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New York Times stock update: recent returns and fundamentals
New York Times (NYT) has attracted attention after a recent move in its share price, with the stock closing at US$76.21 and showing mixed returns over the past month and past 3 months.
See our latest analysis for New York Times.
That short term pullback, with a 1 month share price return of down 3.2% and 3 month share price return of down 6.4%, sits alongside stronger momentum in the background. The year to date share price return is 9.2% and the 3 year total shareholder return is 116.2%.
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With NYT trading at US$76.21 and metrics such as an intrinsic discount of about 19% and a value score of 1 on the table, is this stock offering a genuine entry point, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 9.3% Undervalued
On the widely followed narrative, New York Times has a fair value estimate of $84 against a last close of $76.21, putting the current price at a discount.
Robust growth in digital subscriptions driven by an expanding portfolio of bundled offerings (news, Cooking, Games, The Athletic) and a focus on direct consumer relationships positions the company to capture more recurring revenue, strengthen ARPU, and reduce churn; this directly supports long-term revenue and margin expansion.
The fair value hinges on subscription scale, richer margins and a future earnings multiple that leans closer to premium media leaders than the broader sector.
Result: Fair Value of $84 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, there are clear pressure points, including potential traffic losses from AI driven content aggregators and higher content and talent costs that could squeeze margins if growth softens.
Find out about the key risks to this New York Times narrative.
Another way to look at valuation
The SWS DCF model points to a fair value of $94.02, with NYT trading at $76.21, which screens as undervalued on projected cash flows even though the current P/E of 32.3x sits well above the fair ratio of 21.2x and the media peer average. Which signal do you treat as more important?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
NYT Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2026 Next Steps
If this mix of upside potential and real risks leaves you unsure, take a closer look now and build your own view using 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include NYT.
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