An elevated threat for severe storms covers much of the tri-state area Friday afternoon and evening.
On a scale from 1 (low) to 5 (high), there is a Level 2 threat for the New York City metro Area, lower Hudson Valley, and north and central New Jersey. The Level 2 threat extends all the way southwest to the Washington, D.C. area
The main threat from Friday’s storms will be damaging straight-line wind gusts 60 miles per hour or higher. There is a lower risk for flash flooding. Tornadoes and hail are unlikely.
A severe thunderstorm watch was issued for all five boroughs as well as neighboring counties in New Jersey and the Hudson Valley until 9 p.m. Friday.
Storms could begin as early as mid-afternoon, during peak heating when temperatures are near 90 degrees. They will be isolated at first and become more numerous around dinner time through mid-evening.
This is when the wind and flood threats peak. After 9 p.m. the activity will become weaker and more isolated.
Rain totals will be under an inch in most places, but isolated areas could pick up a quick 2 to 4 inches, maybe more.
The atmosphere is laden with moisture, so the strongest storms will drop heavy rain that adds up quickly. Fortunately, these storms will be on the move and training — meaning multiple cells follow each other over the same area — is unlikely, which will keep rain totals somewhat in check.
Heading into the weekend, we’ll have a lower chance for showers and storms Saturday afternoon and evening. By Sunday, rain chances will be near zero in and around New York City.
Friday storm outlook: Hour-by-hour radar projections
