When:\u00a0Saturday January 10 \u2013 12:00 PM<\/p>\n
Where:\u00a0Donald L Tucker Civic Center, Tallahassee FL<\/p>\n
TV:\u00a0ACC Network<\/p>\n
Opponent:\u00a0Florida State Seminoles<\/p>\n
Prediction \u2013 KenPom (KP) \/ Bart Torvik (BT): NC State 86-79 \/ NC State 85-79<\/p>\n
Team<\/p>\n
PPG<\/p>\n
PPG-OPP<\/p>\n
FG%<\/p>\n
3PT%<\/p>\n
3PT-M<\/p>\n
Reb<\/p>\n
Ast<\/p>\n
TO<\/p>\n
ST<\/p>\n
BL<\/p>\n
NC State<\/p>\n
84.9<\/p>\n
71.4<\/p>\n
48.0%<\/p>\n
38.9%<\/p>\n
10.6<\/p>\n
36.1<\/p>\n
16.7<\/p>\n
10.1<\/p>\n
8.4<\/p>\n
2.9<\/p>\n
Florida State<\/p>\n
83.9<\/p>\n
79.2<\/p>\n
42.4%<\/p>\n
32.2%<\/p>\n
11.6<\/p>\n
37.6<\/p>\n
16<\/p>\n
12.3<\/p>\n
9.5<\/p>\n
3.9<\/p>\n
Wolfpack Snapshot:<\/p>\n
NET Ranking: NET 36, 8th in ACC Conf NET rankings<\/p>\n
NET performance: Q1 (0-4), Q2 (3-1), Q3 (4-0), Q4 (4-0)<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
Wolfpack Season So Far:<\/p>\n
Takeaways from Will Wade\u2019s radio show Thursday night<\/p>\n
The Pack\u2019s 79-71 win at Boston College was its \u201cbest offensive performance, statistically speaking\u201d and it was due to offensive changes the staff put in place.<\/p>\n
Coach Wade told his coaches to simplify, \u201cLet\u2019s just get the ball to Darrion, get the ball to Q, screen the worst defender on him and then get the hell out of the way and play. We don\u2019t get any extra points for swinging and looking nice. Let\u2019s just get straight to the point.\u201d<\/p>\n
The biggest difference was getting the ball out of Quadir Copeland\u2019s hands. Wade wants him to be the lead initiator at the starting point guard, but he was dominating the ball more than the coaches wanted.<\/p>\n
Copeland took the coach\u2019s message to heart, he scored only 8 points on six shots but he had a season-high 10 assists. And Darrion Williams scored 22 points.<\/p>\n
The offensive adjustment included having Williams at point when Copeland left the floor. That worked so well, they will keep it going even after Holloman returns.<\/p>\n
What\u2019s On the Line?<\/p>\n
FSU is ranked 115 in the NET, making this a Q2 game. NC State has only lost 1 Q2 game.<\/p>\n
The Wolfpack\u2019s chance to make the NCAA Tournament is getting slimmer, the UVA loss hurt. All remaining Q2 and Q3 games are MUST WIN games and they\u2019re going to have to win some Q1.<\/p>\n
Wolfpack Player Notes:<\/p>\n
Tre Holloman \u2013 sprained ankle<\/p>\n
Jerry Deng \u2013 sprained groin<\/p>\n
Opponent Overview:<\/p>\n
ACC Media predicted that Florida State would finish 15th with their preseason votes. They currently rank 17th.<\/p>\n
This is Coach Luke Loucks\u2019 first head coaching job. The former Seminole player takes over the reigns from the legendary Leonard Hamilton. He comes to Tallahassee after 10 years of working as an assistant coach in the NBA for the Warriors, Suns, and most recently the Sacramento Kings.<\/p>\n
Advertisement<\/p>\n
\u201925-\u201926 is generally considered a rebuilding year for FSU, they have no Q1, Q2, or Q3 wins, however last Saturday on their home court they took Duke to the wire, they were within 2 with 23 seconds left, losing by 4.<\/p>\n
Opponent Snapshot:<\/p>\n
Rankings: KP #105, BT #112<\/p>\n
NET Ranking: NET 115, 16th in ACC Conf NET rankings<\/p>\n
NET performance: Q1 (0-6), Q2 (0-1), Q3 (0-1), Q4 (7-0)<\/p>\n
Their Season So Far:<\/p>\n
Bad Losses<\/p>\n
Losses to Good Teams<\/p>\n
ACC \u2013 Wins<\/p>\n
ACC \u2013 Losses<\/p>\n
UMAss (NET 177) 95-103 N<\/p>\n
Florida (NET 13) 76-78 A<\/p>\n
UNC (NET 29) 66-79 A<\/p>\n
Texas A&M (NET 43) 59-95 N<\/p>\n
Duke (NET 8) 87-91 H<\/p>\n
Georgia (NET 30) 73-107 H<\/p>\n
Houston (NET 11) 67-82 A<\/p>\n
Dayton (NET 74) 69-97 A<\/p>\n
Player Notes:<\/p>\n
Somerville and MaGee are ranked 9th and 10th in 3PT made per game<\/p>\n
Player<\/p>\n
