{"id":415575,"date":"2026-10-01T09:58:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T09:58:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/415575\/"},"modified":"2026-10-01T09:58:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T09:58:16","slug":"freddie-mac-house-price-index-increased-in-august-up-2-2-year-over-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/415575\/","title":{"rendered":"Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August; Up 2.2% Year-over-year"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Note: The Freddie Mac index is a repeat sales index using only loans purchased by Fannie and Freddie and includes appraisals. See <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/research\/indices\/fmhpi-faq\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FAQs here<\/a>. Freddie has data for all states and many cities. For house prices, I\u2019m currently following Case-Shiller, FHFA, ICE, the NAR median prices, and this Freddie Mac index.<\/p>\n<p>Freddie Mac reported that its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/research\/indices\/house-price-index\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cNational\u201d Home Price Index (FMHPI)<\/a> increased 0.31% month-over-month (MoM) on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis in August.  <\/p>\n<p>On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, the National FMHPI was up 2.2% in August, up from up 1.9% YoY in July. The YoY increase peaked at 19.1% in July 2021, and for this cycle, and bottomed at up 1.0% YoY in January 2026.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!M0KN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F304a9cd6-7c17-4886-bc83-494b097a0c2f_1690x978.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/304a9cd6-7c17-4886-bc83-494b097a0c2f_1690.jpeg\" width=\"1456\" height=\"843\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/304a9cd6-7c17-4886-bc83-494b097a0c2f_1690x978.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:843,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:195452,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/i\/217302196?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F304a9cd6-7c17-4886-bc83-494b097a0c2f_1690x978.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The second graph shows the month-over-month (MoM) change in the national FMHPI, seasonally adjusted.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!-mXt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ce1e94f-6d45-4e5a-9930-f0e6eb162382_1700x1050.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/3ce1e94f-6d45-4e5a-9930-f0e6eb162382_1700.jpeg\" width=\"1456\" height=\"899\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/3ce1e94f-6d45-4e5a-9930-f0e6eb162382_1700x1050.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:899,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:106187,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/i\/217302196?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ce1e94f-6d45-4e5a-9930-f0e6eb162382_1700x1050.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The FMHPI increased 0.31% MoM on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis in July.   <\/p>\n<p>Last year, the FMHPI decreased slightly in September, so the year-over-year change next month will likely be slightly higher than in August, however, in 2025 the last months of the year were fairly sold &#8211; and this year will likely be weaker.<\/p>\n<p>As of August, 15 states and D.C. were below their previous peaks, Seasonally Adjusted. The largest seasonally adjusted declines from the recent peaks are in D.C. (-2.3%), Washington (-2.2%), South Carolina (-1.8%) and Florida (-1.6%).<\/p>\n<p>For cities (Core-based Statistical Areas, CBSA), 158 of the 387 CBSAs are below their previous peaks.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the 30 cities with the largest declines from the peak, seasonally adjusted. Punta Gorda, Austin and Cape Coral has seen double digit price declines.  Note that the top 6 cities with the largest price declines are in Florida and Texas.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!g5dQ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa444a604-a6c7-454d-ad47-17a25f5b9f05_940x1220.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/a444a604-a6c7-454d-ad47-17a25f5b9f05_940x.png\" width=\"940\" height=\"1220\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/a444a604-a6c7-454d-ad47-17a25f5b9f05_940x1220.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1220,&quot;width&quot;:940,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:203817,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/i\/217302196?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa444a604-a6c7-454d-ad47-17a25f5b9f05_940x1220.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   loading=\"lazy\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here is a comparison of year-over-year change in the FMHPI, median house prices from the NAR, and the Case-Shiller National index.<\/p>\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!ny46!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3de59b40-2977-4759-b1e2-5a02ccad04d2_1540x888.png\" data-component-name=\"Image2ToDOM\" class=\"image-link image2 is-viewable-img can-restack\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/3de59b40-2977-4759-b1e2-5a02ccad04d2_1540.jpeg\" width=\"1456\" height=\"840\" data-attrs=\"{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/images\/3de59b40-2977-4759-b1e2-5a02ccad04d2_1540x888.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:840,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:205545,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image\/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/i\/217302196?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3de59b40-2977-4759-b1e2-5a02ccad04d2_1540x888.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}\" alt=\"\"   loading=\"lazy\" class=\"sizing-normal\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The FMHPI and the <a href=\"https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/p\/nar-existing-home-sales-decreased-ee1\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NAR median prices<\/a> (up 1.6% YoY in August) appear to be leading indicators for Case-Shiller. The <a href=\"https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/p\/case-shiller-national-house-price-a07\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Case-Shiller index was up 1.9%<\/a> YoY in July. The FMHPI is suggesting the Case-Shiller index will likely be up slightly more year-over-year in the August report compared to July.<\/p>\n<p>With higher mortgage rates and some increase in inventory, it is likely the year-over-year change will slow later this year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"cta-caption\">Thanks for reading CalculatedRisk Newsletter! This post is public so feel free to share it.<\/p>\n<p data-attrs=\"{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/p\/freddie-mac-house-price-index-increased-1bd?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Share&quot;}\" data-component-name=\"ButtonCreateButton\" class=\"button-wrapper\"><a href=\"https:\/\/calculatedrisk.substack.com\/p\/freddie-mac-house-price-index-increased-1bd?utm_source=substack&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_content=share&amp;action=share\" class=\"button primary\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Share<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Note: The Freddie Mac index is a repeat sales index using only loans purchased by Fannie and Freddie&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":415576,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[209,211,210],"class_list":["post-415575","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-cape-coral","tag-cape-coral","tag-cape-coral-headlines","tag-cape-coral-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/415575","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=415575"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/415575\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/415576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=415575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=415575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=415575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}