{"id":126756,"date":"2026-01-21T19:15:16","date_gmt":"2026-01-21T19:15:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/126756\/"},"modified":"2026-01-21T19:15:16","modified_gmt":"2026-01-21T19:15:16","slug":"college-basketball-mailbag-where-can-the-top-10-teams-improve-is-miami-ohio-at-large-worthy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/126756\/","title":{"rendered":"College basketball mailbag: Where can the top 10 teams improve? Is Miami (Ohio) at-large worthy?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>College football is finally over, which means, blessedly, that it is finally time for everyone to turn their attention to college basketball. Before you know it, the single best sporting event on the planet, the NCAA Tournament, will be here. Feel free to start your countdown to Selection Sunday (March 15) right now.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s possible you\u2019re playing catch-up midway through the college hoops season, and we at The Athletic are here to help. Given that Indiana (Indiana!) just won a national championship in college football, it seems like anything could happen in college sports right now \u2026 and maybe that will extend to our favorite sport, too. By the way, has anyone checked in on, like, the entire Purdue fanbase?<\/p>\n<p>We digress. Let\u2019s dive (back) into basketball.<\/p>\n<p>(Note: Submitted questions have been edited for clarity and length.)<\/p>\n<p>We are about 10 weeks away from March Madness. What does each team in the AP Top 10 need to show to gain your support as national title picks? What are the realistic chances of a team outside of the top 10 winning the title? \u2014 G.S.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ll start with the latter question. A few teams outside the top-10 \u2014 BYU, Florida, Vanderbilt, maybe Illinois \u2014 could realistically make the Final Four, at which point anything\u2019s possible. (Of those four, though, BYU was the only one <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6879445\/2025\/12\/11\/college-basketball-stat-arizona-michigan\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in the top 12 of the Week 6 AP poll<\/a>, which has been a championship cheat code since 2004.) As for the thing every top-10 team needs to show to inspire (more) confidence they can win it all:<\/p>\n<p>No. 1 Arizona: Uh \u2026 Bueller? The Wildcats are one of just four teams with a top-10 adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency ranking \u2014 alongside Michigan, Duke and Gonzaga \u2014 and only seem to be getting better. But it would be nice to see Zona play another top-15 caliber team; it\u2019s been over a month since Tommy Lloyd\u2019s team beat the brakes off Alabama. That\u2019ll change when it goes to BYU on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>No. 2 UConn: Better offensive flow and shotmaking. The Huskies only make 34.7 percent of their 3s \u2014 barely a top-150 rate nationally \u2014 and have turned the ball over on 18 percent of their possessions since Christmas, which ranks 360th nationally. But the defense is as stout as it has ever been under Dan Hurley.<\/p>\n<p>No. 3 Michigan: A return to the Wolverines\u2019 early-season 3-point shooting. Until Tuesday\u2019s win over Indiana, Michigan hadn\u2019t made double-digit 3s in a game since before Christmas, only making 28.5 percent of its triples during over a six-game stretch.<\/p>\n<p>No. 4 Purdue: Better interior defense, to prevent last season\u2019s biggest shortcoming from re-emerging. Purdue is allowing opponents to shoot 60.8 percent on 2-pointers since Christmas. Six straight teams have made more than 50 percent of their 2s against the Boilermakers, after that only happened five times in the team\u2019s first 13 games.<\/p>\n<p>No. 5 Duke: Continued effectiveness from Isaiah Evans, who has finally settled into his anticipated role as Duke\u2019s No. 2 scorer next to Cam Boozer. In ACC play, Evans is averaging 20.2 points per game while making 38.8 percent of his 3s, preventing the Blue Devils\u2019 offense from stagnating like it did at times the first month and a half.<\/p>\n<p>No. 6 Houston: Expanding \u2014 or at least not shortening \u2014 the rotation. The Coogs\u2019 starting five all average at least 23.4 minutes per game, with reserves like Isiah Harwell and Ramon Walker still seeing inconsistent time behind them. Kelvin Sampson\u2019s starters are as good as any in the country, but Houston\u2019s going to need depth at some point.<\/p>\n<p>No. 7 Nebraska: Win an NCAA Tournament game. It\u2019s simple, but when you\u2019re the only high-major program to have never won a game in March Madness, that seems like a fair starting point before we start talking about four (or five, or six) straight wins.<\/p>\n<p>No. 8 Gonzaga: Get healthy in the frontcourt. Starter Braden Huff is out four to eight weeks with a knee injury, while Graham Ike missed the Seattle game with ankle soreness. Considering Gonzaga leads the nation in points in the paint (48.2 per game), getting those two right is imperative.<\/p>\n<p>No. 9 Iowa State: Get back to turning teams over. In consecutive losses to Kansas and Cincinnati last week, the Cyclones posted their two lowest defensive turnover rates of the season, a devastating turn for a team that\u2019s fifth in the country in points off turnovers.<\/p>\n<p>No. 10 Michigan State: Stop turning the ball over. Jeremy Fears Jr. remains one of the nation\u2019s best point guards, but Sparty is turning it over on almost one in every five possessions since Christmas. That\u2019s an unsustainable rate. \u2014 Brendan Marks<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-6988425 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/GettyImages-2254542182.