Class<\/p>\n
Pos<\/p>\n
Height<\/p>\n
Weight<\/p>\n
PPG<\/p>\n
3PT%<\/p>\n
3PTApg<\/p>\n
REB<\/p>\n
ASST<\/p>\n
STL<\/p>\n
BLK<\/p>\n
Robert McCray V<\/p>\n
SR<\/p>\n
G<\/p>\n
6\u20194\u2033<\/p>\n
188<\/p>\n
13.9<\/p>\n
30.9%<\/p>\n
3.7<\/p>\n
3.7<\/p>\n
7<\/p>\n
1.5<\/p>\n
3.8<\/p>\n
Chauncey Wiggins<\/p>\n
SR<\/p>\n
F<\/p>\n
6\u201910\u201d<\/p>\n
225<\/p>\n
13<\/p>\n
32.3%<\/p>\n
6.6<\/p>\n
4.6<\/p>\n
0.9<\/p>\n
0.4<\/p>\n
0.1<\/p>\n
Lajae Jones<\/p>\n
SR<\/p>\n
G<\/p>\n
6\u20197\u2033<\/p>\n
220<\/p>\n
11.3<\/p>\n
31.8%<\/p>\n
5.7<\/p>\n
4.6<\/p>\n
1.1<\/p>\n
1.3<\/p>\n
0.9<\/p>\n
Martin Somerville<\/p>\n
SO<\/p>\n
G<\/p>\n
6\u20193\u2033<\/p>\n
185<\/p>\n
9.5<\/p>\n
39.1%<\/p>\n
6.1<\/p>\n
3.1<\/p>\n
1.7<\/p>\n
1.5<\/p>\n
0<\/p>\n
Alex Steen<\/p>\n
SR<\/p>\n
F<\/p>\n
6\u20199\u2033<\/p>\n
230<\/p>\n
7<\/p>\n
0.0%<\/p>\n
0.1<\/p>\n
6.1<\/p>\n
0.6<\/p>\n
0.9<\/p>\n
0.8<\/p>\n
NC State Will Lose This Game If \u2026<\/p>\n
\u2026they don\u2019t play better defense: BC was the Wolfpack\u2019s second worst graded defensive game of the season behind Texas. FSU is ranked 17th in the ACC in FG% and 16th in 3PT%. However Duke tried the ever popular \u201clet\u2019s not bother with defense\u201d strategy last Saturday and the Seminoles shot 53.4% \/ 46.6% (their second best FG% and best 3PT% of the season) and almost beat them.<\/p>\n
\u2026they don\u2019t guard 3PT shooters MUCH better than they have: FSU is not a QUALITY 3PT shooting team, they rank 16th in the ACC in 3PT%. However, they make up for it in QUANTITY. They are ranked 2nd in the ACC making 11.6 3PT shots per game, and ranks 1st in 3PT attempts. NC State\u2019s defensive strategy has been to allow opposing teams to take \u2018bad 3PT shots.\u2019 That will not work against FSU. Against Duke, Wiggins (averaging 32.3%) was 4-5, McCray (30.9%) was 3-4, Somerville (39.1%) was 2-5, and Magee (34.7%) was 4-7. Jones had an off night (1-6), but earlier in the season he shot 10-21 from 3PT against Ga Southern.<\/p>\n
\u2026they don\u2019t minimize turnovers: The FSU success formula is to force a lot of turnovers and shoot a high volume of 3PT shots. FSU is ranked 1st in the ACC forcing a very impressive 16.7 turnovers per game. They are tied for 2nd in the ACC in steals per game (9.47 ). That formula nearly worked against Duke. (FSU forced 15 turnovers including 10 steals, 46.6% from 3PT)<\/p>\n
Prediction:<\/p>\n
The Wolfpack has a \u2019cover your eyes\u2019 half and trails at halftime, but they starting hitting shots and dial up the defense in the second half and wins 80-69.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"When:\u00a0Saturday January 10 \u2013 12:00 PM Where:\u00a0Donald L Tucker Civic Center, Tallahassee FL TV:\u00a0ACC Network Opponent:\u00a0Florida State Seminoles…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":112073,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[16510,57005,3731,3603,11792,57006,5843,232,234,233,20282,57004,34973],"class_list":["post-112072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tallahassee","tag-acc-network","tag-darrion-williams","tag-florida-state-seminoles","tag-fsu","tag-nc-state","tag-quadir-copeland","tag-sacramento-kings","tag-tallahassee","tag-tallahassee-headlines","tag-tallahassee-news","tag-warriors","tag-will-wade","tag-wolfpack"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112072","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=112072"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112072\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/112073"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=112072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=112072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=112072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}