{"id":119961,"date":"2026-02-02T13:44:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:44:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/119961\/"},"modified":"2026-02-02T13:44:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:44:16","slug":"staten-island-chuck-groundhog-day-prediction-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/119961\/","title":{"rendered":"Staten Island Chuck Groundhog Day prediction 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Punxsutawney Phil\u2019s pick is in! Did he call for an early spring, or six more weeks of winter?<\/a><\/p>\n

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. \u2014 There\u2019s \u201csnow\u201d way around it, the winter of our discontent will continue.<\/p>\n

Staten Island Chuck, easily the most accurate rodent prognosticator<\/a>, saw his shadow at the Staten Island Zoo\u2019s Groundhog Day ceremony in West Brighton on Monday. That means we\u2019re in for six more weeks of winter.<\/p>\n

*** For those watching on mobile or the app, click here<\/a>. ***<\/p>\n

This may come as no surprise to many, as this year\u2019s winter is hitting hard and doesn\u2019t seem to be loosening its grip. In fact, the annual event at the zoo was closed to the public Monday due to the harsh weather, <\/a>as New York City has been battling frigid temperatures after a major storm dumped almost a foot of snow on the borough just over a week ago.<\/p>\n

The 2026 prediction is also noteworthy as it snaps a 12-year long streak of Chuck calling for an early spring that dates back to 2014. <\/p>\n

Longtime Staten Islanders might also remember the 2014 prediction for other reasons, as it was also the year that then-Mayor Bill de Blasio accidentally dropped Staten Island Chuck<\/a>.<\/p>\n

As tradition goes, if the groundhog sees its shadow, there will be six more weeks of winter. If not, an early spring is on the way.<\/p>\n

The event, sponsored by Citizens, featured special guests, Staten Island elected officials, and students from Susan E. Wagner High School, Sea View, who will serve as Chuck\u2019s \u201cweather checkers.\u201d<\/p>\n

The students will monitor the weather for the next 45 days to determine if Chuck is accurate in his prediction.<\/p>\n

The ceremony, weather science school outreach, and care for the zoo\u2019s resident groundhog Chuck are made possible by the generosity of Citizens.<\/p>\n

If you missed the ceremony, you can watch it on our Facebook page<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Accuracy rate<\/p>\n

On Groundhog Day 2025, Punxsutawney Phil predicted six more weeks of winter after seeing his shadow at Gobbler\u2019s Knob<\/a>. Staten Island Chuck, however, again predicted an early spring<\/a>.<\/p>\n

According to the StormFax Weather Almanac<\/a>, Phil has an overall accuracy rate of 39% over 135 years. Chuck, on the other hand, has an 85% accuracy rate since he\u2019s been monitoring weather beginning in 1981. <\/p>\n

Chuck\u2019s accuracy isn\u2019t without some controversy though.<\/p>\n

Staten Island students typically track local weather from Feb. 2 through March, to see if Chuck\u2019s prediction holds up.<\/p>\n

Students at PS 45 in West Brighton said he was wrong in 2017.<\/a> <\/p>\n

Beyond that small bump in the road, Chuck\u2019s extended winter-or-early spring predictions have been on point for almost two decades; he was last officially wrong in 2009, the same year he bit former Mayor Michael Bloomberg<\/a>.<\/p>\n

History of the holiday<\/p>\n

The Groundhog Day tradition can be traced to Candlemas, an early Christian holiday where candles were blessed and distributed. Those who celebrated Candlemas decided that clear skies on the holiday meant a longer winter.<\/p>\n

When German immigrants arrived in Pennsylvania, they found a large number of groundhogs. And they tasked the groundhog, which resembles the European hedgehog, with the job of predicting the weather.<\/p>\n

The holiday started with the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, founded in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, in 1887. The editor of the Punxsutawney newspaper was a member of the club, and he claimed that Punxsutawney Phil was the only true weather-predicting groundhog.<\/p>\n

Chuck has been making his prediction for more than three decades; some years have been more eventful than others.<\/a><\/p>\n

