I know many CFB fans say this sort of thing about any non-SEC school, but I really mean it in this instance: if the Canes are true contenders, they have no good reason to limp through the slate that stands before them\u2014and that\u2019s precisely what brings me here today.<\/p>\n
Here are my percentages for each Miami game of 2026 based off of its chance to win.<\/p>\n
Predicting Miami’s chances of winning every game in 2026Friday, Sep. 4: @ Stanford (92%)<\/p>\n
There are easier notes to start your season on than going across the country to face a conference foe, but I can\u2019t pretend that the Cardinal of late have earned any consideration for an upset here.<\/p>\n
Thursday, Sep. 10: Florida A&M (99%)<\/p>\n
I think you could start this game with FAMU up 45-0 and the Hurricanes would still be able to walk out with a double-digit victory.<\/p>\n
Friday, Sep. 18: @ Wake Forest (91%)<\/p>\n
Believe it or not, the Demon Deacons have been shockingly competitive with the Hurricanes in their last several meetings (and yes, I\u2019m including 2024, where it was a six-point game halfway through the fourth quarter). When taking that in with the Deacs having this showdown in Winston-Salem after going 9-4 in 2025, they don\u2019t exactly come off as a \u201cgimme.\u201d<\/p>\n
But alas, that streak of competitiveness spans almost 20 years and has consisted of nothing but Wake losses. I wonder if that should be telling us something also?<\/p>\n
Saturday, Sep. 26: Central Michigan (97%)<\/p>\n
Another perfect opponent to have wedged between conference road games.<\/p>\n
Saturday, Oct. 3: @ Clemson (68%)<\/p>\n
I won\u2019t lie, I have legacy points carrying a ton of weight in this percentage, as I have to believe that Dabo can still lead a menacing effort in Death Valley, especially for what could be a season-defining game. In other words: you\u2019re welcome, Tiger fans; the ghost of Clemson\u2019s past is the only thing clocking y\u2019all in that low.<\/p>\n
Saturday, Oct. 17: Florida State (90%)<\/p>\n
The Seminoles make for a circle on the calendar no matter their struggles, but if you can\u2019t beat them at home, off a bye, while they\u2019re neck-deep in those struggles, I don\u2019t know what to tell ya.<\/p>\n
Saturday, Oct. 24: Pittsburgh (79%)<\/p>\n
This one\u2019s rather generous, as I\u2019m keeping the door open for \u201ctrap\u201d potential through rivalry implications, as well as the placement between another rival and a road game. Regardless of the circumstances though, this would be a difficult loss to justify.<\/p>\n
Saturday, Oct. 31: @ North Carolina (83%)<\/p>\n
Speaking of generous percentages, I\u2019m only granting a relatively lower number to the Tar Heels because they\u2019re hosting Miami right before its biggest game of the year.<\/p>\n
Saturday, Nov. 7: @ Notre Dame (45%)<\/p>\n
As I said in my Notre Dame piece<\/a>, this figure solely comes down to homefield advantage. The Fighting Irish are very much capable of blowing an otherwise-perfect season here, and if this pairing took place in Miami, I\u2019d be convinced that they would.<\/p>\n Saturday, Nov. 14: Duke (85%)<\/p>\n It was difficult for me to not grow giddy over the thought of an upset here, as today\u2019s Blue Devils have a reputation for exceeding expectations\u2014a quality that obviously isn\u2019t dimmed when they\u2019re in a tricky spot on your schedule. And yet, I simply can\u2019t look past how they\u2019re far from home as their star quarterback conspires with the enemy<\/a>.<\/p>\n Saturday, Nov. 21: Virginia Tech (86%)<\/p>\n I\u2019d put a lot on the Hokies showing significant improvement in their first go with James Franklin, but since they serve as another Miami home game and wear no evidence of how good they\u2019ll actually be (as it often goes with a first-year HC), I wouldn\u2019t go as far as taking a Canes loss in this one.<\/p>\n Saturday, Nov. 28: Boston College (96%)<\/p>\n Despite whatever reputation yesterday\u2019s Hurricanes may hold when it comes to late collapses, I defy anyone who\u2019d humor the idea of this Eagles team (that just went 2-10, by the way) coming to town and downing a one-loss foe. In fact, I\u2019m not a huge fan of schools making rings to commemorate minor achievements, but if BC somehow pulls this off, it has my blessing to do so for that alone.<\/p>\n We may not be able to see the future, but it\u2019s digging into season projections like these that make us feel like we\u2019re pretty close to it, as even a man without his eyes can see the vision for this year\u2019s Miami Hurricanes. All that matters now is whether they\u2019ll deliver on it. If they don\u2019t, it\u2019ll be one of their lamest underthrows to date\u2014and that\u2019s saying something.<\/p>\n
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