The latest monthly weather outlooks by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center indicate that there has been a shift in the forecast for November.
It now appears that what was initially believed to be a drier month in New York City could end up being wetter than average for a majority of the state.
According to a monthly precipitation outlook issued on Oct. 31, there is a 33% to 40% chance that the entirety of the state north and west of the Hudson Valley will experience a wetter November than usual.
Those in the Hudson Valley and south, including New York City, are given equal odds of generally recording either above-average or below-average precipitation amounts over the course of the month.
Typically, Central Park receives 3.58 inches of rain in November, according to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data from 1991 to 2020.
Previously, the monthly outlook issued on Oct. 16 indicated that upstate New York had equal chances of receiving either more or less rainfall amounts than usual in November.
The Oct. 16 monthly temperature outlook revealed that there were equal odds of temperatures falling either above average or below average throughout the state.
The monthly temperature outlook by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center reveals there is a chance it could be warmer than usual in parts of New York this November.(National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center)
The latest temperature outlook released on Oct. 31 now shows that there is a 33-40% probability of temperatures generally measuring above average this November in the northernmost and westernmost areas of New York.
There was no update to the forecast for the city, which is still given equal odds of experiencing above-average or below-average temperatures this November.
For reference, the mean average temperature for the month of November in the area around Central Park is 48 degrees Fahrenheit, according to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data.
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