{"id":440988,"date":"2026-10-29T00:10:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T00:10:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/440988\/"},"modified":"2026-10-29T00:10:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T00:10:12","slug":"final-st-pete-polls-james-uthmeier-49-jose-javier-rodriguez-44-blaise-ingoglia-47-annette-taddeo-43","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/440988\/","title":{"rendered":"Final St. Pete Polls: James Uthmeier 49%, Jos\u00e9 Javier Rodr\u00edguez 44%; Blaise Ingoglia 47%, Annette Taddeo 43%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Attorney General\u00a0James Uthmeier\u00a0leads Democrat\u00a0Jos\u00e9 Javier Rodr\u00edguez\u00a049% to 44%, and Chief Financial Officer\u00a0Blaise Ingoglia\u00a0leads Democrat\u00a0Annette Taddeo\u00a047% to 43%, in a new\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stpetepolls.org\/files\/StPetePolls_2026_State_Gov_October27_P4GSI29L.pdf\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">St. Pete Polls<\/a>\u00a0survey for Florida Politics. The sample is weighted R+12. Republicans lead the ballots returned through Tuesday morning by four-tenths of a point.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Another 7% are undecided in the Attorney General race and 9% in the CFO race. Neither question offered a \u201csomeone else\u201d option. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Republicans outnumber Democrats on the rolls by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wlrn.org\/government-politics\/2026-10-19\/florida-democrats-see-minor-gain-but-republicans-keep-large-1-5-million-edge-with-registered-voters\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">roughly 1.5 million<\/a>, 5.69 million to 4.15 million at the Oct. 5 book closing, with 3.35 million more registered to no party. The rolls are R+8.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">St. Pete Polls\u2019\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/820651-poll-james-uthmeier-43-jose-javier-rodriguez-42-as-attorney-general-holds-narrow-edge-with-15-undecided\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">mid-September survey<\/a>\u00a0had Uthmeier ahead 43% to 42%, and its Oct. 5-7 survey had him ahead 45% to 43%. Undecided has gone from 15% to 12% to 7%. The CFO race was first tested in October, at 44% to 42% with 14% undecided.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Among respondents who said they had already voted, Rodr\u00edguez leads 56% to 41% and Taddeo leads 55% to 39%. Among those who still plan to vote, Uthmeier leads 56% to 33% and Ingoglia leads 55% to 33%, with 11% and 12% undecided.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.floridagas.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-593244 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1793232611_641_728x90-LO_Gif1.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"90\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Through Tuesday morning, mail ballots returned to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/countyfilesvbm-ev.floridados.gov\/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports\/PublicStats\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Division of Elections<\/a>\u00a0ran Democratic by 113,200. In-person early votes ran Republican by 125,966. Republicans had cast 12,766 more of the 3.15 million ballots returned.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Reweighted to R+10, Uthmeier leads 48% to 45% and Ingoglia 46% to 44%. At the registration split, Uthmeier leads 47% to 46% and the CFO race is tied at 45%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Uthmeier holds 83% of Republicans, up from 78% in October. Rodr\u00edguez holds 82% of Democrats, up from 79%. Independents favor Rodr\u00edguez 52% to 36%, with 13% undecided, after favoring him 48% to 37% last month. St. Pete Polls reports its demographic breakdowns before weighting.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ingoglia holds 82% of Republicans and Taddeo holds 81% of Democrats, each up about 3 points from October. Independents favor Taddeo 51% to 32%, with 18% undecided, up from 45% to 35%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Men back Uthmeier 50% to 42% and women back him 48% to 45%. In October, men leaned Rodr\u00edguez by 3 points. Men back Ingoglia 50% to 41%; women split 46% Ingoglia to 45% Taddeo.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.colodnyfass.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener external noreferrer nofollow\" data-wpel-link=\"external\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-767195 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1793232612_85_FloridaPolitics.com_ColodnyFass_728x90.