{"id":295826,"date":"2026-06-04T14:16:29","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T14:16:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/295826\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T14:16:29","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T14:16:29","slug":"why-miami-and-key-west-are-among-the-nations-biggest-hurricane-targets-miami","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/295826\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Miami and Key West are among the nation\u2019s biggest hurricane targets | Miami"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ever feel like you have a target on your back? Especially during hurricane season?<\/p>\n<p>Miami and Key West happen to be the most vulnerable cities in the U.S. when it comes to potential hurricane strikes, each coming in at 16% based on data from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aoml.noaa.gov\/hrd\/tcfaq\/G11.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">NOAA\u2019s Hurricane Research Division<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The probabilities are based upon 126 years of hurricane data and storm paths dating back to the 1800s,&#8221; AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski said. &#8220;These numbers are not based upon property damage but instead focus on the chances that a hurricane will strike a region based upon factors such as geography and location.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If there is a silver lining, and it&#8217;s rather small at that, is that Southeast Florida only ranks third in the state with 49 total hurricanes (including 16 that were Category 3-5), according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/universalproperty.com\/most-and-least-hurricane-prone-areas-in-florida\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">report from Universal Property<\/a>, a casualty insurance company.<\/p>\n<p>In addition to two Cat 5 hurricanes (1935 Labor Day and 1992 Andrew), the Southeast also has been struck by a record-tying seven Cat 4 storms (tied with the entire state of Texas).<\/p>\n<p>Northwest Florida has had the most hurricanes with 66 (14 were Cat 3-5), while Southwest Florida has been hit with 49 hurricanes (17 were Cat 3-5).<\/p>\n<p>A look at AccuWeather&#8217;s top 5 most vulnerable Florida cities:<\/p>\n<p>1. Miami: &#8220;The Magic City&#8221; takes the No. 1 spot with a 16% chance of experiencing the impacts of a hurricane in any given year. Based on historical data, on average, a hurricane will pass within 50 miles of the Miami metropolitan area every six to eight years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Miami has a large population density, and as a result, the effects of a major hurricane would be catastrophic to the city,&#8221; AccuWeather meteorologist David Samuhel said. &#8220;Also, because of its southern location, Miami is probably the largest city on this list to see a Category 4 or 5 hurricane in the future.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>2. Key West: Like Miami, Key West has a 16% chance of being impacted by a hurricane during any Atlantic hurricane season. &#8220;The Southernmost City &#8221; is directly impacted by a hurricane every 6.04 years, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hurricanecity.com\/city\/tampa.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Hurricane City<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Hurricane Wilma in 2004, regarded as the worst storm to hit the area, passed just west of Key West and produced a storm surge of 8 feet, leaving 60-70 percent of the island under water.<\/p>\n<p>3. Cape Hatteras, N.C.: Located on the Outer Banks of North Carolina, Cape Hatteras has a 15% chance of feeling the impacts of a hurricane in any given year.<\/p>\n<p>Cape Hatteras is positioned 280 miles farther east than Palm Beach (easternmost location of the Florida coast). As a result, Cape Hatteras has been exposed in the past to hurricanes that move up the Eastern Seaboard.<\/p>\n<p>4. Tampa: The western coast of Florida has endured its share of hurricanes, and the city of Tampa is no exception. The Tampa-St. Petersburg area, along the Gulf, has an 11% chance of feeling the impacts of a hurricane in any given year.<\/p>\n<p>Tampa hasn\u2019t suffered a direct hit by a strong hurricane since the 1921 Tampa Bay Hurricane, the first major hurricane to hit there, but 68 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 60 miles, according to Hurricane City.<\/p>\n<p>Hurricane Milton in 2024 came close, striking south of Tampa Bay in Siesta Key.<\/p>\n<p>5. New Orleans: Hurricane Katrina in 2005 shined the light on how devastating a tropical system can be for the city of New Orleans. Like Tampa,<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The Big Easy&#8221; has an 11% chance of experiencing the impact of a hurricane in an average year.<\/p>\n<p>According to NOAA, a hurricane makes landfall within 50 miles of New Orleans about once every seven to 11 years. More than 50% of the city is below sea level.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ever feel like you have a target on your back? Especially during hurricane season? Miami and Key West&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":295827,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[1846,124616,124615,15763,126,2559,123,125,124],"class_list":["post-295826","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami","tag-hurricane","tag-hurricane-swason","tag-hurricane-targets","tag-hurricane-wilma","tag-key-biscayne","tag-key-west","tag-miami","tag-miami-headlines","tag-miami-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295826","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=295826"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295826\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/295827"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=295826"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=295826"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=295826"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}