{"id":310990,"date":"2026-06-17T22:06:08","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T22:06:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/310990\/"},"modified":"2026-06-17T22:06:08","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T22:06:08","slug":"could-prediction-market-offerings-put-floridas-gaming-compact-with-the-seminole-tribe-at-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/310990\/","title":{"rendered":"Could prediction market offerings put Florida\u2019s gaming compact with the Seminole Tribe at risk?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">In Florida, the Seminole Tribe\u2019s Hard Rock Bet app is supposed to be the only legal way to place sports bets, but in recent months, new ways of wagering, or \u201cinvesting\u201d in the outcome of sports have come online in the Sunshine State.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Ryan Butler, Senior New Analyst at Covers.com, a popular sports betting information website, explains prediction market companies like Kalshi, Polymarket, and now even FanDuel Predicts and DraftKings Predictions are available to Florida residents right on their phones.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cThey function and look and feel and offer odds in ways that are almost identical to sports betting,\u201d said Butler.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">But unlike sports betting offered through official sportsbook apps like Hard Rock Bet, prediction markets aren\u2019t subject to state and federal gambling regulations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.actionnewsjax.com\/live-breaking\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:&gt;&gt;&gt; STREAM ACTION NEWS JAX LIVE &lt;&lt;&lt;;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;&amp;gt&quot;}\" class=\"link \">&gt;&gt;&gt; STREAM ACTION NEWS JAX LIVE &lt;&lt;&lt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cThough they are run by sports betting companies, these are not sports books. Right now, these are considered essentially trading platforms,\u201d said Butler.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Instead, they\u2019re subject to regulation through the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission and are treated like investment or trading platforms.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cAnd the CFTC, that\u2019s the regulatory body with the federal government, has gone full-throated endorsement of these prediction markets. It\u2019s not tacit,\u201d said Butler. \u201dThey are working with them and they are preemptively suing states they don\u2019t like that think they are violating it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Eric Randazzo with the Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling explained that means the apps are accessible to adults as young as 18 and aren\u2019t held to the same consumer safety standards, advertising restrictions or problem gambling advisory requirements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cAs far as helpline contacts, we\u2019re seeing these come up a lot on younger adults, college students in particular. We\u2019re seeing them risking essentials like food and gift money,\u201d said Randazzo.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The legal grey area surrounding prediction markets could put Seminole Tribe\u2019s exclusivity over sports betting in Florida.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The exclusivity guarantee comes with nearly a billion dollars in annual state revenues under the gaming compact with the tribe.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">[DOWNLOAD: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.actionnewsjax.com\/mobile-apps\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Free Action News Jax app for alerts as news breaks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Free Action News Jax app for alerts as news breaks&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Free Action News Jax app for alerts as news breaks<\/a>]<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">We asked DraftKings whether it believes its prediction market offerings could run afoul of the Seminole Gaming Compact.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cDraftKings is committed to upholding all regulatory standards in every jurisdiction where we operate and maintaining strong relationships with regulators. We have been thoughtful in how we launched DraftKings Predictions and have done so in a way that is respectful of all stakeholders,\u201d a DraftKings spokesperson told Action News Jax in an emailed statement. \u201dWe continue to engage closely with regulators to ensure our approach remains consistent with our obligations and responsibilities as a licensed operator.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Butler explained that while many states, gaming commissions and tribes with gaming rights have filed lawsuits challenging the legality of prediction markets, the Seminole Tribe has largely stayed on the sidelines up to this point.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cThere\u2019s so many other legal challenges and ultimately we\u2019re gonna have the Supreme Court settle all of them. So, it\u2019s almost like save the billable hours if you\u2019re the lawyers and all that,\u201d said Butler. \u201dI don\u2019t know that specifically, but I do think that\u2019s kind of what the Seminoles are looking at.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">But even if the courts ultimately allow prediction markets to continue, Butler suggested the Tribe could have a hard time alleging a violation of its exclusivity on sports betting, as the State of Florida would have its hands tied as prediction markets are federally regulated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">[SIGN UP: <a href=\"https:\/\/membercenter.actionnewsjax.com\/newsletters\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Action News Jax Daily Headlines Newsletter;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Action News Jax Daily Headlines Newsletter&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Action News Jax Daily Headlines Newsletter<\/a>] <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cShould the Seminole Tribe suspend their payments to the State of Florida, well then the State of Florida would then sue the Seminoles and say, well we didn\u2019t do anything wrong, we didn\u2019t allow the gambling, this isn\u2019t gambling, this is the federal government\u2019s problem,\u201d said Butler.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">When we asked whether Hard Rock Bet is considering legal action against prediction markets, a company spokesperson declined to offer a statement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Butler said he wouldn\u2019t be surprised if it stays that way until the issue hits the US Supreme Court docket, which could happen as early as this fall.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">\u201cIf we get it there, then we could expect a ruling in June of 2027,\u201d said Butler.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">If you or a loved one is struggling with a gambling addiction, you can call the gambling addiction hotline at 1-888-ADMIT-IT.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.actionnewsjax.com\/mobile-apps\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Click here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Click here&quot;}\" class=\"link \">Click here<\/a> to download the free Action News Jax news and weather apps, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.actionnewsjax.com\/mobile-apps\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:click here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;click here&quot;}\" class=\"link \">click here<\/a> to download the Action News Jax Now app for your smart TV and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.actionnewsjax.com\/video\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:click here;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;click here&quot;}\" class=\"link \">click here<\/a> to stream Action News Jax live.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In Florida, the Seminole Tribe\u2019s Hard Rock Bet app is supposed to be the only legal way to&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":310991,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[37650,35212,28,30,29,761,129648,129647,109998,129649,1360],"class_list":["post-310990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-florida","tag-commodity-futures-trading-commission","tag-draftkings","tag-florida","tag-florida-headlines","tag-florida-news","tag-free-action-news-jax","tag-prediction-market","tag-ryan-butler","tag-seminole-tribe","tag-sports-bets","tag-the-sunshine-state"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310990","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=310990"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/310990\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/310991"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=310990"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=310990"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=310990"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}