{"id":114122,"date":"2026-01-11T14:34:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T14:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/114122\/"},"modified":"2026-01-11T14:34:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T14:34:15","slug":"bills-vs-jaguars-prediction-odds-2026-wild-card-weekend-nfl-picks-by-proven-model-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/114122\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Jaguars prediction, odds: 2026 Wild Card Weekend NFL picks by proven model"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The red-hot and third-seeded <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/JAC\/jacksonville-jaguars\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jacksonville Jaguars<\/a> look to win their ninth game in a row when they take on the sixth-seeded <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/teams\/BUF\/buffalo-bills\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Buffalo Bills<\/a> in a 2026 NFL Wild Card Weekend matchup on Sunday. Buffalo is coming off a 35-8 win over the New York Jets, while Jacksonville defeated Tennessee 41-7 in Week 18. The Bills (12-5), who have won five of the past six games, are 5-3 on the road this season. The Jaguars (13-4), who won the AFC South title, are 7-2 on their home field. <\/p>\n<p>Kickoff from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla., is set for 1 p.m. ET. Jacksonville is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Jaguars odds, after opening as 1.5-point underdogs. The over\/under for total points scored is 51.5 via DraftKings Sportsbook. Before making any Jaguars vs. Bills picks,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Be sure to watch the game on CBS or stream on Paramount+. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.paramountplus.com\/?ftag=PPM-22-10ahj5f\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sign up here and get a free 7-day trial<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/nfl\/picks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL picks<\/a>\u00a0since its inception. The model enters the 2026\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cbssports.com\/nfl\/standings\/playoffrace\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL playoffs<\/a>\u00a0on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/nfl\/\" target=\"_blank\">NFL betting<\/a>\u00a0picks at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\">sportsbooks<\/a>\u00a0and on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\">betting sites<\/a>\u00a0could have seen strong returns.\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now, the model has set its sights on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/nfl\/game-forecast\/NFL_20260111_BUF@JAC\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Bills vs. Jaguars<\/a>. You can\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit SportsLine now to see the picks<\/a>. Here are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/nfl-betting-sites-2026-bet-on-nfl-playoffs-odds-with-the-top-football-betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NFL odds<\/a>\u00a0and trends for Jaguars vs. Bills:<\/p>\n<p>Bills vs. Jaguars                                                                                     spread<\/p>\n<p>Jacksonville -1.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook<\/p>\n<p>Bills vs. Jaguars                                 over\/under<\/p>\n<p>51.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Bills vs. Jaguars                                                                                                                                                                                                 money line\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Jacksonville -115, Buffalo -105<\/p>\n<p>Bills vs. Jaguars                                                                                                                                                                                         picks<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See picks at SportsLine<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bills vs. Jaguars                                                                                                                                                                                           streaming\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.paramountplus.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Paramount+<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Why the Bills can cover<\/p>\n<p>Veteran quarterback <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2181054\/josh-allen\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Allen<\/a> has had another solid season. In 17 starts, Allen has completed 69.3% of his passes for 3,668 yards and 25 touchdowns with 10 interceptions and a 102.2 rating. He has also rushed 112 times for 579 yards (5.2 average) and 14 touchdowns. In a 35-31 win at New  England on Dec. 14, he completed 19 of 28 passes for 193 yards and three touchdowns. He also carried 11 times for 48 yards.<\/p>\n<p>Powering the Buffalo rushing attack is <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2975698\/james-cook\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">James Cook<\/a> III. In 17 games, Cook has carried 309 times for 1,621 yards (5.2 average) and 12 touchdowns. He had nine explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 64, with 68 first-down conversions. He also made 33 receptions for 291 yards (8.8 average) and two scores. In a 23-20 win at Cleveland on Dec. 21, he carried 16 times for 117 yards and two touchdowns.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See which team to back at SportsLine<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Why the Jaguars can cover<\/p>\n<p>Veteran quarterback <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2967185\/trevor-lawrence\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Trevor Lawrence<\/a> powers the Jacksonville offense. In 17 starts, Lawrence has completed 60.9% of his passes for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns with 12 interceptions and a 91.0 rating. He is also second on the team in rushing, carrying 82 times for 359 yards (4.4 average) and nine touchdowns. In the win over Tennessee in Week 18, he completed 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards and three touchdowns.<\/p>\n<p>Running back <a class=\"Annotation-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/players\/2809206\/travis-etienne\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Travis Etienne<\/a> Jr. is another weapon on offense. In 17 games, he carried 260 times for 1,107 yards (4.3 average) with seven touchdowns. He had seven explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long of 71, with 48 first-down conversions. Etienne also caught 36 passes for 292 yards (8.1 average) and six touchdowns.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">See which team to back at SportsLine<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>How to make Bills vs. Jaguars picks<\/p>\n<p>SportsLine&#8217;s model is going Under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">You can only get the pick at SportsLine.<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So who wins Bills vs. Jaguars, and which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time?\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/insiders\/bills-vs-jaguars-line-odds-proven-model-releases-spread-pick-for-2026-nfl-wild-card-weekend-matchup-on-sunday\/#ttag=01112026_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_model_BillsJaguars\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Jaguars spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished up over $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception<\/a>, and find out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The red-hot and third-seeded Jacksonville Jaguars look to win their ninth game in a row when they take&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":114123,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[4640,57621,57622,57623,22207,116,118,121,117,119,57626,57624,57625,54526],"class_list":["post-114122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-jacksonville","tag-betting","tag-bills-jaguars-odds","tag-bills-jaguars-picks","tag-bills-jaguars-prediction","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-jacksonville","tag-jacksonville-headlines","tag-jacksonville-jaguars","tag-jacksonville-news","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-playoff-odds","tag-nfl-playoff-picks","tag-nfl-playoff-predictions","tag-wild-card-weekend"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114122","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=114122"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/114122\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/114123"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114122"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=114122"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=114122"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}