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Gulfstream Park \/ Ryan Thompson<\/p>\n
Saturday\u2019s Grade 3, $400,000\u00a0Tampa Bay Derby<\/a> is the second of two stops on the Tampa Bay Downs road to Kentucky Derby 2026<\/a>, and 50-25-15-10-5 qualifying points are available to the top five finishers.\u00a0<\/p>\n The signature race at Tampa drew a field of nine 3-year-olds who will go the distance of 1 1\/16 miles. Four of them already have run on the Kentucky Derby trail, and two have earned qualifying points. \u00a0Further Ado is the only stakes winner in the field, with his victory in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) earning him 10 points.<\/p>\n Here is the analysis for the Tampa Bay Derby with projected odds from Horse Racing Nation. It is scheduled as race 11 on a 12-race card with post time set for 5:35 p.m. EST.<\/p>\n 1.\u00a0Redlands Rebels<\/a>, 13-1.\u00a0Uncle Chuck \u2013\u00a0Patrick Biancone \/ Junior Alvarado \u2013 3: 1-1-0 – $87,000. Redlands Rebels is a Florida-bred who made three starts at Gulfstream Park since July. He was fourth in his debut and then added blinkers, stretched out in distance and moved from dirt to turf. He was a front-end winner by almost seven lengths in a field of 12 in August. After a five-month layoff, he had the lead in the Kitten\u2019s Joy and missed by a neck in January. Toss.<\/p>\n 2. Talkin<\/a>, 12-1.\u00a0Good Magic \u2013\u00a0Danny Gargan \/ Joel Rosario \u2013 3: 1-1-0 – $156,250. Talkin will make his first start of 2026. He was a debut winner at Saratoga when he rallied to win by a neck going seven furlongs in a race that included Further Ado. He was second in the Champagne (G1) behind Napolean Solo after a wide trip, earning five Derby points, and then was ninth in the Remsen (G2), where Paladin and Renegade were the top two finishers. Talkin has been training at Palm Meadows for his first start of the year. Win contender.<\/p>\n 3.\u00a0Roger That Dana<\/a>, 20-1.\u00a0Awesome Slew \u2013\u00a0Luis Ramirez \/ Renzo Rojas \u2013 3: 1-1-1 – $103,200. Roger That Dana is another Florida-bred, and he broke his maiden in his first career race with a front-end trip against state-breds at Gulfstream. He stretched out to two turns in November in a Florida Stallion series stakes and was third after setting the pace. In January he ran second in the Mucho Macho Man behind Commandment, who was the impressive Fountain of Youth (G2) winner on Saturday.\u00a0Live long shot.<\/p>\n 4.\u00a0Hulkamania<\/a>, 28-1.\u00a0McKinzie \u2013\u00a0Whit Beckman \/ Jareth Loveberry \u2013 1: 1-0-0 – $18,560. Hulkamania was a debut winner at Tampa going seven furlongs last month, beating a field of 10 by four lengths while moving from a stalking position. He began his training at Fair Grounds and then moved to Payson Park in Florida. Toss.<\/p>\n 5.\u00a0Powershift<\/a>, 8-1.\u00a0Constitution \u2013\u00a0Todd Pletcher \/ John Velazquez \u2013 1: M-1-0 – $6,400. Powershift comes back to Tampa after finishing second in a salty maiden race where the top two finishers earned high speed figures and finished 13 lengths ahead of the rest of the nine-horse field going two-turns. The Todd Pletcher and Repole Stable runner was a $500,000 Keeneland yearling and had the lead in the stretch as the even money favorite.\u00a0 Todd Pletcher has six victories in the Tampa Derby from 2004 to 2023. Win contender.<\/p>\n 6.\u00a0Further Ado<\/a>, 2-1.\u00a0Gun Runner \u2013\u00a0Brad Cox \/ Irad Ortiz Jr. \u2013 4: 2-0-1 – $320,703. Further Ado began his career with two starts at Saratoga, where he finished fifth and third. In October he beat a full field at Keeneland by 20 lengths as the 2-1 favorite going two turns. He moved on to the Kentucky Derby trail in the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), where he rallied from a stalking position to win by almost two lengths and earned 10 early qualifying points. The son of Gun Runner has been training at Payson Park since January. The one to beat.<\/p>\n 7.\u00a0Thunder Buck<\/a>, 10-1.\u00a0Gun Runner \u2013\u00a0Brendan Walsh \/ Samuel Marin \u2013 3: 1-0-0 – $38,293. Thunder Buck broke his maiden in his second start at the Fair Grounds in December going two turns, defeating Ocelli who finished sixth in the Sam F. Davis on the Derby trail last month. Thunder Buck made his 3-year-old debut in the Lecomte (G3) and finished last in that field of 10. Toss.<\/p>\n