{"id":345771,"date":"2026-07-20T08:53:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T08:53:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/345771\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T08:53:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T08:53:10","slug":"new-survey-finds-byron-donalds-ahead-of-david-jolly-as-floridas-governor-race-tightens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/345771\/","title":{"rendered":"New survey finds Byron Donalds ahead of David Jolly as Florida&#8217;s Governor race tightens"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Yet another survey of Florida voters shows November\u2019s election for Governor may look more like the old days than the 2022 Republican landslide.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">A poll from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.unf.edu\/coas\/porl\/index.html\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">University of North Florida\u2019s Public Opinion Research Lab<\/a> shows potential Republican nominee <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/808145-donalds-jolly-boring-change\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Byron Donalds<\/a> ahead of likely Democratic pick <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/808387-david-jolly-rallies-democrats-attacking-byron-donalds-at-leadership-blue\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">David Jolly<\/a> 51% to 46%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The survey tracks with an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.270towin.com\/2026-governor-polls\/florida\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">average of recent polls<\/a> showing Donalds ahead by a similar margin, and again shows a race where the massive Republican registration advantage may not translate into an overwhelming win for the GOP.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Part of the reason it is so close is because Jolly, a former Republican Congressman turned moderate Democrat, does a better job getting voters to cross over than does Donalds, a Congressman from Naples powered to the front of the Primary race by President <a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/807829-block-out-the-noise-byron-donalds-takes-political-lessons-from-donald-trump\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Donald Trump\u2019s<\/a> endorsement.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Jolly takes 7% of Republicans, suggesting Donalds will have some work to do if he wins the Primary as expected. Donalds only takes 2% of Democrats. Voters outside of the two parties are almost evenly split, with Donalds taking 39% and Jolly 38%.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.moffitt.org\/taking-care-of-your-health\/taking-care-of-your-health-story-archive\/digital-pathology-in-cancer-care-for-rural-communities\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-794634 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Moffitt_FL-Politics-Digital-Innovation-Programatic-Ad_728-\u00d7-90.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Donalds, who could be the first Black man to be Governor, has yet to translate what would be a historic achievement into appeal to Black voters. Just 6% of those polled back him, compared to 83% behind Jolly.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Jolly leads with Hispanic voters also, 53% to 35%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">However, White voters are on board with Donalds, 55% to 34%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Donalds is most dominant in North Florida, leading Jolly 52% to 31%. He also leads in Central Florida, 46% to 43%. However, Jolly is up in South Florida, 45% to 43%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Interestingly, the survey shows Donalds with some work to do with Trump voters despite the endorsement. He takes 87% of that group. While only 2% support Jolly, with 6% preferring \u201csomeone else,\u201d the attrition suggests that the President\u2019s preference isn\u2019t guaranteeing universal support.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aarp.org\/states\/florida\/work-save-hub\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-796632 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/728x903.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Jolly is the preference of 90% of those who voted for Democrat Kamala Harris in 2024, with Donalds taking just 2%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Both Donalds and Jolly have moved toward General Election messaging.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Donalds is warning Republicans that Jolly will attempt to message the way President Barack Obama did in 2008, selling a purportedly radical agenda with measured language and unifying rhetoric.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Jolly said that he would win if the election were right now at Saturday\u2019s the Florida Democratic Party\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/stech.floridadems.org\/leadership-blue-2026\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Leadership Blue<\/a> conference, but acknowledged he will need a coalition that is \u201cbigger than our party\u201d to prevail ultimately<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The poll was conducted between July 8 and July 17. It has a +\/- 3.8% margin of error. Republicans made up 46% of the sample, Democrats 33%, and the remainder is classified as \u201cNPA\/Other.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Yet another survey of Florida voters shows November\u2019s election for Governor may look more like the old days&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":345772,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7380,445,1813,409,28,30,29,141643],"class_list":["post-345771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-florida","tag-2026-governors-race","tag-byron-donalds","tag-david-jolly","tag-donald-trump","tag-florida","tag-florida-headlines","tag-florida-news","tag-university-of-north-florida-public-opinion-research-lab"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/345771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=345771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/345771\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/345772"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=345771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=345771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=345771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}