Spread<\/p>\n
Bucs +8.5 (-108)Cowboys -8.5 (-112)<\/p>\n
Moneyline<\/p>\n
Total<\/p>\n
47.5 (Over -115\/Under -105)<\/p>\n
The Cowboys opened as 10-point favorites in this matchup<\/a>, but that line has come down to 8.5 in the lead up to Thursday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n Tampa Bay has really struggled against the spread this season, yet Daniels looked competent in Week 4 in a narrow loss to Green Bay.\u00a0<\/p>\n Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Score Prediction<\/p>\n Each week, SI Betting\u2019s Iain MacMillan shares his best bets for every NFL game in his Road to 272 column<\/a>, and he\u2019s taking the Bucs to cover in Week 5:\u00a0<\/p>\n I know the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ offense has been bad this year, and Jalon Daniels is going to get another start, but I can’t lay this many points on this Cowboys team based on how truly awful their defense is. They rank 31st in opponent EPA per play, 32nd in opponent success rate, 32nd in defensive DVOA, and last in opponent yards per play, giving up 6.4 yards per snap.<\/p>\n Even when facing a depleted Buccaneers’ offense led by an undrafted rookie at quarterback, I have no faith in them being able to hold a big enough lead to cover this spread.<\/p>\n We should also give credit to the Buccaneers’ defense, which is fifth in opponent EPA per play and sixth in opponent success rate while giving up only 5.0 yards per snap this season.<\/p>\n With that big of a discrepancy on the defensive side of the ball, I’ll take the points with Tampa Bay.<\/p>\n There are some serious concerns with the Dallas defense, which is one of the three-worst teams in the league in EPA\/Play, yet they\u2019re a top-five team in EPA\/Play on offense. So, I really like the OVER on Thursday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n Dallas should be able to move the ball fairly easily in this game, and I think the Bucs looked better than expected in a cover against Green Bay in Week 4. I\u2019ll bet on Dallas winning with another 30-point showing on Thursday.\u00a0<\/p>\n Final Score Prediction: Cowboys 31, Bucs 23<\/p>\n Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.<\/p>\n If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n Claim the latest DraftKings promo code<\/a> offer today. Sign up and get $150 in bonus bets instantly when you make your first $5 bet.<\/a><\/p>\n
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