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\n      James Nnaji\u2019s enrollment at Baylor has sparked debate about where college basketball eligibility rules will go next. (Scott Wachter \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent decisions, it seems possible, if not probable, that a kid could declare early for the NBA Draft, not like where he was picked, and sue\/threaten to sue to get back any remaining eligibility. Is this something that the NCAA would allow, or would they essentially be forced to rule against players in this scenario because it would risk their relationship with the NBA? I\u2019d assume the same question could be asked regarding the NFL and college football. \u2014 Dan K.<\/p>\n<p>This question is timely \u2014 on Tuesday, former Alabama player Charles Bediako <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6987689\/2026\/01\/20\/charles-bediako-alabama-ncaa-lawsuit-basketball-eligibility\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sued the NCAA<\/a> in hopes of being able to return to the Crimson Tide, nearly three years after he left for the NBA Draft. Bediako never played in the NBA, and was not drafted, but signed two-way contracts to appear in the G League, and the NCAA put out a strongly worded statement in response.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe NCAA has not and will not grant eligibility to any prospective or returning student-athletes who have signed an NBA contract,\u201d it said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6930651\/2025\/12\/31\/college-basketball-pro-players-eligibility\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">As I wrote in the aftermath of Baylor\u2019s James Nnaji<\/a> first being deemed eligible, the situation you\u2019re describing \u2014 where a player declares early, either goes undrafted or later than he hoped, then attempts to return to school instead \u2014 is exactly what multiple college basketball stakeholders have predicted as the next frontier of eligibility. Now, that\u2019s going to be a relatively small group of players, but if you\u2019re good enough to potentially go pro, you\u2019re good enough to move the needle for a competitive college team.<\/p>\n<p>Where the NBA factors in is a key component to your hypothetical: What happens to a player\u2019s draft rights if he does return to school? Does the team that drafted the player retain those rights for the future? If so, then the value of second-round picks could skyrocket; you\u2019d effectively have a new \u201cdraft-and-stash\u201d model, just domestically instead of internationally. And if a team does retain those rights, for how long? Another season? Two? Indefinitely? Not at all? The NBA hasn\u2019t weighed in yet, but that probably has to come sooner than later, before a team takes the plunge on someone who might try to sue his way back into college hoops. \u2014 Marks<\/p>\n<p>The NCAA has released a new tournament called March Sadness. The bottom-eight Power-4 teams will face off in a tournament where the losers advance. Who\u2019s going (assuming no one can drop out), and how can they keep themselves from going next year? \u2014 James S.<\/p>\n<p>As of Tuesday morning, in order of worst to best net rating, that would be:<\/p>\n<p>Rutgers (9-10, 2-6 Big Ten)<br \/>\nBoston College (8-10, 1-4 ACC)<br \/>\nGeorgia Tech (11-8, 2-4 ACC)<br \/>\nMarquette (7-13, 2-7 Big East)<br \/>\nPenn State (9-9, 0-7 Big Ten)<br \/>\nUtah (9-10, 1-5 Big 12)<br \/>\nMaryland (8-10, 1-6 Big Ten)<br \/>\nFlorida State (8-11, 1-5 ACC)<\/p>\n<p>(Note: This was before Florida State defeated Miami on Tuesday.)<\/p>\n<p>There are mostly two types of coaches on this list. First, you have the newbies: Alex Jensen at Utah, Buzz Williams at Maryland and Luke Loucks at Florida State. All are in their first seasons at their respective schools. You\u2019d imagine that over time, especially Jensen and Loucks with their NBA experience, those guys pick up recruiting and are able to land better talent. Then you have your search season candidates, who have to prove over the next month and a half that they deserve to keep their jobs: Rutgers\u2019 Steve Pikiell, Boston College\u2019s Earl Grant and Georgia Tech\u2019s Damon Stoudamire. (Pikiell is probably the safest of the three.)<\/p>\n<p>Penn State coach Mike Rhoades is in his third season at a program that had one tournament appearance in the 12 years before his arrival. And then there\u2019s Marquette\u2019s Shaka Smart, whose no-portal philosophy has flopped in a major way. Considering the Golden Eagles have made the NCAA Tournament each of Smart\u2019s first four seasons with the program, he doesn\u2019t seem at risk of losing his job, but it\u2019s hard to imagine he won\u2019t be using the transfer portal at least to some extent come this spring. It\u2019s easy not to take transfers when you have the likes of Tyler Kolek and Oso Ighodaro and Kam Jones, but eventually those guys cycle out.<\/p>\n<p>As for how the aforementioned teams can avoid making March Sadness next season? No easy answer for anyone but Maryland and Marquette. The other six are simply among the toughest high-major jobs in the country right now, regardless of who\u2019s at the helm. \u2014 Marks<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-6988431 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/GettyImages-2255597220.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\n      At just 7-13 this season, will Shaka Smart need to alter his roster-building philosophies to get Marquette back on track? (John Fisher \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>Do you think Marquette\u2019s Shaka Smart is going to have to abandon his no-portal philosophy after this year? There are signs of hope as the season progresses (admittedly dim) but do you see this as unsustainable in the current climate of college basketball? \u2014 Brigid S.