{"id":317463,"date":"2026-06-23T23:18:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T23:18:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/317463\/"},"modified":"2026-06-23T23:18:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T23:18:48","slug":"dueling-polls-paint-starkly-different-pictures-of-miamis-cd-27-democratic-primary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/317463\/","title":{"rendered":"Dueling polls paint starkly different pictures of Miami\u2019s CD 27 Democratic Primary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Two Democrats hoping to secure a place on the General Election ballot in Florida\u2019s 27th Congressional District are each promoting new internal polling, which paints two very different pictures of where the race stands as Summer begins.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Eliott Rodriguez\u2019s internal <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/803385-internal-poll-gives-eliott-rodriguez-26-point-lead-in-cd-27-democratic-primary\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">poll<\/a> of 300 likely Primary voters, conducted June 15\u201318 by consulting firm <a href=\"http:\/\/bendixenandamandi.com\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Bendixen &amp; Amandi International<\/a>, found him crushing rival Robin Peguero by 26 percentage points, 54% to 28%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Meanwhile, an internal poll of 400 likely Primary voters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gbaostrategies.com\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">GBAO Strategies<\/a> conducted for Peguero found that after voters heard \u201cbiographical information\u201d about both candidates, Peguero came out ahead of Rodriguez, 46% to 43%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">That\u2019s well within the Peguero survey\u2019s 4.9-percentage-point margin. Rodriguez\u2019s poll carried a 5.6-point margin of error.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The massive difference between the two findings raises questions about polling methodology and what information voters heard before being asked their preference, and only one of the two campaigns categorically said it kept things neutral.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.uber.com\/us\/en\/blog\/madd-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-794046 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/UBER_DUIprevention_728X90_04292026.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rodriguez\u2019s Campaign Manager, Fernand Amandi, told Florida Politics that his firm\u2019s pollsters did not provide negative information about Peguero to respondents before capturing the reported numbers.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Peguero\u2019s Campaign Manager, Abia Khan, initially did not respond to a question about whether his campaign did or didn\u2019t. After this story was published, she Peguero pollsters did not provide negative information about Rodriguez to respondents.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rodriguez\u2019s campaign also released demographic breakdowns, showing him ahead across several groups: 64% support among Cuban American voters, 61% among Black voters, 61% among seniors, 57% among voters aged 50 to 64, 56% among men, and 52% among women.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">In Rodriguez\u2019s poll, 18% of likely Democratic Primary voters said they were still undecided, while Peguero\u2019s poll found 11% of respondents had yet to make up their minds.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Peguero, a former federal prosecutor and Jan. 6 Committee investigator, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wlrn.org\/light\/government-politics\/2025-07-16\/robin-peguero-maria-elvira-salazar-27th-district\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">filed for CD 27<\/a> in July 2025 and has since reported raising <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/801399-robin-peguero-tops-900k-in-cd-27-race-as-qualifying-nears\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">more than $900,000<\/a>. He carries endorsements from the Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC, the Congressional Black Caucus PAC, Latino Victory Fund, U.S. Rep.\u00a0Lois Frankel, Maryland U.S. Rep.\u00a0Glenn Ivey, state Rep.\u00a0Ashley Gantt, civil rights historian\u00a0Marvin Dunn, and a roster of current and former South Florida elected officials.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.razackforcongress.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-800591 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Razack728x90-May-15-2023-at-17.01.44-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"91\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rodriguez, a multiple Emmy- and Edward R. Murrow Award-winning former broadcast journalist, <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/784060-anchor-vs-anchor-eliott-rodriguez-announces-run-against-maria-elvira-salazar-in-cd-27\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">launched his campaign<\/a> in March. He\u2019s since <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/798782-eliott-rodriguez-reports-500k-raised-wave-of-endorsements-as-third-rating-shift-hits-cd-27-race\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">reported raising<\/a> more than $600,000 and notching <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/791842-building-a-campaign-39-federal-state-local-leaders-endorse-eliott-rodriguez-for-cd-27\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">endorsements<\/a> from more than 60 elected officials and community leaders.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Three noted political prognosticators \u2014 <a href=\"http:\/\/rollcall.com\/2026\/03\/18\/house-midterm-elections-ratings-changes-democrats\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">CQ\/Roll Call<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/centerforpolitics.org\/crystalball\/house-rating-changes-17-shifts-in-florida-indiana-michigan-ohio-and-elsewhere\/\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cookpolitical.com\/analysis\/house\/house-overview\/house-ratings-changes-five-races-shift-toward-dems-one-toward-gop\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Cook Political Report<\/a> \u2014 all <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/798782-eliott-rodriguez-reports-500k-raised-wave-of-endorsements-as-third-rating-shift-hits-cd-27-race\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">elevated Democrats\u2019 chances<\/a> to flip CD 27 after Rodriguez entered the race.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The new polling figures follow prior competing numbers released by the campaigns in March. A survey Bendixen &amp; Amandi conducted that month found Rodriguez held a <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/785268-poll-eliott-rodriguez-enters-cd-27-race-with-big-lead-over-primary-foes\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">27-point lead<\/a> over Peguero (43% to 16%), with 27% of voters undecided.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A poll conducted for Peguero\u2019s campaign around the same time found a much closer contest, with Rodriguez ahead by just 3 points, 43% to 40%, and 13% of voters undecided.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rodriguez and Peguero are competing for the right to challenge Republican U.S. Rep. Mar\u00eda Elvira Salazar in the Nov. 3 General Election. Salazar faces an underfunded Primary challenge from Michael Arias.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.govtrack.us\/congress\/members\/FL\/27\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">CD 27<\/a>\u00a0covers Coral Gables, Cutler Bay, Key Biscayne, Palmetto Bay, Pinecrest, South Miami, West Miami and part of Miami south of the Dolphin Expressway.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The District is one of three in Florida that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has highlighted as \u201cin play.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Salazar won re-election to a third term in 2024 with 60% of the vote, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/enr.electionsfl.org\/DAD\/3713\/Summary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\">margin of nearly 21 points<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The Democratic Primary is scheduled for Aug 18.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">___<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Editor\u2019s note: This report was updated to include a response about biased messaging from pollsters for Peguero\u2019s campaign.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Two Democrats hoping to secure a place on the General Election ballot in Florida\u2019s 27th Congressional District are&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":317464,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[131913,131914,52347,8184,67098,131915,8878,123,125,124,1064,373,42607],"class_list":["post-317463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami","tag-bendixen-amandi","tag-bendixen-amandi-international","tag-cd-27","tag-election-2026","tag-eliott-rodriguez","tag-gbao-strategies","tag-maria-elvira-salazar","tag-miami","tag-miami-headlines","tag-miami-news","tag-miami-dade","tag-miami-dade-county","tag-robin-peguero"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=317463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/317463\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/317464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=317463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=317463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=317463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}