The FOX Forecast Center has been tracking this activity for over a week as we rapidly approach the start of the 2026 hurricane season<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n FILE: A stormy day in Miami, Florida<\/p>\n (FOX Weather)<\/p>\n EL NI\u00d1O COULD MEAN MORE TROPICAL ACTIVITY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC<\/a><\/p>\n Initially, tropical activity was forecast to begin in early June. However, updated tracking shows a surge of tropical moisture aimed over the region, bringing potential drought<\/a> relief by late week.\u00a0<\/p>\n Florida is possibly looking at a long-duration heavy rain event and, combined with heavy rainfall<\/a> rates, portions of the state are under a Level 1 out of 4 flash flood threat beginning Thursday and lasting through Saturday.<\/p>\n LOOK OUT: POWERFUL WINDS SEND BOUNCE HOUSE TUMBLING THROUGH YARD AND INTO SUV IN FLORIDA<\/a><\/p>\n That said, Florida is currently enduring its most widespread and severe drought since 2012, with rainfall deficits running an astonishing 20 to 30 inches below normal along the Interstate 10 corridor.<\/p>\n Starting Thursday and lasting into the weekend, a surge of tropical moisture from the Gulf and Atlantic<\/a> will move back into the region as a stationary front slowly sags southward across portions of the Southeast<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n Into the weekend, a firehose of Caribbean moisture will be pulled northward directly over the state, unleashing rain at potentially high rates.\u00a0<\/p>\n This has prompted a Level 1 flash flood<\/a> risk in place across parts of southeast Florida, including Miami<\/a> and West Palm Beach<\/a>.<\/p>\n Now looking longer term into early June, this front is forecast to slowly shift as high pressure builds in from the north. With deep tropical moisture continuing to pool across the Gulf of America, additional rounds of heavy rain may develop along a cold front draped across northern Florida.<\/p>\n Heavy rain obscures the view of the ocean in Panama City Beach, Florida, on May 13, 2024.<\/p>\n (HurricanesJames\/X \/ FOX Weather)<\/p>\n DOWNPOURS TURN DEADLY AS RENEWED FLOOD RISK CONTINUES IN THE SOUTH DUE TO ATMOSPHERIC FIREHOSE<\/a><\/p>\n “From now through the beginning of June, areas across Central and Southern Florida could see several inches of rain, with lighter but still beneficial totals extending into the Panhandle,” the FOX Forecast Center said.<\/p>\n![\"Miami](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/img_4034-scaled.jpg\")
<\/p>\nTropical downpours overview.
(FOX Weather)
\u00a0<\/p>\nFlorida drought monitor.
(FOX Weather)
\u00a0<\/p>\nMulti-day flash flood outlook.
(FOX Weather)
\u00a0<\/p>\n![\"Heavy](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/rain-florida.jpg\")
<\/p>\nRain outlook across Florida Thursday through Tuesday.
(FOX Weather)
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