{"id":334291,"date":"2026-07-09T12:47:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T12:47:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/334291\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T12:47:24","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T12:47:24","slug":"summer-scheming-26-florida-state-seminoles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/334291\/","title":{"rendered":"Summer Scheming \u201826: Florida State Seminoles"},"content":{"rendered":"

After a stellar run at Memphis Mike Norvell has had a rollercoaster run in Tallahassee as the Florida State Seminoles head football coach. Norvell finished his four year stint at Memphis with a 38-15 record.<\/p>\n

At FSU Norvell started off slow winning only eight games in two years. Then the \u2018Noles had an awakening and won 23 games from 2022-2023. And now that reality has come crashing back down with seven wins the past two seasons.<\/p>\n

FSU will have 17 transfers in the 2-deep once again in 2026. It\u2019s become a double-edged sword where he only way Norvell can keep his job (buyout be damned) after this year is to inject talent into the roster but he\u2019s got a bad culture in the field house up at Doak Campbell Stadium.<\/p>\n

Now let\u2019s put the \u2018Noles through The Goal, our 2026 Summer Scheming analysis system<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Acquisition: The \u2019Noles high school recruiting hasn\u2019t been as \u2018bad\u2019 s advertised. FSU is 16th over the past three years in prep signings and 14th when it comes to the transfer portal for an average of 15th overall.<\/p>\n

Development: Now this is the crazy part. Over the past couple of years the \u2018Noles have only produced eight NFL players. Only eight have stuck it out from the 2025 and 2026 NFL Draft classes. Remember all of those drafts loaded with FSU talent like Jameis Winston and Jared Verse? Right now it\u2019s Deuce Robinson and who else?<\/p>\n

Deployment: This preseason Bill Connelly\u2019s SP+<\/a> has FSU 35th in overall SP+. The Seminole offense is 45th, the defense 30th and the kicking game is 94th. So where as Mike Norvell has the 15th best players he\u2019s producing the 35th best team. He\u2019s revamped his coordinators once again sending Gus Malzahn off to the glue factory and promoting Tim Harris Jr to OC.<\/p>\n

The bottleneck to success at FSU is the culture within the program. The Seminoles went hellbent on the transfer portal to improve from 5-7 to 10-3 and dipped their toe in again to move to 13-1. They were Jordan Travis\u2019 leg away from competing for a national championship. But injuries do happen and losing your starting QB is a devastating one.<\/p>\n

\"NEW<\/a><\/p>\n

NEW YORK, NY – OCTOBER 05: A fan cosplays as Scorpion from Mortal Kombat during the 2018 New York Comic Con at Javits Center on October 5, 2018 in New York City. (Photo by Roy Rochlin\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n

Mike Norvell has taken the Manny Diaz approach to the transfer portal and it\u2019s killed any semblance of a culture that could possibly have been built in the FSU locker room AND he\u2019s losing games.<\/p>\n

The FSU strength of schedule is 45th of 138 in FBS per CFB News<\/a>. Florida State faces SMU before an off week. Then they head to Tuscaloosa to play the Alabama Crimson Tide. After a cupcake, FSU hosts UVA before consecutive road trips to Louisville and Miami. The \u2018Noles also face Clemson, Pitt and Florida over the back half of the schedule.<\/p>\n

The inventory space includes returning production per Bill Connelly<\/a>, the On3 top-100<\/a> list and the Athlon preseason All-Conference Team honorees. The \u2019Noles returning production is 48th in FBS at 57% production. FSU has two players on the On3 top-100 list in WR Deuce Robinson (74th) and DL Mandrell Desir (97th). The \u2018Noles have one player on the Athlon All-ACC Team and that\u2019s Robinson.<\/p>\n

\"CLEMSON,<\/a><\/p>\n

CLEMSON, SOUTH CAROLINA – NOVEMBER 08: Mandrell Desir #93 of the Florida State Seminoles sacks Cade Klubnik #2 of the Clemson Tigers during the first half of a football game at Memorial Stadium on November 08, 2025 in Clemson, South Carolina. (Photo by David Jensen\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n

FSU hit the transfer portal for four of their five potential starting OL in \u201826. They also brought in QB Ashton Daniels (Auburn) and RB Quintrevion Wisner (Texas). Daniels is another FSU QB with a penchant for throwing interceptions.<\/p>\n

Robinson averaged 19.3 yards per catch with six scores in 2025. Wisner adds over four yards per carry and three TD\u2019s from his run at Texas. On defense M. Desir returns with 7.5 TFL\u2019s and 6.5 sacks from a year ago.<\/p>\n

Southern Miss transfer LB Chris Jones logged 9.5 TFL\u2019s and 3.5 sacks a year ago. Another transfer, this one DB Nehemiah Chandler, picked up 13 PBU\u2019s last season with two INT\u2019s.<\/p>\n

Mike Norvell is committing highway robbery with the past two seasons performances. After the 13-1 season and the Alabama opening with Nick Saban\u2019s retirement, Norvell landed himself a nice raise up to $10.3M a season. The issue is they\u2019ve only won six games per season under Norvell which adds up to $1.7M per win. That\u2019s second to only Bill Belichick in the grand theft coaching category.<\/p>\n

There is no chance the goal at FSU is anything short of eight wins. What a sad cry from only three seasons ago when the \u2018Noles were potentially a national championship program. That\u2019s the crux of the transfer portal, live by the transfer \/ die by the transfer.<\/p>\n

\"TALLAHASSEE,<\/a><\/p>\n

TALLAHASSEE, FL – MARCH 13: Head Coach Mike Norvell of the Florida State Seminoles during Spring Football Practice at the Albert J. Dunlap Athletic Training Facility on the campus of Florida State University on March 13, 2026 in Tallahassee, Florida. (Photo by Don Juan Moore\/Getty Images) Getty Images<\/p>\n

Highly successful clubs have started to be extremely careful with who comes in and out of their program, think: Ohio State, Notre Dame, Indiana and even lately- Miami. The vetting process is pivotal for not bottlenecking your success by bringing in locker room cancers.<\/p>\n

Season Prediction: I can see this winding up anywhere from 5-7 to 7-5. They\u2019ve got the 2nd most players on the On3 top-11 than anyone else on Miami\u2019s schedule (ND has five). They also have the 15th best grouping of talent in the country. And yet I just can\u2019t see Daniels, four new OL, a new RB, and another dozen guys on defense gelling together under Mike Norvell and into some phoenix that rises from the ashes of the ACC cellar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"After a stellar run at Memphis Mike Norvell has had a rollercoaster run in Tallahassee as the Florida…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":334292,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[28,30,29,4980],"class_list":["post-334291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-florida","tag-florida","tag-florida-headlines","tag-florida-news","tag-football-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/334291","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=334291"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/334291\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/334292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=334291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=334291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=334291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}