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"728\" height=\"90\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Rodr\u00edguez leads 61% to 30% with voters under 30, 49% to 38% with those 30 to 49, and 48% to 45% with those 50 to 69. Uthmeier leads 66% to 30% with voters 70 and older. Taddeo leads 52% to 28% with voters under 30, 51% to 37% with those 30 to 49, and 47% to 45% with those 50 to 69. Ingoglia leads 63% to 30% with voters 70 and older.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">White voters back Uthmeier 59% to 35% and Ingoglia 57% to 34%. Black voters back Rodr\u00edguez 71% to 16% and Taddeo 71% to 18%. Hispanic voters back Rodr\u00edguez 52% to 41% and Taddeo 54% to 39%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Uthmeier leads the Tampa market 51% to 40%, Orlando 49% to 46%, Jacksonville 50% to 38%, West Palm Beach 48% to 43%, and Fort Myers 65% to 29%. Rodr\u00edguez leads his home Miami market 50% to 46%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ingoglia leads Tampa 49% to 41%, Orlando 51% to 41%, Jacksonville 49% to 41%, and Fort Myers 56% to 37%. Taddeo leads her home Miami market 48% to 46% and West Palm Beach 48% to 39%.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Uthmeier was Chief of Staff to Gov.\u00a0Ron DeSantis, who appointed him Attorney General in early 2025 after\u00a0Ashley Moody\u00a0left for the U.S. Senate. He has endorsements from President\u00a0Donald Trump, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/810185-he-has-stepped-up-to-the-plate-florida-sheriffs-association-backs-james-uthmeier-for-attorney-general\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Florida Sheriffs Association<\/a>, and the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/790218-james-uthmeier-gets-endorsement-from-florida-police-benevolent-association\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Florida Police Benevolent Association<\/a>. Rodr\u00edguez is a labor lawyer from Miami who served in the Florida House and Senate and was an Assistant Secretary of Labor under former President\u00a0Joe Biden.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ingoglia, a Spring Hill Republican, former state Senator, and former Chair of the Republican Party of Florida, was appointed CFO by DeSantis in July 2025 after\u00a0Jimmy Patronis\u00a0left for Congress. Taddeo is a former state Senator and former Chair of the Miami-Dade Democratic Party. She took nearly 66% of the vote in the Aug. 18 Primary, the strongest showing of any Democrat running statewide.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">St. Pete Polls surveyed 916 likely voters Oct. 25-27 for Florida Politics, using automated phone calls for 71% of responses and peer-to-peer text messages for 29%. Respondents were drawn at random from the state\u2019s registered voter file as of Oct. 14. Results were weighted by political party, race, age, gender, and media market to match Florida\u2019s active voter population. The weighted sample is 43% Republican, 31% Democratic, and 27% other. Voters who said they do not plan to vote in the General Election were excluded. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.2 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n<p class=\"ednote\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ed. note: This story was drafted with assistance from AI. Editorial judgment, sourcing, and final review were performed by\u00a0Peter Schorsch\u00a0and the Florida Politics editorial team.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Attorney General\u00a0James Uthmeier\u00a0leads Democrat\u00a0Jos\u00e9 Javier Rodr\u00edguez\u00a049% to 44%, and Chief Financial Officer\u00a0Blaise Ingoglia\u00a0leads Democrat\u00a0Annette Taddeo\u00a047% to 43%, in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":440989,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[166677,166678,138726,8232,2855,172082,2856,172083,14496,172084,34220,3464,4260,69896,23231,412,202,204,203,7382,199,201,200,33933],"class_list":["post-440988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-st-petersburg","tag-2026-attorney-general-race","tag-2026-cfo-race","tag-annette-taddeo","tag-attorney-general","tag-blaise-ingoglia","tag-cabinet-races","tag-chief-financial-officer","tag-division-of-elections","tag-early-voting","tag-florida-politics-poll","tag-general-election","tag-independents","tag-james-uthmeier","tag-jose-javier-rodriguez","tag-polls","tag-ron-desantis","tag-st-pete","tag-st-pete-headlines","tag-st-pete-news","tag-st-pete-polls","tag-st-petersburg","tag-st-petersburg-headlines","tag-st-petersburg-news","tag-vote-by-mail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440988","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=440988"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440988\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/440989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=440988"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=440988"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=440988"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}