Dec. 26, 2025, 9:07 a.m. ET<\/p>\n
The Miami Heat<\/a> (15-15) visit the Atlanta Hawks<\/a> (15-16) Friday. Tip-off from State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia, is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s<\/a> NBA odds around the Heat vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions<\/a> for the best bets.<\/p>\n 2024-25 season series: Miami won 3-2 (including Play-In Tournament)<\/p>\n Miami was routed 112-91 by the Toronto Raptors<\/a> Tuesday while failing to cover as a 5.5-point home favorite with the Under (227.5) cashing. F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (21 points) and G Norman Powell (17) were the only Miami players to score over 15 points as the Heat struggled to find any offense in the loss. The Heat have lost 9 of their last 11 games, including each of their previous 3 contests.<\/p>\n Atlanta lost 126-123 to the Chicago Bulls<\/a> Tuesday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite with the Under (254.5) hitting. The Hawks led by as many as 10 points, but were outscored 34-18 in the final quarter of play to choke away the lead. The Hawks have lost 4 straight.<\/p>\n Watch the NBA on Fubo!<\/a>Heat at Hawks odds<\/p>\n Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook<\/a>; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub<\/a> for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n Moneyline (ML): Heat +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Hawks -150 (bet $150 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Heat +2.5 (-105) | Hawks -2.5 (-115)Over\/Under (O\/U): 248.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)Heat at Hawks key injuries<\/p>\n Heat<\/p>\n C\/F Bam Adebayo (back) questionableG Tyler Herro (toe) outF Keshad Johnson (illness) questioableF Nikola Jovic (elbow) probableG Pelle Larsson (ankle) probable<\/p>\n Hawks<\/p>\n F\/C Mouhamed Gueye (shoulder) questionableF Kristaps Porzingis (illness) out<\/p>\n For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report<\/a>.<\/p>\n Heat at Hawks picks and predictionsPrediction<\/p>\n Hawks 129, Heat 121<\/p>\n PASS.<\/p>\n With the Hawks not looking like the same team since the return of G Trae Young, the -150 risk isn’t worth it here. Instead, lay the few points for a much better price.<\/p>\n BET HAWKS -2.5 (-115).<\/p>\n The reason Atlanta is currently on a skid is because of its defense, which has given up an average of 135.5 points per game in their last 6 losses. However, in this matchup, that defense won’t be a problem as the Heat have failed to score over 100 points in 2 of their last 4 losses. Look for Atlanta’s offense to be too much for this Heat defense to handle, while the Heat won’t have enough offensively to keep up.<\/p>\n LEAN OVER 248.5 (-105).<\/p>\n The Over has hit in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games and is 18-13 for the Hawks this season. For Miami, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 games. The Over has also hit in all of the last 3 matchups between these squads.<\/p>\n While both units have struggled recently, it’s clear that Miami’s offense is still more dependable than Atlanta’s defense with Young on the court, so look for Miami to put up at least 115 points here to help the Over.<\/p>\n This is a lean because the Under is 7-3 in Miami’s last 10 games.<\/p>\n For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com<\/a> and BetFTW<\/a>.<\/p>\n Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter\/X<\/a> and like us on Facebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n Access more NBA coverage:<\/p>\n HoopsHype<\/a> | Celtics Wire<\/a> | Nets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Rockets Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Sixers Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Thunder Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0Warriors Wire<\/a>\u00a0| LeBron Wire<\/a> |\u00a0Rookie Wire<\/a>\u00a0|\u00a0List Wire<\/a><\/p>\n Our team of savvy editors independently handpicks all recommendations. If you purchase through our links, the USA Today Network may earn a commission. Prices were accurate at the time of publication but may change.<\/p>\n Gambling involves risk. Please only gamble with funds that you can comfortably afford to lose.\u202f While we do our utmost to offer good advice and information we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.\u202f We do our best to make sure all the information that we provide on this site is correct. However, from time to time mistakes will be made and we will not be held liable. Please check any stats or information if you are unsure how accurate they are. No guarantees are made with regards to results or financial gain. All forms of betting carry financial risk and it is up to the individual to make bets with or without the assistance of information provided on this site and we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of following the betting tips provided on this site.\u202f Past performances do not guarantee success in the future and betting odds fluctuate from one minute to the next. The material contained on this site is intended to inform, entertain and educate the reader and in no way represents an inducement to gamble legally or illegally or any sort of professional advice.<\/p>\n Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. Sports betting operators have no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Terms apply, see operator site for Terms and Conditions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24\/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside. It is your sole responsibility to act in accordance with your local laws.<\/p>\n