PUNXSUTAWNEY, Pa. — On Monday, Feb. 2, Punxsutawney Phil, along with groundhogs across the country, will predict the fate of winter as the annual Groundhog Day tradition returns.

Pennsylvania’s groundhog, Punxsutawney Phil, will make his annual prediction from Gobbler’s Knob in western Pennsylvania.

Fans can watch the ceremony live on VisitPa.com beginning around 6 a.m., with Phil’s forecast expected shortly after sunrise at about 7:07 a.m.

On Groundhog Day, if the groundhog sees his shadow and returns underground, he’s predicting six more weeks of winter are on the way. If the groundhog remains above ground on a cloudy day and doesn’t see his shadow, then we can expect an early spring, according to groundhog lore.

Punxsutawney Phil’s accuracy

StormFax Weather Almanac reports Phil’s forecast accuracy rate of 39% for over 135 years.

During a 29-year span from 1988 to 2017, Phil was accurate 13 times, according to the data. Although some years were considered mixed, with colder-than-average temperatures in February followed by warmer-than-average conditions in March.

Over the course of 137 years, from 1887 to 2024, Phil predicted extended winters 107 and early springs 21 times, according to the numbers. Records of Phil’s prediction for 10 years during that time were not reported.

Staten Island’s own groundhog

For more than 130 years, Staten Island Chuck has predicted the season at the Staten Island Zoo in West Brighton.

Despite Phil’s popularity and long history, Chuck has maintained an 85% accuracy rate since the start of his career, according to caretakers at the Staten Island Zoo.

This year’s Groundhog Day ceremony will be closed to the public due to the weather. The ceremony will begin on Monday at 8 a.m. Fans of Chuck are invited to tune-in and watch the proceedings live on the Staten Island Zoo’s Facebook page.

The Staten Island Advance/SILive.com will also be on hand to cover the prediction. You’ll be able to catch the ceremony live from our Facebook page.

Chuck’s appearance and prediction are expected to occur at 8:30 a.m.