<\/p>\n<p>This is something I\u2019ve been thinking about a lot this season. I thought Marquette\u2019s strategy was especially interesting because the most notable coach in college football who\u2019s turned his nose up at the portal, Clemson\u2019s Dabo Sweeney, has been roundly \u2014 and in my opinion, fairly \u2014 roasted for it. But in hoops, there was a general feeling of \u201cGood for Shaka for developing guys and wanting program lifers. What a leader!\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Football, of course, is a different beast, purely because of roster numbers. You can\u2019t lose a lot of production to the portal and not replenish via the portal. And while it\u2019s true a lot wasn\u2019t expected of Marquette this year \u2014 the Eagles were predicted to finish fifth in the Big East preseason poll \u2014 sitting in ninth place at 2-7 isn\u2019t going to fly for long. Being No. 123 in KenPom isn\u2019t encouraging either.<\/p>\n<p>So yeah, I think Smart is going to have to adapt. That doesn\u2019t mean he has to change his entire philosophy, though. Michigan State is a good example of a program that mostly wants to develop its own players \u2014 and recruits players willing to stick around through adversity \u2014 but will selectively add from the portal. Four of the Spartans\u2019 starters played for Michigan State last year: Jaxon Kohler, Jeremy Fears, Jr., Coen Carr and Carson Cooper; the other, Divine Ugochukwu, is a transfer from Miami. Surely Smart and Marquette can find a similar happy medium. \u2014 Lindsay Schnell<\/p>\n<p>Do either of you have any influence over CJ Moore and his continued ignoring mid-majors in his top 25, especially undefeated Miami (Ohio)? \u2014 Hchoops<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s say Miami gets through the MAC season undefeated and loses to Akron in the MAC championship. Is this the magical year where the MAC becomes a multibid conference? Seems very unfair to leave out what would be a 30-win Miami team at that point. \u2014 Milin R.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m with you, why does CJ hate fun so much? I\u2019m kidding, I\u2019m kidding. (And to CJ\u2019s credit, he <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/6981807\/2026\/01\/19\/mens-college-basketball-top-25-arizona-nebraska-virginia\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has Saint Louis ranked higher in his poll<\/a> \u2014 No. 21 \u2014 than its No. 24 ranking in the AP poll.)<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve been banging the drum for weeks for Miami to get some AP Top 25 love, but I\u2019m going to defend CJ here because lemme tell you, few people in the country know more about or watch more college basketball than that man. Seriously. If you ever find yourself in a game of \u201cWho Wants to be a Millionaire? College Hoops Edition,\u201d make CJ your phone-a-friend and enjoy cashing those checks.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s true Miami is an impressive 20-0. It\u2019s also true that their underlying numbers are not, shall we say, otherworldly. The Redhawks are No. 90 in KenPom (yikes) and No. 352 in strength of schedule (double yikes). Their schedule is clearly influencing voters. That\u2019s also going to resonate with the selection committee, which means that no, the MAC is probably not a two-bid league. The sad truth is that in the NIL era, where decent mid-major players are going to jump to the Power 4 whenever possible and the clock might have finally hit midnight for Cinderella, it\u2019s going to be harder and harder for mid-majors to capture the attention of America.<\/p>\n<p>Every voter has their own philosophy about why they rank or don\u2019t rank someone (or vote or don\u2019t vote someone for All-America, conference player of the year, etc). Personally, when I was a voter, I liked to give some attention and kudos to the little guys, especially if they were in the West, because often, I was one of the only voters awake to watch them. I am also of the belief that it is really, really, really hard to win when everyone is gunning for you, and therefore, being undefeated is worthy of a top-25 nod.<\/p>\n<p>But not everyone agreed with me, and that\u2019s OK, because the AP poll is not a math equation, and there are no \u201cright\u201d answers. \u2014 Schnell<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"College football is finally over, which means, blessedly, that it is finally time for everyone to turn their&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":126757,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[2527,6789,2513,2516,3731,12272,2535,2514,2525,56731,4680,2537,123,23531,125,124,2522,2520,4646,4678,2519,4656,10531],"class_list":{"0":"post-126756","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-miami","8":"tag-arizona-wildcats","9":"tag-boston-college-eagles","10":"tag-connecticut-huskies","11":"tag-duke-blue-devils","12":"tag-florida-state-seminoles","13":"tag-georgia-state-panthers","14":"tag-gonzaga-bulldogs","15":"tag-houston-cougars","16":"tag-iowa-state-cyclones","17":"tag-marquette-golden-eagles","18":"tag-maryland-terrapins","19":"tag-mens-college-basketball","20":"tag-miami","21":"tag-miami-oh-redhawks","22":"tag-miami-headlines","23":"tag-miami-news","24":"tag-michigan-state-spartans","25":"tag-michigan-wolverines","26":"tag-nebraska-cornhuskers","27":"tag-penn-state-nittany-lions","28":"tag-purdue-boilermakers","29":"tag-rutgers-scarlet-knights","30":"tag-utah-utes"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126756\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/126757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}