{"id":430460,"date":"2026-10-17T12:44:40","date_gmt":"2026-10-17T12:44:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/430460\/"},"modified":"2026-10-17T12:44:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T12:44:40","slug":"rays-at-guardians-mlb-alcs-game-4-prediction-picks-odds-for-oct-16-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/430460\/","title":{"rendered":"Rays at Guardians MLB ALCS Game 4 Prediction, Picks & Odds for Oct. 16, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Follow teams\"Cleveland\"TampaGet Athlon in your Google feed<\/p>\n

The Tampa Bay Rays<\/a> and Cleveland Guardians<\/a> are back at it for a pivotal Game 4 of the American League Championship Series on Friday at 8 p.m. ET at Progressive Field.<\/p>\n

Cleveland will be facing a Rays squad that will be determined to avoid a 3-1 hole in the series after letting the previous game slip away. Tampa Bay fell just short of the Guardians by a score of 3-2.<\/p>\n

Tampa Bay received a good showing from Tyler Wells, who tossed two innings while giving up no earned runs on one hit. Wells had some trouble finding his footing against Cleveland on Monday, so this was a nice turnaround.<\/p>\n

The Rays struggled to read pitches and finished the game with 13 strikeouts, their most since March 30, when they struck out 14 times vs. Milwaukee \u2014 the opponent Tampa Bay is striving to face in the World Series.<\/p>\n

At the plate, Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez has been Cleveland\u2019s hottest hitter, going 6-for-12 through the first three games, while Chase DeLauter is 4-for-10 with a home run, two doubles, and two RBIs. Tampa Bay has received its steadiest production from Jonny DeLuca, who leads the Rays with four hits, while Chandler Simpson delivered their biggest hit in Game 3 with a two-run triple.<\/p>\n

How to WatchTampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians<\/p>\n

Date: Oct. 16, 2026<\/p>\n

Time: 8 p.m. ET<\/p>\n

Venue: Progressive Field<\/p>\n

TV: TBS, truTV, HBO Max<\/p>\n

Streaming: Stream on Fubo<\/a><\/p>\n

Buy tickets: Buy Rays at Guardians tickets on Gametime<\/a><\/p>\n

MatchupProbable Starting Pitcher Analysis<\/p>\n

Nick Martinez TB<\/p>\n

2026 Season Stats: 15-6 | 3.14 ERA | 1.11 WHIP | 5.5 K\/9<\/p>\n

No decision in last start on Oct. 7 @ NYY: 3 2\/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H<\/p>\n

1.3 walks per nine innings this season; 2.3 last season<\/p>\n

Starts for the first time since Oct. 7<\/p>\n

Last start vs. CLE (July 25, home): (W) 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H<\/p>\n

Shawn Armstrong CLE<\/p>\n

Shawn Armstrong: first start this season<\/p>\n

0-0, 0.00 ERA in last six appearances; 3-1, 4.15 ERA in prior 39 games<\/p>\n

4.3 walks per nine innings this season; 2.4 last season<\/p>\n

2025 Season Stats: 4-2 | 1.82 ERA | 0.76 WHIP | 9.0 K\/9<\/p>\n

BettingTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians Odds<\/p>\n

MoneylineRun LineOver \/ UnderTB -114 \/ CLE -107TB -1.56.5<\/p>\n

Betting lines as of 10\/16\/2026 at 12:19 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.<\/p>\n

Stat CheckTampa Bay Rays: Who\u2019s Hot, Who\u2019s Not<\/p>\n

Who\u2019s Hot<\/p>\n

No players currently match our analysis around current trends.<\/p>\n

Who\u2019s Not<\/p>\n

\"Chandler COLD Chandler Simpson
0 walks in 18 straight games<\/p>\n

\"Liam COLD Liam Hicks
Previous Game: 0-3, 2 K
.217\/.288\/.283 since Sept. 9; .288\/.372\/.446 in prior 128 games<\/p>\n

\"Taylor COLD Taylor Walls
.125\/.125\/.167 in last seven games; .223\/.310\/.297 in prior 117 games
Previous Game: 0-3, 2 K<\/p>\n

Stat CheckCleveland Guardians: Who\u2019s Hot, Who\u2019s Not<\/p>\n

Who\u2019s Hot<\/p>\n

\"Jos\u00e9 HOT Jos\u00e9 Ram\u00edrez
.458\/.519\/.833 in last six games; .230\/.317\/.360 in prior 127 games<\/p>\n

\"Patrick HOT Patrick Bailey
.389\/.450\/.722 in last six games; .206\/.271\/.333 in prior 106 games<\/p>\n

\"Petey HOT Petey Halpin
4-11 in last four games; .223\/.271\/.324 in prior 69 games<\/p>\n

Who\u2019s Not<\/p>\n

\"Steven COLD Steven Kwan
0 extra-base hits in eight straight games
Previous Game: 0-4<\/p>\n

\"Travis COLD Travis Bazzana
2-14 in last four games; .242\/.334\/.405 in prior 128 games
Previous Game: 0-3<\/p>\n

\"Nathaniel COLD Nathaniel Lowe
.216\/.279\/.338 since Aug. 9; .269\/.343\/.488 in prior 84 games<\/p>\n

Recent FormLast 10 Games for Tampa Bay Rays (6-4)<\/p>\n

Recent FormLast 10 Games for Cleveland Guardians (6-4)<\/p>\n

PredictionFinal Score for Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians on Oct. 16, 2026<\/p>\n

Rays 3 \u2013 Guardians 5
Lean: Guardians
We\u2019ll take the Guardians with Nick Martinez still looking for answers after a rough last start.<\/p>\n

Disclosure: Some or all of this content may have been generated by AI. While we strive for accuracy, AI can occasionally produce incorrect information. If you buy something via one of our links, we may earn a commission.<\/p>\n

Athlon Sports may earn revenue from sports betting and predictive market operators for audience referrals to betting or predictive services. Sports betting and predictive market operators have no influence over our coverage<\/a>. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24\/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 888-BETS-OFF (888-238-7633) (MO). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice. Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose.\u202f While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.<\/p>\n

About the authors\"\"<\/p>\n

Athlon Sports’ digital sports news desk is assisted heavily by InfoSentience.com, covering data-specific content that has been created through human-made templates by multiple Athlon Sports staff members, including editorial, product and audience teams.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Fantasy Sports Managing Editor<\/p>\n

Since 2002, Bonini has been a leading fantasy football expert, featured in Sports Weekly, Pro Forecast, Cheat Sheets, and Fantasy Index magazines, with frequent appearances on ESPN Radio, SiriusXM, and various podcasts. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Follow teamsGet Athlon in your Google feed The Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians are back at it…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":430461,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[48421,3820,138647,96271,3817,169072,72086,167736,169075,168381,169076,169074,135,3815,137,136,84508,169073,167738],"class_list":["post-430460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tampa","tag-chandler-simpson","tag-cleveland-guardians","tag-jose-ramirez","tag-liam-hicks","tag-mlb","tag-nathaniel-lowe","tag-nick-martinez","tag-patrick-bailey","tag-petey-halpin","tag-progressive-field","tag-shawn-armstrong","tag-steven-kwan","tag-tampa","tag-tampa-bay-rays","tag-tampa-headlines","tag-tampa-news","tag-taylor-walls","tag-travis-bazzana","tag-tyler-wells"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/430460","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=430460"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/430460\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/430461"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=430460"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=430460"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=430460"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}