seniors are all back.
Should Bishop Moore get past the Commodores, the road to Miami will have to go through Miami. If rankings don’t change, the Hornets would be the No. 4 seed traveling to face top seed Miami Northwestern, the nation’s No. 19 team, according to USA Today’s Super 25.
The FHSAA is expected to have its power rankings adjusted by Saturday morning and state semifinal matchups should be announced then.
Chris Hays can be found on X.com @OS_ChrisHays,