{"id":279659,"date":"2026-05-21T16:38:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T16:38:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/279659\/"},"modified":"2026-05-21T16:38:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T16:38:11","slug":"new-autopsy-reveals-democrats-expect-florida-to-have-32-congressional-seats-by-2032","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/279659\/","title":{"rendered":"New ‘autopsy’ reveals Democrats expect Florida to have 32 congressional seats by 2032"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Democratic National Committee\u2019s<\/a> long-awaited \u201cautopsy<\/a>\u201d of the 2024 Presidential Election doesn\u2019t touch much on the Sunshine State, which has been left for dead throughout the last few electoral cycles.<\/p>\n

But the report does suggest that Florida, which could see 24 of its 28 seats go Republican this November if projections prove true, will be an even more reliable state for GOP gains after decennial redistricting in the wake of the 2030 census.<\/p>\n

Drawing on an analysis from the Brennan Center<\/a>, the report authored by political consultant\u00a0Paul Rivera<\/a> shows Florida with four more seats in six years.<\/p>\n

This would be part of a larger shift from Democratic strongholds like California, New York and Illinois to Republican-performing Texas, Florida, Utah and Idaho.<\/p>\n

\u201cWith radical midterm redistricting efforts underway, the writing is on the wall, and the call is coming from inside the House,\u201d Rivera quipped.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

It is unclear whether the analysis restricted the parameters around such \u201cradical\u201d moves to GOP redraws or not. Republicans, including Gov.\u00a0Ron DeSantis and GOP gubernatorial front-runner\u00a0Byron Donalds, have pointed out Democratic partisan redistricting has happened long before Florida\u2019s recent efforts.<\/p>\n

Florida had a 15-12 map as recently as the 2020 election, before the DeSantis administration pushed through a much more partisan map that led to a 20-8 GOP advantage in the Florida delegation after the last two congressional elections.<\/p>\n

As further indication that Democrats see Florida as a lost cause, Rivera only referred to the state in passing two other times in the 192 page postmortem. He alluded to Bill Nelson\u2019s loss in 2018\u2019s Senate race, and bemoaned Florida\u2019s \u201caggressive partisan\u201d gerrymander of 2022.<\/p>\n

Ahead of last month\u2019s redistricting, Democrats said they are investing in flipping congressional seats in the state this cycle.<\/p>\n

Democratic Leader\u00a0Hakeem Jeffries<\/a>\u00a0of New York said the\u00a0House Majority PAC<\/a> was putting $20 million into Florida races.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Jeffries said U.S. Reps. Kat Cammack,\u00a0Mario D\u00edaz-Balart, Carlos Gim\u00e9nez, Laurel Lee,\u00a0Anna Paulina Luna, Brian Mast, Cory Mills and Maria Elvira Salazar\u00a0were among the targeted legislators.<\/p>\n

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee listed four GOP-held seats in Florida as \u201cDistricts in Play<\/a>\u201d: those represented by Lee, Luna, Mills and Salazar. The House Majority PAC previously said in\u00a0December 2024<\/a> it would target Luna and recruit against Gim\u00e9nez, Lee, Mills and Salazar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Democratic National Committee\u2019s long-awaited \u201cautopsy\u201d of the 2024 Presidential Election doesn\u2019t touch much on the Sunshine State,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":279660,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[119341,33776,119342,28,30,29,56691],"class_list":["post-279659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-florida","tag-brennan-center","tag-democratic-national-committee","tag-democratic-national-committee-chair","tag-florida","tag-florida-headlines","tag-florida-news","tag-hakeem-jeffries"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=279659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/279659\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/279660"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=279659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=279659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=279659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}