{"id":117298,"date":"2026-01-30T12:15:23","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T12:15:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/117298\/"},"modified":"2026-01-30T12:15:23","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T12:15:23","slug":"punxsutawney-phil-or-staten-island-chuck-whos-the-top-weather-forecaster-for-groundhog-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/117298\/","title":{"rendered":"Punxsutawney Phil or Staten Island Chuck: Who\u2019s the top weather forecaster for Groundhog Day?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"YFY56WRY3JA3PPEPDKADCEFSDI\">STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. &#8212; Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil and Staten Island Chuck go head-to-head in a long-running battle for prognosticating bragging rights. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"M6J7HSOMGRA4FKCGLNTZ7ODQDY\">Phil and Chuck will once again face off on Monday, Feb. 2.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"ECD2BH2XONHAPJI3WTZFNFZR3M\">The two famous groundhogs tasked with predicting the arrival of spring have drastically different statistical accuracy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"ZXLSWNXATJCG3EJARZOHYCMRWE\">Chuck is the most accurate groundhog, according to 2025 data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/heritage\/stories\/grading-groundhogs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"QMJWIOD2RNH6TCD4FI4GNVULRU\">Chuck boasts an 85% accuracy rate from the last 20 years, according to the NOAA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"FWIEVCIBWFBV7CTJGNZ7F7UUCE\">Chuck has been on the job at the Staten Island Zoo in West Brighton since 1981, and certainly hasn\u2019t been a perfect meteorologist. In 2017, students at PS 45 in West Brighton tracked local weather patterns and concluded that Chuck got it wrong. Before that, his last incorrect call was reportedly in 2009 \u2014 the same year he famously bit then-Mayor Michael Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"low\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"2009: Groundhog bit Bloomberg\" class=\"article__image-content\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/NWB73G7IJJB2TEYWROBARC3CSY.JPG\"  \/>In this 2009 photo, Mayor Michael Bloomberg tries to coax Chuck out of his den. The groundhog bit him before correctly predicting an early spring at the Staten Island Zoo.Toniann DiCostanzo<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"BKICGXAU6NE33C2YOHR4MAQJIM\">Punxsutawney Phil, meanwhile, has a significantly lower accuracy rate. The Pennsylvania groundhog has been delivering predictions from Gobbler\u2019s Knob since 1887, but according to the NOAA data, Phil\u2019s accuracy rate sits at just 35% over the last 20 years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"NHJ5MQOFR5HDVPF4CJDYED62TQ\">He was ranked the 17th most accurate groundhog last year.<\/p>\n<p>What actually determines whether a groundhog\u2019s prediction is correct?<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"5FTSXPBL7NB2HCZ4L7K4IIZR2U\">Tradition holds that if a groundhog emerges from its burrow and sees its shadow, the region is in for six more weeks of winter. If there\u2019s no shadow, an early spring is on the way.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"K2ZYYH5JQJCTDBBKMK5TEXEQDY\">To measure accuracy, the six weeks following Groundhog Day are analyzed. If there are more atypical weather days than typical ones, the prediction is considered an early spring. An atypical day is defined as one in which temperatures rise above 40 degrees. If typical days dominate, it counts as six more weeks of winter.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"WXB3ETFZPFEG5ALLFLR5NSVG4A\">In both 2024 and 2025, Chuck accurately predicted an early spring.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"D3ONMDPTDFDZPDL7TP47OFAA7U\">With Groundhog Day fast approaching, the pressure is once again on both Phil and Chuck to get it right. <\/p>\n<p class=\"article__paragraph article__paragraph--left\" id=\"NQV7ID56J5GYFB5DE7CGR7D4ZQ\">We\u2019ll find out on Monday morning at the Staten Island Zoo whether Chuck can add another win to his record.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. &#8212; Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil and Staten Island Chuck go head-to-head in a long-running&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":117299,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[9,24,63,137,134,136,135],"class_list":{"0":"post-117298","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-staten-island","8":"tag-new-york","9":"tag-new-york-city","10":"tag-nyc","11":"tag-processedbyclaro","12":"tag-staten-island","13":"tag-staten-island-headlines","14":"tag-staten-island-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117298"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117298\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117299"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}