Virginia<\/a>\u00a0(23-3, 11-2 ACC, NET: 16)
Day\/Time:\u00a0Saturday, 2 p.m. ET
TV:\u00a0ESPN2 (Wes Durham & Randolph Childress)<\/p>\nAnalytics: Miami offense vs. UVA defense<\/p>\n
Data: KenPom and CBB Analytics; rankings: among 365 D1 teams<\/p>\n
Points per possession<\/p>\n
Miami:\u00a01.194 PPP (54)
Virginia:\u00a00.956 PPP (15)<\/p>\n
Threes<\/p>\n
Miami:\u00a033.1% (232)
Virginia:\u00a029.5% (12)<\/p>\n
At the Rim<\/p>\n
Miami:\u00a0411\/602, 68.3% (40)
Virginia:\u00a0233\/414, 56.3% (23)<\/p>\n
Paint 2s<\/p>\n
Miami:\u00a0170\/357, 47.6% (41)
Virginia:\u00a0124\/333, 37.2% (50)<\/p>\n
Rebounds<\/p>\n
Offensive- Miami:\u00a037.1% (17)
Defensive-Virginia:\u00a071.7% (76)<\/p>\n
Turnover rate<\/p>\n
Miami:\u00a016.1% (129)
Virginia:\u00a016.2% (225)<\/p>\n
Analytics: UVA offense vs. Miami defense<\/p>\n
Data: KenPom and CBB Analytics; rankings: among 365 D1 teams<\/p>\n
Points per possession<\/p>\n
Virginia:\u00a01.216 PPP (34)
Miami:\u00a01.002 PPP (36)<\/p>\n
Threes<\/p>\n
Virginia:\u00a035.5% (89)
Miami:\u00a035.3% (248)<\/p>\n
At the Rim<\/p>\n
Virginia:\u00a0333\/531, 62.7% (162)
Miami:\u00a0245\/393, 62.3% (178)<\/p>\n
Paint 2s<\/p>\n
Virginia:\u00a0110\/252, 43.7% (123)
Miami:\u00a0119\/296, 40.2% (129)<\/p>\n
Rebounds<\/p>\n
Offensive-Virginia:\u00a039.9% (3)
Defensive-Miami:\u00a074.3% (15)<\/p>\n
Turnover rate<\/p>\n
Virginia:\u00a016.0% (121)
Miami:\u00a018.5% (88)<\/p>\n
Forecast<\/p>\n
KenPom: Virginia 77-69
BartTorvik: Virginia 77-67
ESPN BPI: Virginia +7.2<\/p>\n
Analysis<\/p>\n
Miami attacks: top 20 in the country in makes at the rim and success on the offensive glass.
\nMiami ranks first in ACC games in free-throw attempts per game (22.9).\u00a0This will challenge a Virginia team that can, at times, be foul-prone, or at least, have fouls called in bunches.
\nMiami doesn\u2019t shoot threes well, against a Virginia defense that is among the best at defending the three. They don\u2019t shoot a lot of them \u2013 18th, dead-last, in conference games, 313th nationally in all games.
\nMiami doesn\u2019t defend the three well, against a Virginia team that shoots it well, and a lot. This could be key for Virginia: to attack the paint for kickouts for open threes, and to work the offensive boards for offensive-rebound threes, which are the best shots in basketball.
\nDepth could be an issue for Miami, which gets 29.1 percent of its minutes from its bench, and really only goes seven deep.<\/p>\n
Bottom line<\/p>\n
I see this one being closer than the predictive sites do, even if the final score ends up being closer to what they project, if that makes sense.<\/p>\n
This feels like the kind of game that Virginia wins with its depth as much as anything.<\/p>\n
Live Coverage<\/p>\n
Pregame: Injury report<\/p>\n
Devin Tillis is listed as \u201cout.\u201d Not surprising, considering the way his knee crumpled on that play in the final minutes of the win at Georgia Tech on Wednesday.<\/p>\n
Media timeout: Virginia 11-7, 15:11\/1st<\/p>\n
Virginia is 4-of-5 at the rim and 1-of-3 from three.<\/p>\n
Scouts in attendance: Orlando Magic, Charlotte Hornets, Brooklyn Nets.<\/p>\n
Word is, Devin Tillis will be back for Tuesday\u2019s game with NC State.<\/p>\n
Media timeout: Miami 17-13, 11:25\/1st<\/p>\n
Jai Lucas has changed the rhythm of this game by going zone, and since, Virginia has gone 1-of-6 from the field.<\/p>\n
Ryan Odom tried to counter by going with a four-guard lineup, but that didn\u2019t work.<\/p>\n
Miami timeout: Miami 24-18, 8:01\/1st<\/p>\n
Virginia still hasn\u2019t figured out the zone; the last two buckets, a layup by Thijs de Ridder and a three by Sam Lewis, came off breaks.<\/p>\n
Maybe that\u2019s the key: live-ball turnovers and quick outlets on misses.<\/p>\n
Miami is owning the boards: 10-1 on the defensive end, 5-5 on the offensive end.<\/p>\n
Media timeout: Game tied at 39, 00:45\/1st<\/p>\n
Jacari White: he\u2019s good.<\/p>\n
White shot Miami out of the zone: 3-of-5 3FG, 11 points.<\/p>\n
Half: Miami 44, Virginia 39<\/p>\n
Miami, shooting 33.1 percent from three on the season, is 5-of-8 from three \u2013 which will not persist.<\/p>\n
Tru Washington, 31.4 percent on the season from three, is 3-of-3 from three.<\/p>\n
Virginia rallied from 11 down by making nine of its last 13 from the floor.<\/p>\n
Defense needs to tighten up: Miami is 17-of-30 from the floor, and is still owning the boards \u2013 12-3 on defense, 6-7 on offense.<\/p>\n
\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Game Details Miami\u00a0(21-5, 10-3 ACC, NET: 37) at\u00a0Virginia\u00a0(23-3, 11-2 ACC, NET: 16)Day\/Time:\u00a0Saturday, 2 p.m. ETTV:\u00a0ESPN2 (Wes Durham &…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":164085,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[123,125,124,78384,78385],"class_list":["post-164084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami","tag-miami","tag-miami-headlines","tag-miami-news","tag-uva-basketball","tag-uva-vs-miami"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/164084","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=164084"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/164084\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/164085"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=164084"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=164084"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=164084"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}