{"id":10871,"date":"2025-10-21T16:38:15","date_gmt":"2025-10-21T16:38:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/10871\/"},"modified":"2025-10-21T16:38:15","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T16:38:15","slug":"what-will-winter-2025-bring-to-nyc-noaa-almanacs-disagree","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/10871\/","title":{"rendered":"What will winter 2025 bring to NYC? NOAA, almanacs disagree"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/winter-storm-coming.jpg\" alt=\"NYC weather: Winter outlook\" class=\"sr-only\" data-v-7a5d4fdb=\"\"\/>    <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">NEW YORK CITY &#8211; A battle is brewing between the long-range <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/tag\/weather\/winter-weather\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">winter outlooks<\/a> for the upcoming winter season in the New York City area.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">JUMP TO: <a href=\"#NOAA%20winter%20outlook\">NOAA<\/a> l <a href=\"#The%20Farmers'%20Almanac%20winter%20outlook\">FARMER&#8217;S ALMANAC<\/a> l <a href=\"#The%20Old%20Farmer's%20Almanac%20winter%20outlook\">OLD FARMER&#8217;S ALMANAC<\/a> l <a href=\"#Nick%20Gregory's%20winter%20outlook\">NICK GREGORY<\/a><\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">NOAA released its annual winter outlook last week. Meanwhile, both of the almanacs say they use their own proprietary, and secret, formulas to come up with their long-range forecasts. But this year, the forecasts they predicted are nearly the polar opposite. FOX 5 NY&#8217;s Nick Gregory also has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/weather-nyc-winter-outlook-snow-forecast-fall-season\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">winter prediction<\/a> of his own.<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/1761064694_985_winter-storm-coming.jpg\" alt=\"NEW YORK, NEW YORK - DECEMBER 21: People walk over the Gapstow Bridge as snow falls in Central Park on December 21, 2024 in New York City. (Photo by Craig T Fruchtman\/Getty Images)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">NEW YORK, NEW YORK &#8211; DECEMBER 21: People walk over the Gapstow Bridge as snow falls in Central Park on December 21, 2024 in New York City. (Photo by Craig T Fruchtman\/Getty Images)\u00a0 <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;Get ready to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/weather\/winter-weather-forecast-2026\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u2018chill, snow, repeat,\u2019&#8221;<\/a> The Farmers&#8217; Almanac says.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p original-article-post=\"\" origination_station=\"WNYW\" data-v-ec26887a=\"\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">What we know:<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">NOAA uses a mix of long-range climate computer models and atmospheric trends, such as the arrival of La Ni\u00f1a, to base its long-range outlooks.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">With that, NOAA anticipates a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weather.gov\/media\/abr\/sitreport\/2025-2026WinterOutlook.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">bone-chilling winter<\/a> for the northern tier and Upper Midwest, meaning the winter could be even more frigid than usual. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/outlook.jpg\" alt=\"NOAA's seasonal precipitation outlook for December 2025 to February 2026. (FOX Weather)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">NOAA&#8217;s seasonal precipitation outlook for December 2025 to February 2026. (FOX Weather) <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;This set of conditions does slightly elevate the potential for colder temperatures in the central and eastern U.S., so also supports favored below-normal temperatures in the Upper Midwest,&#8221; NOAA forecasters said.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.farmersalmanac.com\/extended-forecast\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Farmers&#8217; Almanac,<\/a> created in 1818, says the winter season calls for &#8220;dramatic swings and widespread winter weather.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/map.jpg\" alt=\"The Farmers' Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook. (FOX Weather)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">The Farmers&#8217; Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook. (FOX Weather) <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">It&#8217;s expected that the northern Plains to New England will experience the coldest temperatures. Residents on the East Coast should also expect significant rain mixed with snow.<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Unlike NOAA and The Farmers&#8217; Almanac, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.almanac.com\/winter-extended-forecast-farmers-almanac\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Old Farmer&#8217;s Almanac,<\/a> established in 1792, says it will be a calmer, gentler winter.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Temperatures are expected to be slightly milder across the country with extended dry stretches. But the Almanac says some regions should &#8220;brace for a sharper\u00a0chill.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/b782e883-map.jpg\" alt=\"Old Farmer's Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook. (Old Farmer's Almanac)\" data-v-0dea8073=\"\"\/> <\/p>\n<p data-v-0dea8073=\"\">Old Farmer&#8217;s Almanac 2025-26 winter outlook. (Old Farmer&#8217;s Almanac) <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;Don\u2019t lose track of your snow shovels and umbrellas,&#8221; says Editor Carol Connare. &#8220;Most areas will experience near-normal to slightly milder temperatures, but from the Appalachians south through the Southeast and Florida, and westward across the Ohio Valley, we\u2019re predicting a colder-than-normal winter.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">Gregory&#8217;s early call for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/news\/weather-nyc-winter-outlook-snow-forecast-fall-season\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">winter forecast<\/a> \u2013 it looks like a weak La Ni\u00f1a, which means it&#8217;s going to be milder than average weather with a colder first part of the winter. It also means it will be harder to predict its impacts.<\/p>\n<p> How much snow is expected this winter? <\/p>\n<p data-v-6fc2855c=\"\">&#8220;Certainly, I think we&#8217;ll have more snow in the recent years, probably a little closer to average,&#8221; Gregory says, with the average being 28 inches.<\/p>\n<p>     <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5ny.com\/tag\/weather\/winter-weather\" class=\"tags-tag\" data-v-6fc2855c=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Winter Weather<\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEW YORK CITY &#8211; A battle is brewing between the long-range winter outlooks for the upcoming winter season&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10872,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[9,12,56,63,65,64,133,5820],"class_list":{"0":"post-10871","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-city","8":"tag-new-york","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-ny","11":"tag-nyc","12":"tag-nyc-headlines","13":"tag-nyc-news","14":"tag-weather","15":"tag-winter-weather"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10871","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10871"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10871\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10871"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10871"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10871"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}