{"id":33742,"date":"2025-11-05T02:47:24","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T02:47:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/33742\/"},"modified":"2025-11-05T02:47:24","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T02:47:24","slug":"college-football-week-11-bowl-projections-can-unc-reach-six-win-mark-to-earn-an-invite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/33742\/","title":{"rendered":"College football Week 11 bowl projections: Can UNC reach six-win mark to earn an invite?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Athletic has live coverage of the first release of the 2025 College Football Playoff rankings.<\/a><\/p>\n

Do you want to share your predictions, analysis or thoughts on Saturday\u2019s LSU-Alabama game? Get involved with our coverage at live@theathletic.com.<\/p>\n

As we start weekly bowl projections through Selection Sunday (Dec. 7), 52 teams have become postseason-eligible, and 22 are one win away from earning a bowl bid with 82 spots at stake. Beyond the College Football Playoff race, there are some interesting developing stories in the push for bowl season, especially among the season\u2019s most disappointing teams.<\/p>\n

Florida State has fluctuated between big wins and crushingly close losses. After blasting Wake Forest on Saturday, the Seminoles (4-4) face three teams with losing records over their final four games, two of which have already fired their head coach. But as we\u2019ve seen, Florida State can win \u2014 or lose \u2014 any game.<\/p>\n

North Carolina (3-5) has shown improvement the last three weeks, and with three wins over the final four games, Bill Belichick\u2019s crew will become bowl eligible. The Tar Heels play Stanford this week, then close the season against their three in-state ACC rivals: Wake Forest, Duke and NC State.<\/p>\n

Penn State (3-5) has yet to win in Big Ten play and is a 13-point home underdog to No. 2 Indiana this week. But the Nittany Lions have three winnable games to close out the season: at Michigan State, home against Nebraska and at Rutgers.<\/p>\n

Clemson (3-5) and Florida (3-5) also have opportunities to enter the bowl picture, but they\u2019re not there yet. Let\u2019s see an upset or two before they make our projected field.<\/p>\n

A couple of notes:<\/p>\n

This is the second season for the 12-team CFP field, and it has not yet been decided whether it will remain as is or expand to 16 teams for the 2026-27 season. As for this year, the highest-ranked five conference champions plus the top seven at-large selections qualify for the CFP.<\/p>\n

The top four teams earn first-round byes without regard to conference championship results. Those teams will play in the Cotton (Dec. 31), Orange (Jan. 1), Rose (Jan. 1) and Sugar (Dec. 31) bowls on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1. Teams seeded 5-8 will host seeds 9-12 on Dec. 19-20. Should the Big Ten and SEC champions earn byes, they will play in the Rose and Sugar bowls, respectively.<\/p>\n

The former Pac-12 schools still are slotted based on the conference\u2019s old agreements, which expire after the season. But it\u2019s possible those deals could extend by a year, depending on CFP negotiations. In the meantime, we might see an in-conference clash in the Alamo or Vegas bowls.<\/p>\n

The Bahamas Bowl, which is owned by ESPN Events, will move to an undetermined location next month.<\/p>\n

BowlMatchup<\/p>\n

Playoff
\n Dec. 19, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

8 Texas Tech<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

9 BYU<\/p>\n

Playoff
\n Dec. 20, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

6 Oregon<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

11 Virginia<\/p>\n

Playoff
\n Dec. 20, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

5 Georgia<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

12 Memphis<\/p>\n

Playoff
\n Dec. 20, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

7 Ole Miss<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

10 Notre Dame<\/p>\n

Cotton
\n Dec. 31, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

2 Indiana<\/p>\n

Ole Miss\/ND winner<\/p>\n

Orange
\n Jan. 1, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

4 Alabama<\/p>\n

UGA\/Memphis winner<\/p>\n

Rose
\n Jan. 1, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

1 Ohio State<\/p>\n

Texas Tech\/BYU winner<\/p>\n

Sugar
\n Jan. 1, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

3 Texas A&M<\/p>\n

Oregon\/UVA winner<\/p>\n

Fiesta
\n Jan. 8, 2026<\/p>\n

QF winner<\/p>\n

QF winner<\/p>\n

Peach
\n Jan. 9, 2026<\/p>\n

QF winner<\/p>\n

QF winner<\/p>\n

Championship
\n Jan. 19, 2026<\/p>\n

SF winner<\/p>\n

SF winner<\/p>\n

BowlMatchup<\/p>\n

LA
\n Dec. 13, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Pac-12 6 Arizona<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MWC 1 San Diego State<\/p>\n

Salute to Veterans
\n Dec. 16, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Sun Belt Troy<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MAC Miami (OH)<\/p>\n

Cure
\n Dec. 17, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Sun Belt James Madison<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

G5\/Open USF<\/p>\n

68 Ventures
\n Dec. 17, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Sun Belt Coastal Carolina<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MAC Buffalo<\/p>\n

Myrtle Beach
\n Dec. 19, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Sun Belt Old Dominion<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open Western Kentucky<\/p>\n

Gasparilla
\n Dec. 19, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC\/ACC\/AAC Florida State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open Kansas<\/p>\n

Famous Idaho Potato
\n Dec. 22, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MWC UNLV<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MAC Central Michigan<\/p>\n

Boca Raton
\n Dec. 23, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open UConn<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open Marshall<\/p>\n

