{"id":64284,"date":"2025-11-29T08:23:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-29T08:23:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/64284\/"},"modified":"2025-11-29T08:23:14","modified_gmt":"2025-11-29T08:23:14","slug":"computer-model-reveals-week-14-college-football-picks-best-bets-for-nov-29","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/64284\/","title":{"rendered":"Computer model reveals Week 14 college football picks, best bets for Nov. 29"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The final week of the college football regular season has arrived, and several of Saturday&#8217;s games will have playoff implications, including a heated SEC rivalry featuring the Alabama Crimson Tide and Auburn Tigers at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Crimson Tide are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Auburn, but the Tigers are 5-1 against the spread in their previous six home games against Alabama. According to the latest Week 14\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/college-football\/odds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">college football odds<\/a>, the Crimson Tide are favored by 5.5 points on the road, while the over\/under for Alabama vs. Auburn is 48.5. SportsLine&#8217;s advanced computer model is backing Alabama, which is 5-0 in its last five games against Auburn, to cover the spread in 56% of simulations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The model is also backing Miami (-7) to cover the spread on the road against Pitt, while the Over (48.5) hits 63% of the time in North Carolina vs. NC State. Before locking in your Week 14 college football picks, be sure to check out the top college football\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting<\/a>\u00a0picks from SportsLine&#8217;s advanced computer model.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>New users can also target the all-new\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/draftkings-promo-code\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DraftKings promo code<\/a>, which offers\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=draftkings&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">$200 in bonus bets and three free months of NBA League Pass<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over\/under picks since the beginning of the 2024 season. Anybody following those\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/college-football\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">college football betting<\/a>\u00a0picks at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">sportsbooks<\/a>\u00a0and on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/betting\/news\/best-betting-apps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">betting sites<\/a>\u00a0could have seen strong returns.<\/p>\n<p>New users can also target the BetMGM bonus code, which offers\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=betmgm&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>Week 14 college football best bets for Saturday, Nov. 29 (odds subject to change):\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Alabama (-5.5) vs. AuburnMiami (-7) vs. PittUNC vs. NC State: Over 48.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Combining the model&#8217;s three picks into a Week 14 college football parlay would result in a payout of +573 (risk $100 to win $573). <a href=\"https:\/\/martech.cbssports.com\/bt\/redirect\/prod?b=caesars&amp;c=sport\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" class=\"mtech-link\">Bet it now at Caesars Sportsbook<\/a>:\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Alabama -5.5 vs. Auburn<\/p>\n<p>The Crimson Tide have won five straight against Auburn, and are 11-4 in their last 15 games on the road. Auburn, meanwhile, is just 2-6 in its past eight games and 1-7 in its previous eight matchups against an SEC opponent. Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson, who&#8217;s thrown for 2,934 yards and 22 touchdowns this season, has yet to throw an interception on the road, and SportsLine&#8217;s model is expecting he&#8217;ll lead the Crimson Tide to victory against Auburn. Alabama is projected to cover the spread in 56% of simulations on Saturday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Miami -7 vs. Pitt<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Hurricanes need a convincing victory on Saturday to bolster their chance of making the College Football Playoff. The Hurricanes are coming off a dominant 34-17 victory on the road at Virginia Tech last week behind a strong showing from quarterback Carson Beck, who threw for 320 yards and four touchdowns. Miami has won 14 of its past 17 meetings against Pitt, a trend SportsLine&#8217;s model is expecting to continue on Saturday. According to the model&#8217;s projections, Miami secures a 35-26 victory, helping the Hurricanes cover the spread in 56% of simulations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Over 48.5 points in UNC vs. NC State<\/p>\n<p>The Tar Heels have disappointed in Bill Belichick&#8217;s first season at the helm, entering Saturday&#8217;s in-state rivalry with just four wins. However, the total has gone over in each of the past five meetings between these rivals. The total has also gone over in 13 of NC State&#8217;s previous 18 games in ACC play. The Wolfpack have scored 48 or more points in two of their last three games at home, and SportsLine&#8217;s model is projecting these teams will combine for 56 points on Saturday, helping the Over hit in 63% of simulations.<\/p>\n<p>Want more Week 14 college football picks?<\/p>\n<p>You&#8217;ve seen the model&#8217;s Week 14 college football best bets for Saturday. Now, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportsline.com\/college-football\/picks\/#ttag=11292025_agg_cbssports_picks_football_CFB_model_Week14CFBbestbets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">get against the spread, total and money line picks for every Week 14 CFB game here, all from the model that&#8217;s simulated every game 10,000 times<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The final week of the college football regular season has arrived, and several of Saturday&#8217;s games will have&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":64285,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[2531,2534,4640,4631,4633,5920,4638,4637,143,123,4641,125,5079,124,10088,4676,1322,6761],"class_list":["post-64284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami","tag-alabama-crimson-tide","tag-auburn-tigers","tag-betting","tag-cfb-bets","tag-cfb-picks","tag-college-football-best-bets","tag-college-football-odds","tag-college-football-picks","tag-college-football","tag-miami","tag-miami-fla-hurricanes","tag-miami-headlines","tag-miami-hurricanes","tag-miami-news","tag-nc-state-wolfpack","tag-north-carolina-tar-heels","tag-pitt-panthers","tag-pittsburgh-panthers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64284","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=64284"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64284\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64285"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64284"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=64284"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=64284"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}