{"id":77036,"date":"2025-12-09T14:51:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T14:51:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/77036\/"},"modified":"2025-12-09T14:51:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T14:51:10","slug":"who-will-win-miami-mayoral-election-final-polls-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/77036\/","title":{"rendered":"Who will win\u00a0Miami mayoral election? Final polls, predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

Democrat<\/a> Eileen Higgins is tipped to beat Trump<\/a>-backed Republican<\/a> Emilio Gonz\u00e1lez in a runoff election for the officially nonpartisan position of Mayor for the City of Miami<\/a>, according to the latest polls and predictions.<\/p>\n

Why It Matters<\/p>\n

The 2025 Miami mayoral runoff marks a critical moment in both local and national politics. Miami, Florida<\/a>\u2019s second-largest city and a longtime Republican stronghold<\/a>, has not elected a Democratic mayor in almost 30 years. The contest between Higgins, a former county commissioner, and Gonz\u00e1lez, a former city manager, is being widely viewed as a bellwether for the 2026 midterms.\u00a0<\/p>\n

A victory for the Democrats could signal shifting political dynamics in Florida<\/a> and across the nation, especially as Miami-Dade County flipped Republican in the 2024 presidential cycle. Both the Democratic and Republican parties are closely watching the outcome, seeing the race as a test of their messaging and appeal to key constituencies, especially Hispanic and independent voters.<\/p>\n

\"\"What To Know<\/p>\n

The runoff election between Higgins and Gonz\u00e1lez will determine who leads Miami following a highly competitive first round of voting on November 4.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Higgins won 36 percent of the vote in the initial round<\/a>, with Gonz\u00e1lez trailing at 19 percent. Neither candidate secured enough votes to avoid a runoff in the crowded field of 13.<\/p>\n

Recent polls<\/a> overwhelmingly favor Higgins. A poll<\/a> by MDW Communications, conducted for her campaign<\/a> between October 14-18 with 307 likely Miami voters, found Higgins leading Gonz\u00e1lez by a margin of more than two-to-one\u201449.84 percent supporting Higgins versus 23.78 percent for Gonz\u00e1lez, with 26.38 percent undecided.\u00a0<\/p>\n

An APL Consulting poll of 307 voters, conducted November 21-24 on behalf of a political committee supportive of Gonz\u00e1lez’s campaign, indicated a tighter race<\/a>, with Higgins at 34 percent and Gonz\u00e1lez at 31 percent, within a margin of error of +\/- 5.9 points.<\/p>\n

Prediction markets echo polling trends. As of the latest update, betting platform Polymarket gives Higgins a 94 percent chance of winning, compared to Gonzalez’s 6 percent.\u00a0<\/p>\n

These probabilities reflect over $68,000 in trading volume and indicate the market\u2019s strong expectation of a Democratic victory.<\/p>\n

Key issues in the campaign include the high cost of housing, immigration<\/a> enforcement policies, and the pending legal battle over the proposed site of President Donald Trump\u2019s presidential library downtown, CNN reported.<\/p>\n

\"\"\"\"What People Are Saying <\/p>\n

Republican<\/a> Emilio Gonz\u00e1lez told CNN: \u201cMy opponent is keen on building, building, building. She wants to put a skyscraper in every corner \u2026 then calling it affordable housing, which is a misnomer, because very rarely is it truly affordable.\u201d<\/p>\n

Democrat<\/a> Eileen Higgins told CNN: \u201cThis is the first year ever where residents have told me they\u2019re afraid. I can\u2019t go an hour when I am at community events without meeting someone whose brother, sister, aunt, uncle, was either taken to Alligator Alcatraz or who knows where? They don\u2019t even know where they are.\u201d<\/p>\n

U.S. President Donald Trump endorsed Gonz\u00e1lez in a Truth Social post on November 16, saying: \u201cIt is my Great Honor to endorse Emilio T. Gonz\u00e1lez to be the next Mayor of the Beautiful City of Miami, Florida!\u2026 Emilio has dedicated his life to serving his Community\u2026 he will fight tirelessly to Grow the Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations\u2026 Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment.\u201d<\/p>\n

Miami Republican Executive Committeewoman Angie Wong told the Miami Herald: \u201cThis one may be a bellwether to predict what\u2019s going to happen in the midterms.\u201d<\/p>\n

Outgoing City Commissioner Joe Carollo said in a statement: \u201cIt is extremely important for a mayor of the city of Miami, or any major city, frankly, to work with both parties. The next mayor of the city, if they\u2019re serious about resolving the two major issues that we have \u2014 which is housing and transportation \u2014 has to work with whomever is in the White House<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n

What Happens Next<\/p>\n

The Miami mayoral runoff is set for December 9, with polls closing at 7 p.m.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The result will determine whether Miami elects its first Democratic mayor in nearly three decades, a shift that could reverberate in Florida and national politics heading into the 2026 midterms.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Democrat Eileen Higgins is tipped to beat Trump-backed Republican Emilio Gonz\u00e1lez in a runoff election for the officially…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":77037,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[37806,17532,409,43395,28,1841,123,125,3677,124,22306,23231,11103,2684,9102],"class_list":["post-77036","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-miami","tag-american-politics","tag-democrat","tag-donald-trump","tag-election-polls","tag-florida","tag-immigration","tag-miami","tag-miami-headlines","tag-miami-mayor","tag-miami-news","tag-poll","tag-polls","tag-republican","tag-trump","tag-white-house"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77036","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77036"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77036\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77036"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77036"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-fl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77036"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}