Run Line<\/p>\n
Rays +1.5 (-199)Guardians -1.5 (+163)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Rays: +109Guardians: -131<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
7.5 (Over -112\/Under -108)Rays vs. Guardians Probable PitchersTampa Bay: Nick Martinez (1-1, 2.10 ERA)Cleveland: Tanner Bibee (0-3, 4.45 ERA)Rays vs. Guardians How to WatchDate: Tuesday, April 28\u00a0Time: 6:10 p.m. EST\u00a0Venue: Progressive FieldHow to Watch (TV): Rays.TV\/Guardians.TVRays record: 17-11Guardians record: 15-15Rays vs. Guardians Best MLB Prop BetsRays Best MLB Prop BetJunior Caminero to Hit a Home Run (+339)<\/p>\n
Earlier today, I shared in SI Betting\u2019s best home run props column \u2013 Daily Dinger<\/a> \u2013 why Caminero is a great target against Tanner Bibee:\u00a0<\/p>\n Tampa Bay Rays third baseman Junior Caminero has already homered eight times in the 2026 season, and he has a pretty favorable matchup against Cleveland righty Tanner Bibee on Tuesday night.<\/p>\n Bibee has struggled out of the gate in 2026, posting a 4.45 ERA while allowing five home runs in six starts. The Guardians are just 1-5 when he\u2019s on the mound, and Bibee ranks in the fourth percentile in average exit velocity against and the fifth percentile in hard-hit percentage.<\/p>\n Caminero has fared pretty well against Bibee in his career, going 3-for-9 with a homer and a 1.000 OPS. The Rays star has also crushed right-handed pitching in 2026, hitting seven of his eight homers while posting an .830 OPS.<\/p>\n Over the last week, Caminero is hitting .292 with three home runs and five runs batted in across six games.\u00a0<\/p>\n Rays vs. Guardians Prediction and Pick<\/p>\n Tampa Bay has been on fire over the last week, and it\u2019s now 9-7 on the road heading into Game 2 of this early week series.<\/p>\n On the surface, Martinez seems like the superior starter in this matchup, but his expected ERA (4.64) and expected batting average against (.271) are actually the exact same as Bibee\u2019s this season. Those numbers rank in the 36th and 22nd percentile in MLB.\u00a0<\/p>\n So, while both Martinez and Bibee have some shaky advanced numbers in the 2026 season, Martinez has gotten the job done so far, allowing just 25 hits and eight walks in 30.0 innings of work. He hasn\u2019t given up more than two earned runs in any start.\u00a0<\/p>\n Meanwhile, Bibee has given up 33 hits and 11 walks in 30.1 innings of work, allowing three or more runs in two of his outings.\u00a0<\/p>\n An eight-run showing against Atlanta has really inflated Bibee\u2019s ERA, but the Guardians offense has also been shaky in 2026, ranking 20th in runs scored and 21st in OPS. The Rays, on the other hand, are in the top 10 in both of those categories.\u00a0<\/p>\n I don\u2019t mind taking a shot on the Rays as underdogs, especially since they are 4-1 when Martinez starts in 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n Pick: Rays Moneyline (+109 at DraftKings)<\/a><\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Claim the latest\u00a0DraftKings promo code<\/a>\u00a0offer today. Sign up and get\u00a0$100 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet<\/a>.<\/p>\n
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