MLS Betting Preview: Philadelphia Union vs New York City
Philadelphia Union square off against New York City at Subaru Park, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Sunday 1 March.
We Expect Union to Deliver the Goods
Philadelphia have the capability of securing a victory when they clash with New York City. For this reason, we are going to take the Full-Time Result odds of -110 with a large degree of confidence.
Union Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head
Philadelphia Union suffered a defeat in their last MLS game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Audi Field against D.C. United. Bradley Carnell’s team had 52% possession and managed three shots on target.
On Friday, Philadelphia won 7-0 when hosting Defence Force in the Champions Cup.
New York City FC played LA Galaxy away at Dignity Health Sports Park in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw. The Pigeons had one shot on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, while Nicolas Fernandez was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
City overcame Philadelphia in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 1-0 scoreline away at Subaru Park. Philadelphia have seven wins in the last 10 H2H meetings, while City have secured three victories.
Philadelphia Union – Last 10 League Games
Philadelphia have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.8 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. The Union have averaged 46.7% possession and 5.9 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 4.7 corners from 7.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer Bruno Damiani has found the net 4 times, Indiana Vassilev 3, with Tai Baribo and two other players on 2. Milan Iloski is the leading assists maker on 4.
New York City – Last 10 League Games
City have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 5.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.
Nicolas Fernandez has landed 5 goals, Alonso Martinez 2, with Justin Haak and two others scoring 1. Maxi Moralez has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Philadelphia Union predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andre Blake (GK), Nathan Harriel, Olwethu Makhanya, Japhet Sery Larsen, Frankie Westfield, Milan Iloski, Danley Jean Jacques, Jesús Bueno, Indiana Vassilev, Stas Korzeniowski, Bruno Damiani.
New York City predicted lineup (5-4-1): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Raul Gustavo, Thiago Martins, Kai Trewin, Kevin OToole, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O’Neill, Hannes Wolf, Agustin Ojeda.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips
We bring you the complete Philadelphia Union vs New York City betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, key corners pick, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Philadelphia look like an attractive bet at -110 and we think they can win this MLS clash. We’ll place this wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.
Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest MLS team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.
Key Philadelphia Union vs New York City league stats:
Philadelphia have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.Philadelphia have won 12 of their last 19 games at home.Philadelphia have won 7 of their last 10 games against NYCFC.
Union to Win Probability
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for Bigger Odds?
There are lots of ways to get with Philly beyond the match winner market. This includes backing them to be leading at half-time and full-time and on the Asian Handicap.
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Our Match Prediction
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Published 22:57, 27 February 2026
Player Prop Picks
Indiana Vassilev (Philadelphia) has racked up three goals in his past nine MLS games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +400 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Latest Indiana Vassilev Player Prop Odds
Goalscorer
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has not been covered by New York City in their past four games, while Philadelphia have conceded 4.00 corners on average in their last 5 home matches. There is value when it comes to going under the City Team Corners line and this is available at -137.
League Games
Philadelphia
Total
10.60
5.90
4.70
Home
11.80
7.60
4.20
Away
8.20
4.20
4.00
New York City
Total
9.80
4.30
5.50
Home
9.80
5.90
3.90
Away
8.40
3.40
5.00
Latest Corner Odds
Total Corners
Philadelphia Corners
New York City Corners
Most Corners
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Union Trading at Shorter Odds Than City
With a 51% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Philadelphia Union are favourites to prosper in this MLS encounter and they’re available at -102 with the bookies. The market implies that New York City FC are the most unlikely to win at +265.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Philadelphia needing to win at -105 for your bet to be successful. City +0.5 at -123 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.
If you want to back how many goals will be scored, you can get similar odds on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. BTTS Yes is available at -137 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the MLS games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Full-Time Result
Half-Time Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Asian Handicap
Total Goals
Both Teams to Score
Bruno Damiani Favourite to Score the First Goal
The First Goalscorer favourite is Bruno Damiani at +525. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
Player Goals
Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)
Milan Iloski (Philadelphia)
Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)
AgustÃn Ojeda (NYCFC)
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Subaru Park
Philadelphia Proving Difficult to Beat on Home Soil
Philadelphia have secured seven wins, two draws and one defeat in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 0.60.
City have managed seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
When the teams previously met at Subaru Park, City defeated Philadelphia 1-0. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings at Subaru Park.
Philadelphia Union Home Stats
7-2-1
2.90
2.30
0.60
5
5
4
6
New York City Away Stats
7-1-2
3.20
1.80
1.40
5
5
6
4
W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
G = Avg. Goals
GF = Avg. Goals For
GA = Avg. Goals Against
O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
B-No = Matches BTTS No
Philadelphia Union vs New York City Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Philadelphia vs City team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed MLS lineups plus current injury reports.
Philadelphia Union Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
New York City Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Philadelphia Union Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
18
Andre Blake
26
Nathan Harriel
29
Olwethu Makhanya
46
Japhet Sery Larsen
39
Frankie Westfield
10
Milan Iloski
21
Danley Jean Jacques
8
Jesús Bueno
19
Indiana Vassilev
37
Stas Korzeniowski
9
Bruno Damiani
49
Matt Freese
24
Tayvon Gray
34
Raul Gustavo
13
Thiago Martins
5
Kai Trewin
22
Kevin OToole
7
N. Fernandez Mercau
10
Maxi Moralez
21
Aiden O’Neill
17
Hannes Wolf
26
Agustin Ojeda
New York City Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Previous Philadelphia Union Lineups
26 Feb
CONCACAF Champions Cup
Philadelphia
7-0
Defence Force
21 Feb
MLS
D.C. United
1-0
Philadelphia
18 Feb
CONCACAF Champions Cup
Defence Force
0-5
Philadelphia
23 Nov
MLS
Philadelphia
0-1
NYCFC
01 Nov
MLS
Chicago Fire
0-3
Philadelphia
26 Oct
MLS
Philadelphia
6-4
Chicago Fire
Previous New York City Lineups
22 Feb
MLS
LA Galaxy
1-1
NYCFC
29 Nov
MLS
Inter Miami
5-1
NYCFC
23 Nov
MLS
Philadelphia
0-1
NYCFC
07 Nov
MLS
Charlotte FC
1-3
NYCFC
01 Nov
MLS
NYCFC
6-7
Charlotte FC
28 Oct
MLS
Charlotte FC
0-1
NYCFC
Expert Analysis by Michael Davis
MLS Analyst
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Our football previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our Football Editorial Betting Panel and Editor-in-Chief.
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This preview was last updated on Mar 1, 04:38 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, predicted and confirmed lineups, advanced performance metrics and market movement.

All analysis is produced by professional analysts and reviewed by our Football Editorial Betting Panel for accuracy and consistency.
Historical performance for our main match predictions is tracked and updated regularly for transparency.
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