{"id":135651,"date":"2026-01-28T23:47:26","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T23:47:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/135651\/"},"modified":"2026-01-28T23:47:26","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T23:47:26","slug":"snow-in-tampa-bay-this-weekend-forecasters-say-theres-a-20-chance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/135651\/","title":{"rendered":"Snow in Tampa Bay this weekend? Forecasters say there\u2019s a 20% chance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Coastal areas of Tampa Bay could be in for an extraordinary sight Saturday night \u2014 snow flurries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Weather models have shown increasing chances of \u201cGulf effect flurries,\u201d or a mix of snow and rain, near Tampa Bay\u2019s shores, according to a Wednesday afternoon forecast discussion from the National Weather Service\u2019s Tampa Bay office.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Forecasts show a 20% chance of rain and snow mix in Pinellas on Saturday night, and they mention flurries across much of the coast.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">However, the weather service warned that confidence in the forecast is low.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The occurrence would be similar to the lake effect snow that falls in the northern U.S., said Tony Hurt, a meteorologist for the weather service.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">\u201cIn this case, it\u2019s going to basically be ocean-driven,\u201d Hurt said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A cold front is expected to whisk through Saturday, leaving behind bitter cold and gusty winds. The key factors behind any flurries will be an expected strong northwest wind and a massive difference in temperatures between the water and the air.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">\u201cThat\u2019s going to allow the moisture from the coastal waters to basically support some development of some clouds, and maybe some snow flurries right along the coast,\u201d Hurt said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Forecasters said the greatest question will be if enough moisture sticks around to produce flurries. Any flurries that do form would likely stay along the immediate coast, Hurt said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A <a href=\"https:\/\/forecast.weather.gov\/MapClick.php?CityName=Saint+Petersburg&amp;state=FL&amp;site=TBW&amp;textField1=27.758&amp;textField2=-82.6421&amp;e=0\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:seven-day outlook;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">seven-day outlook<\/a> for St. Petersburg said there is a slight chance of rain and snow showers between 11 p.m. and 1 a.m. Saturday night, along with scattered flurries after 1 a.m.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">In Tampa, scattered flurries are also possible during that time frame,according to the weather service.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"rounded-lg\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/67d627a5c7846e10e262ecc31f84b983.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration map depicting winter storm impacts highlighted some areas in Florida and around Tampa Bay with a small chance of snow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">\u201cThose chances are pretty low, but it\u2019s still something I\u2019ve never seen in my 40 years living in Florida,\u201d Denis Phillips, chief meteorologist for Tampa Bay 28, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/share\/p\/1BC8VFghhi\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:wrote on Facebook about the map Wednesday afternoon.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">wrote on Facebook about the map Wednesday afternoon.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The weather service emphasized that it does not expect snow to accumulate, and any flurries that fall would melt as they touch the ground.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Regardless of any snow, the weather service said Sunday will bring some of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tampabay.com\/news\/environment\/2026\/01\/27\/how-long-before-tampa-bay-climbs-out-this-cold-itll-be-awhile\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:coldest air the region has experienced in about 15 years;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">coldest air the region has experienced in about 15 years<\/a>, when inland areas could drop into the 20s. Coastal areas will likely remain slightly warmer, but highs across the board will be in the 40s.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">More cold days are on tap next week, but Tuesday will likely warm up slightly, reaching into the 60s by the afternoon, the weather service said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The most recent instance of anything resembling snow falling around Tampa Bay was in early January 2010.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">\u201cWe\u2019re saying it was mostly sleet,\u201d Nicole Carlisle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service\u2019s Tampa Bay office, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tampabay.com\/archive\/2010\/01\/10\/sleet-falls-for-first-time-since-1996\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:told the Tampa Bay Times;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">told the Tampa Bay Times<\/a> that year. \u201cI think we had a couple of snow flurries mixed in there in Pasco, but the rest was sleet.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The weather service said it was the first instance of snow or sleet in west-central Florida since 1996.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">However, the last time measurable snow occurred in Tampa was January 1977, according to weather service records. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tampabay.com\/florida\/2019\/01\/19\/snowflakes-a-state-of-emergency-and-streakers-remember-when-it-snowed-in-tampa-41-years-ago\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Newspaper clippings;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">Newspaper clippings<\/a> from that day described parks crews trimming snow-covered palm trees, and photos showed white dustings along roads.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The chances of snow this weekend are low, Hurts said, \u201cbut not zero.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 \u2022 \u2022<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The Tampa Bay Times launched the Environment Hub in 2025 to focus on some of Florida\u2018s most urgent and enduring challenges. You can contribute through our journalism fund by <a href=\"https:\/\/project.tampabay.com\/donate\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:clicking here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" class=\"link \">clicking here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Coastal areas of Tampa Bay could be in for an extraordinary sight Saturday night \u2014 snow flurries. Weather&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":135652,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[61241,59887,65852,20913,135,1526,137,136,66470,58934],"class_list":{"0":"post-135651","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tampa","8":"tag-coastal-areas","9":"tag-flurries","10":"tag-lake-effect-snow","11":"tag-saturday-night","12":"tag-tampa","13":"tag-tampa-bay","14":"tag-tampa-headlines","15":"tag-tampa-news","16":"tag-tony-hurt","17":"tag-weather-service"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135651","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=135651"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135651\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/135652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=135651"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=135651"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=135651"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}