Ingoglia leads slightly with 44.3%, while Taddeo has 42% support. The difference is well within the poll\u2019s 3.4-point margin of error.<\/p>\n
Both candidates have more than three-quarters of their party base behind them \u2014 Ingoglia with 77.9% Republican support, compared to 79.2% for Taddeo. But Taddeo enjoys more crossovers, with 12% of registered Republicans saying they\u2019ll vote for her, compared to 6.8% of Democrats who plan to vote for Ingoglia.<\/p>\n
Taddeo also leads by more than 10 points with voters who belong to a third party or no party, 45.4% to 35.1%.<\/p>\n Ingoglia is stronger among non-Hispanic White and Asian\/Pacific Islander voters, at 53.2% and 50% support, respectively, compared to 34.1% and 38.9% for Taddeo. But Taddeo leads with Black and Hispanic voters: more than 69% of Black voters plan to vote for Taddeo, compared to just 9.3% who side with Ingoglia, and the split among Hispanics is 50.4% Taddeo, 39.7% Ingoglia.<\/p>\n Taddeo edges Ingoglia among members of the electorate who identify as belonging to another race or ethnicity, too, with 43.9% support to Ingoglia\u2019s 39%.<\/p>\n Age is also a major divider. The younger a voter is, the more likely they are to side with the challenger.<\/p>\n Among voters 18-29, Taddeo holds a nearly 34-point lead. She also leads voters 30-49 by 12.7 points and edges Ingoglia with voters 50-69 by 1 point.<\/p>\n Ingoglia, meanwhile, overwhelmingly wins with voters 70 and older \u2014 a sizable portion of an age cohort that historically has had the highest turnout rates<\/a> \u2014 with double the support (62.8%) of Taddeo (31.4%).<\/p>\n Geographically, Taddeo holds strong advantages in media markets including Miami, Orlando, Pensacola and Tallahassee, while Ingoglia carries Gainesville, Jacksonville, Panama City, Tampa, West Palm Beach and Fort Myers.<\/p>\n St. Pete Polls surveyed 836 likely General Election voters by phone and text Oct. 5-7. Pollsters weighted the results, which had a 95% confidence level, to account for proportional differences between respondents\u2019 demographics and the demographics of Florida\u2019s active voter population.<\/p>\n The poll follows prior canvassing queries in September and May that yielded similar results.<\/p>\n San Francisco-based Change Research<\/a>, through a survey conducted Sept. 7-9, found Ingoglia and Taddeo at 44% voter support each<\/a>, despite a lopsided registration ledger that now shows the Florida GOP with a 1.55 million-voter advantage.<\/p>\n SEA Polling & Strategic Design<\/a> found a tie as well, with 42% support for each candidate, in a survey the Sarasota-headquartered firm ran Sept. 7-13.<\/p>\n SEA compared this year\u2019s CFO race to Florida\u2019s 2006 CFO contest, when Democrat Alex Sink defeated Republican Tom Lee. An early October Survey USA poll that year had Lee ahead of Sink 49% to 47%, with Sink leading among no-party voters by 11 points.<\/p>\n Sink ultimately won by 7 points. SEA wrote that the current political climate has \u201cerased a 13-point Republican registration advantage.\u201d<\/p>\n Taddeo\u2019s strong showing, despite Ingoglia\u2019s incumbency advantage and a lack of broad name recognition for both candidates, had been predicted in a survey Ruth\u2019s List Florida commissioned<\/a> before she entered the race, which found she\u2019d narrowly lead<\/a> Ingoglia in a head-to-head matchup.<\/p>\n Ingoglia, a Spring Hill resident, was appointed<\/a> CFO by Gov. Ron DeSantis in July 2025. He succeeded Republican Jimmy Patronis, who left the Office for a successful run at Congress.<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1791525977_999_Seann-Frazier-Web-Ad-3-Florida-Politics-Updated.jpg\")
<\/a><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1791525978_973_728x903.png\")
<\/a><\/p>\n