STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — While New York City will see snow this weekend, the question still remains: just how much snow will actually fall?
As of Friday morning, the National Weather Service forecast called for snowfall tallies ranging anywhere from 8 to 14 inches in and around the borough. AccuWeather believes the city will receive 4 to 8 inches of snow.
It’s clear that residents will need to shovel some snow, but what are the odds that the city actually receives over a foot of accumulation?
The weather service issued a series of maps Friday afternoon that provide some insight into the forecast probabilities of various snowfall amounts.
While there is a possibility that Staten Island picks up about 15 inches of snow, chances are that residents will see a final tally between 8 and 12 inches, according to the weather service.
Here are maps depicting the odds for various snowfall amounts throughout the city:
This National Weather Service graphic shows that there is a 90% probability that Staten Island receives at least 6-8 inches of snow between Friday, Jan. 23, and Monday, Jan. 26, 2026.(National Weather Service)
This National Weather Service graphic shows that there is a 10% chance that New York City receives at least 15 inches of snow between Friday, Jan. 23, and Monday, Jan. 26, 2026.(National Weather Service)
This National Weather Service graphic shows that there is a 70-80% probability that Staten Island receives at least 8 inches of snow between Friday, Jan. 23, and Monday, Jan. 26, 2026.(National Weather Service)
This National Weather Service graphic shows that there is a 30-40% probability that Staten Island receives at least 12 inches of snow between Friday, Jan. 23, and Monday, Jan. 26, 2026.(National Weather Service)