Jan. 5, 2026, 5:00 p.m. ET

The New York Giants closed out the regular season with a record of 4-13, a one-game improvement over their historically awful season in 2024. The net result? The No. 5 overall pick in the 2026 NFL draft.

Without a need for a quarterback, general manager Joe Schoen, who has been retained, can look to shore up several other areas of need. That provides him several options, including staying put at fifth overall or trading back for additional assets.

While the Giants would have been more well-positioned had they finished with the No. 1 or No. 2 overall pick, wheeling and dealing can not be entirely ruled out.

So, just how much is the No. 5 pick worth? Let’s take a look with some rough estimates.

Based on the Rich Hill model, the Giants’ fifth overall pick is worth 468 points. That is 532 less than the first overall pick and 249 less than the second overall pick.

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Choosing a team at random, if the Kansas City Chiefs desired a trade up to No. 5 overall, they would need to surrender their No. 9 pick (387 points) and then make up the difference of 81 points. That would theoretically be their third-round pick (64 points), fifth-round pick (12 points), and, potentially, a late-seventh-round pick in 2027.

Under the Fitzgerald-Spielberger model, the Giants’ fifth overall selection is worth 2,184 points. That is 816 less than the first overall pick and 465 less than the second overall pick.

If, say, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers desired to trade up from No. 15 overall, it would cost them that pick (1,628 points) and their fourth-round pick, No. 116 overall (591 points).

That trade would mildly favor the Giants, but the fall-off after Round 4 would make the value match more messy.

If the Buccaneers preferred to go that route, it would cost them No. 15 overall (1,628 points), No. 153 (451 points), and a seventh-round pick in the 2027 NFL draft.

Per the Jimmy Johnson model, the Giants’ fifth overall selection is worth 1,700 points. That is 1,300 less than the first overall pick and 900 less than the second overall pick.

Even if a team like the Browns wanted to move up a single spot, they would have to surrender their No. 6 overall pick (1,600 points), the No. 107 overall pick (80 points), and the No. 50 overall pick (31.4 points). Or they could swap the No. 50 pick and trade a fifth-round pick in the 2027 NFL draft.