{"id":343348,"date":"2026-07-17T12:11:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T12:11:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/343348\/"},"modified":"2026-07-17T12:11:14","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T12:11:14","slug":"tampa-bay-rays-vs-boston-red-sox-prediction-pick-for-friday-7-17-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/343348\/","title":{"rendered":"Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox prediction, pick for Friday 7\/17\/26"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even the most causal baseball fan knows that the regular season is a marathon, not a sprint. No team is better proof of that adage than the Red Sox (46-48). Most assumed Boston\u2019s season was all but finished just a month ago; injury issues, a midseason managerial change, and an irate fanbase aren\u2019t hallmarks of a contender.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then, something miraculous happened: the team started racking up wins. Boston comes into Friday on a nine-game winning streak, shoehorning its way into a wide-open American League playoff race. This weekend presents a major test against the division-leading Rays (56-38). Tampa Bay has plenty on the line as well, hoping to fend off the second place Yankees. Given the stakes, this matinee matchup promises to be a must-watch affair.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Red Sox are <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/event\/tb-rays-%2540-bos-red-sox\/34397763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">favorites (-123)<\/a> over the Rays, with the <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/event\/tb-rays-%2540-bos-red-sox\/34397763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">over\/under set at 8.5 runs<\/a>. Below, I\u2019ve laid out my preview, prediction, and best bet for Friday\u2019s showdown between Tampa Bay and Boston on <a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs. Red Sox pick, best bet today<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/event\/tb-rays-%2540-bos-red-sox\/34397763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Rays vs. Red Sox under 8.5 runs (-110)<\/a>: Jax has been on a heater lately, and Boston\u2019s bats struggle at Fenway. In comparison, Bennett has excelled during his time in the big leagues. To boot, the Rays are among baseball\u2019s worst against left-handed pitching.<\/p>\n<p>Rays vs. Red Sox prediction, preview<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Friday afternoon marks the first game of a double-header. Keeping that in mind, it\u2019s not unusual to see the Rays opt for a bullpen game during the opening matchup. However, Griffin Jax has proven he\u2019s more than just an opener. The 31-year-old has emerged as a key piece in Tampa Bay\u2019s rotation. Through 70.0 innings (14 starts), the right-hander has notched a 3.47 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 71 strikeouts (9.1 K\/9). He comes into this one with momentum as well. Jax has allowed three earned runs or fewer in each of his previous seven starts. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although he gives up plenty of hard contact, Jax does an excellent job at getting batters to chase. That could spell trouble this evening for the Red Sox. Granted, this group has turned things around to some degree at the plate. They\u2019ve scored the eighth-most runs in baseball (50) during their last ten games. Still, it\u2019s fair to express some long term skepticism in regards to Boston\u2019s offense. After all, the team is putting up an MLB-worst 3.55 runs per game when playing at home. For whatever reason, the hitter-friendly confines of Fenway Park haven\u2019t brought much success in Beantown. Keep in mind, the Red Sox reeled off all nine games of their win streak on the road. To make matters worse, Boston is tied for the league\u2019s second-worst OPS vs. righties (.675).<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the other side, Jake Bennett will get the nod this afternoon. It\u2019ll be the ninth start in what\u2019s turned out to be a solid rookie campaign. During 47.2 innings pitched, he\u2019s accounted for a 2.64 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 35 strikeouts (6.6 K\/9). The 25-year-old doesn\u2019t have wipeout stuff, instead relying on weak contact and superior command. Bennett has a minuscule 1.5 BB\/9 ratio so far, a promising sign for any inexperienced arm. He\u2019s been slightly worse when pitching at Fenway (3.27 ERA), but that\u2019s to be expected; the park has always been more favorable to right-handers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fortunately for Boston, this Rays offense is far from a sure thing. Junior Caminero was hit on the hand with a pitch during Tuesday\u2019s All-Star Game; his status for Friday is questionable. Even if the slugger does play, he\u2019s one of just four regulars in the lineup with a wRC+ above 100. To boot, this has proven to be a difficult matchup for Tampa Bay. The team has a .689 OPS against left-handed pitching, ninth-worst in the majors. This offense also works the fifth-most walks per game on the road (3.70). Those free passes may not come so easy against an accurate hurler such as Bennett.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/event\/tb-rays-%2540-bos-red-sox\/34397763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Best Bet: Rays vs. Red Sox under 8.5 runs (-110)<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bennett and Jax are unlikely standouts, but both pitchers have impressed over the past few months. The former just needs to navigate a dangerous Tampa Bay trio of hitters, which may not include Caminero. As for the latter, Boston has yet to prove they can generate consistent offense when playing at home. Factor in a lengthy All-Star break, and this has the makings of a low-scoring affair.<\/p>\n<p>More MLB Content &amp; Betting Picks<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tail all of today\u2019s MLB action in the DKN Betting Group\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sportsbook.draftkings.com\/social\/bettinggroup\/75e9b71e7ad44365a4e8ada2aefc9341?activityKey=43d0f0660fd546ebb27343cdb731ec25&amp;liveChatActivityKey=692be64671d540538f08cce8226a21a7&amp;slipAdd#activeTab=bettinggroups\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Even the most causal baseball fan knows that the regular season is a marathon, not a sprint. No&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":343349,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[135,137,136],"class_list":["post-343348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tampa","tag-tampa","tag-tampa-headlines","tag-tampa-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=343348"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343348\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/343349"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=343348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=343348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=343348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}