{"id":200775,"date":"2026-03-21T21:56:29","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T21:56:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/200775\/"},"modified":"2026-03-21T21:56:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T21:56:29","slug":"miami-vs-purdue-prediction-picks-odds-for-sundays-march-madness-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/200775\/","title":{"rendered":"Miami vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday’s March Madness Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The No. 3 seed Purdue Boilermakers face the No. 7 seed Miami Hurricanes in the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday afternoon.<\/p>\n

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Both teams have efficient offenses and vulnerable defenses, which is why my Miami vs. Purdue predictions are targeting the total.<\/p>\n

Here are my best free\u00a0March Madness picks<\/a> for this West Region showdown on March 22.<\/p>\n

Miami vs Purdue predictionWho will win Miami vs Purdue?<\/p>\n

Purdue: The Purdue Boilermakers<\/a> are title contenders and enter this game with momentum after winning the Big Ten tourney and destroying Queens University in the first round. It’s been a remarkable turnaround for the Miami Hurricanes<\/a> under Jai Lucas, but they aren’t on the same tier as Purdue.<\/p>\n

Miami vs Purdue best bet: Over 147.5 (-110)<\/p>\n

The Boilermakers have the highest rated offense in KenPom history and shoot a sizzling 38.5% from deep. They’ll torch a Miami defense that is 319th in opponent 3PT% (37.3%) since January 1.\u00a0<\/p>\n

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That said, Miami can exploit Purdue’s man-to-man defense through pick-and-roll action and scoring in the paint.<\/p>\n

The Canes rank 34th in the country in 2PT% (56.9%), while the Boilermakers are 340th in 2-point defense (56.9%) since New Year’s Day.<\/p>\n

With both offenses perfectly built to exploit the other team’s defensive weakness, take the Over. Especially with KenPom<\/a> and Bart Torvik<\/a> projecting 153 and 154 points, respectively.<\/p>\n

\"Covers\"<\/p>\n

Covers<\/p>\n

COVERS INTEL:<\/p>\n

Purdue is in the top 20 in 2PT% (58.4%), 3PT% (38.5%), turnover rate, and offensive rebounding rate, while ranking fourth in assists per field goal made.<\/p>\n

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Miami vs Purdue same-game parlay<\/p>\n

Since I expect the Boilermakers to capitalize on Miami’s atrocious 3-point defense, let’s back their best outside shooter, Fletcher Loyer.<\/p>\n

Loyer shoots 42.3% from deep and has knocked down 3+ treys in his last four games.<\/p>\n

Miami played essentially just six players against Mizzou, with the big bodies in their frontcourt all logging 37+ minutes. It’s a short turnaround from the late game on Friday to the early slot on Sunday, which could result in tired legs.<\/p>\n

The Boilermakers’ core had plenty of rest in Friday’s blowout win against Queens. That should lead to them pulling away when Miami fatigues.<\/p>\n

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Miami vs Purdue SGP<\/p>\n

Fletcher Loyer Over 2.5 threes<\/p>\n

Our Big Dance SGP: Full steam ahead<\/p>\n

Loyer has dropped at least 14 points in six straight games, while star PG Braden Smith just set the Div. 1 career assist record. Purdue’s attack also thrives when Oscar Cluff owns the offensive glass, and the center has cleared 8.5 boards in four of his last five.<\/p>\n

If all three of those players perform at a high level, it’s very likely that Purdue covers. Coach Matt Painter is 18-8 ATS as a favorite in the NCAA Tournament while going 23-7 ATS in the first two rounds.<\/p>\n

Miami vs Purdue SGP<\/p>\n

Fletcher Loyer Over 13.5 points<\/p>\n

Braden Smith Over 9.5 assists<\/p>\n

Oscar Cluff Over 8.5 rebounds<\/p>\n

Miami vs Purdue odds<\/p>\n

Spread: Miami +7.5 | Purdue -7.5<\/p>\n

Moneyline: Miami +265 | Purdue -330<\/p>\n

Over\/Under: Over 147.5 | Under 147.5<\/p>\n

Miami vs Purdue betting trend to know<\/p>\n

Purdue has cashed the Over in eight of its previous 11 games while Miami is 17-8 O\/U in its last 25. Find more college basketball betting trends<\/a> for Miami vs. Purdue.<\/p>\n

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How to watch Miami vs Purdue<\/p>\n

Location<\/p>\n

Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO<\/p>\n

Date<\/p>\n

Sunday, March 22, 2026<\/p>\n

Tip-off<\/p>\n

12:10 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

TV<\/p>\n

CBS<\/p>\n

Miami vs Purdue key injuries<\/p>\n

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.<\/p>\n

This article originally appeared on Covers.com<\/a>, read the full article here<\/a> and view our best betting sites<\/a> or check out our top sportsbook promos<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here. The…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":200776,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[123,125,5079,124,2519,92645],"class_list":["post-200775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami","tag-miami","tag-miami-headlines","tag-miami-hurricanes","tag-miami-news","tag-purdue-boilermakers","tag-queens-university"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200775","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=200775"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200775\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/200776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=200775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=200775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=200775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}