New Orleans
\n Dec. 23, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Sun Belt Southern Miss<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

CUSA Kennesaw State<\/p>\n

Frisco
\n Dec. 23, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

G5 Arkansas State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

G5\/Open North Texas<\/p>\n

Hawai’i
\n Dec. 24, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MWC Hawaii<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

American East Carolina<\/p>\n

GameAbove Sports
\n Dec. 26, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 8 Northwestern<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MAC Western Michigan<\/p>\n

Rate
\n Dec. 26, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 7 Minnesota<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big 12 6 Iowa State<\/p>\n

First Responder
\n Dec. 26, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open California<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open UTSA<\/p>\n

Military
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

American Navy<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 8 Wake Forest<\/p>\n

Pinstripe
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 6 Penn State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 5-7 Pittsburgh<\/p>\n

Fenway
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 9 NC State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

American Temple<\/p>\n

Arizona
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MWC Boise State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MAC 2 Ohio<\/p>\n

Pop-Tarts
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big 12 3 Cincinnati<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 2-4 Louisville<\/p>\n

New Mexico
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MWC New Mexico<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open Washington State<\/p>\n

Gator
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 2-4 Miami<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 3-8 Tennessee<\/p>\n

Texas
\n Dec. 27, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big 12 4 Houston<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 3-8 LSU<\/p>\n

Birmingham
\n Dec. 29, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC\/SEC\/Open North Carolina<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC\/ACC\/Open Maryland<\/p>\n

Independence
\n Dec. 30, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big 12 7 Baylor<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

CUSA Louisiana Tech<\/p>\n

Music City
\n Dec. 30, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 5 Illinois<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 3-8 Vanderbilt<\/p>\n

Alamo
\n Dec. 30, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big 12 2 TCU<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Pac-12 2 Washington<\/p>\n

ReliaQuest
\n Dec. 31, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 3 Iowa<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 3-8 Oklahoma<\/p>\n

Sun
\n Dec. 31, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 5-7 SMU<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Pac-12 5 Arizona State<\/p>\n

Citrus
\n Dec. 31, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 2 Michigan<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 2 Texas<\/p>\n

Las Vegas
\n Dec. 31, 2025<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Pac-12 3 Utah<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big Ten 4 Nebraska<\/p>\n

Armed Forces
\n Jan. 2, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Open Fresno State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

American Tulane<\/p>\n

Liberty
\n Jan. 2, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Big 12 5 Kansas State<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 3-8 Mississippi State<\/p>\n

Duke’s Mayo
\n Jan. 2, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

SEC 3-8 Missouri<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 5-7 Duke<\/p>\n

Holiday
\n Jan. 2, 2026<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

ACC 2-4 Georgia Tech<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

Pac-12 4 USC<\/p>\n

Bahamas\/TBD
\n undefined NaN, NaN<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

MAC Toledo<\/p>\n

\"Logo<\/p>\n

CUSA Jacksonville State<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Athletic has live coverage of the first release of the 2025 College Football Playoff rankings. Do you…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":33743,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[23628,6791,2536,4697,6786,143,2513,2516,6781,23625,9944,3731,4683,2514,2523,6795,6796,2525,6793,3733,2515,4680,6784,5079,2520,4647,6785,4646,6787,4676,10532,4695,4699,4684,6790,22109,4678,6761,21794,4700,6782,23627,232,234,233,6794,6780,6792,2526,4691,3865,6764,4682,6755,6788,23626],"class_list":["post-33742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tallahassee","tag-a","tag-baylor-bears","tag-byu-cougars","tag-cincinnati-bearcats","tag-clemson-tigers","tag-college-football","tag-connecticut-huskies","tag-duke-blue-devils","tag-east-carolina-pirates","tag-fiu-golden-panthers","tag-florida-atlantic-owls","tag-florida-state-seminoles","tag-georgia-tech-yellow-jackets","tag-houston-cougars","tag-illinois-fighting-illini","tag-indiana-hoosiers","tag-iowa-hawkeyes","tag-iowa-state-cyclones","tag-kansas-state-wildcats","tag-louisiana-tech-bulldogs","tag-louisville-cardinals","tag-maryland-terrapins","tag-memphis-tigers","tag-miami-hurricanes","tag-michigan-wolverines","tag-minnesota-golden-gophers","tag-navy-midshipmen","tag-nebraska-cornhuskers","tag-north-carolina-state-wolfpack","tag-north-carolina-tar-heels","tag-north-texas-mean-green","tag-northwestern-wildcats","tag-notre-dame-fighting-irish","tag-ohio-state-buckeyes","tag-oklahoma-sooners","tag-old-dominion-monarchs","tag-penn-state-nittany-lions","tag-pittsburgh-panthers","tag-rice-owls","tag-smu-mustangs","tag-south-florida-bulls","tag-southern-mississippi-golden-eagles","tag-tallahassee","tag-tallahassee-headlines","tag-tallahassee-news","tag-tcu-horned-frogs","tag-temple-owls","tag-texas-longhorns","tag-texas-tech-red-raiders","tag-tulane-green-wave","tag-ucf-knights","tag-utsa-roadrunners","tag-virginia-cavaliers","tag-virginia-tech-hokies","tag-wake-forest-demon-deacons","tag-western-kentucky-hilltoppers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33742\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}