“,”type”:”facebook-video”,”version”:”1.0″,”width”:500,”_id”:”https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/statenislandadvance\/videos\/1465863461600324\/”,”locale”:”en_US”},”referent”:{“id”:”https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/statenislandadvance\/videos\/1465863461600324\/”,”provider”:”https:\/\/graph.facebook.com\/v8.0\/oembed_video?url=”,”referent_properties”:{“locale”:”en_US”},”service”:”oembed”,”type”:”facebook-video”}},{“_id”:”HBPS2WKCOZGDVBXKRTOY6WB6BU”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”*** For those watching on mobile or the app, click here<\/a>. ***”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”F7LNZIRECBB5FIN7OEEKXEYYFU”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”This may come as no surprise to many, as this year\u2019s winter is hitting hard and doesn\u2019t seem to be loosening its grip. In fact, the annual event at the zoo was closed to the public Monday due to the harsh weather, <\/a>as New York City has been battling frigid temperatures after a major storm dumped almost a foot of snow on the borough just over a week ago.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”XJZQSOCIGNA6LGRBLBXSP4XT3E”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”The 2026 prediction is also noteworthy as it snaps a 12-year long streak of Chuck calling for an early spring that dates back to 2014. “,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”JIEZI3QFBBFQNP35FU2ENZJOQY”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Longtime Staten Islanders might also remember the 2014 prediction for other reasons, as it was also the year that then-Mayor Bill de Blasio accidentally dropped Staten Island Chuck<\/a>.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”R25T3A44WBGI7KQ56JHGVQJP5I”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”As tradition goes, if the groundhog sees its shadow, there will be six more weeks of winter. If not, an early spring is on the way.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”MF75LPUFIJBFXPV6MUBWK4HITQ”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”The event, sponsored by Citizens, featured special guests, Staten Island elected officials, and students from Susan E. Wagner High School, Sea View, who will serve as Chuck\u2019s \u201cweather checkers.\u201d”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”BEHTWG3INRGPRHIE6ITUFTNRKQ”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”The students will monitor the weather for the next 45 days to determine if Chuck is accurate in his prediction.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”QSXBTYJUVVDB7LTERJPIEZ7OH4″,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”The ceremony, weather science school outreach, and care for the zoo\u2019s resident groundhog Chuck are made possible by the generosity of Citizens.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”IS2WA3SJORFJTGTFFYQC3BSULA”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”If you missed the ceremony, you can watch it on our Facebook page<\/a>.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”JSQA4JCWS5G35G3HW57YJMNA5U”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Accuracy rate”,”level”:2,”type”:”header”},{“_id”:”HOCUUPPFHZDUZBODYIQ6E7K7QA”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”On Groundhog Day 2025, Punxsutawney Phil predicted six more weeks of winter after seeing his shadow at Gobbler\u2019s Knob<\/a>. Staten Island Chuck, however, again predicted an early spring<\/a>.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”CWLWAQAN35HFPJSTDJKQHON23Y”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”According to the StormFax Weather Almanac<\/a>, Phil has an overall accuracy rate of 39% over 135 years. Chuck, on the other hand, has an 85% accuracy rate since he\u2019s been monitoring weather beginning in 1981. “,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”YA5O52UWYZEIRFVLBJ737YEUSQ”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Chuck\u2019s accuracy isn\u2019t without some controversy though.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”F4YK2P2B6ZBZFBNM75RN2BHMXA”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Staten Island students typically track local weather from Feb. 2 through March, to see if Chuck\u2019s prediction holds up.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”AV7RPD7RFZDTFN5OEIFCPL5YVU”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Students at PS 45 in West Brighton said he was wrong in 2017.<\/a> “,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”HNAIJOGCCRDY3F4QYIV3IMXHEU”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Beyond that small bump in the road, Chuck\u2019s extended winter-or-early spring predictions have been on point for almost two decades; he was last officially wrong in 2009, the same year he bit former Mayor Michael Bloomberg<\/a>.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”U2JDGNNTWRF53OZMRHDRUFLVJE”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”History of the holiday”,”level”:2,”type”:”header”},{“_id”:”2J6CFQ6YN5HUBMH2RGKDCJ42EM”,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”The Groundhog Day tradition can be traced to Candlemas, an early Christian holiday where candles were blessed and distributed. 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The editor of the Punxsutawney newspaper was a member of the club, and he claimed that Punxsutawney Phil was the only true weather-predicting groundhog.”,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”SBODUAUZ6ZHTBM7U4XB2FRETA4″,”additional_properties”:{},”content”:”Chuck has been making his prediction for more than three decades; some years have been more eventful than others.<\/a>“,”type”:”text”},{“_id”:”HC2DX57C55A4HDVWOTX3TJD7PY”,”content”:””,”type”:”raw_html”}],”created_date”:”2026-01-29T21:41:40.567Z”,”credits”:{“by”:[{“_id”:”mike-matteo”,”type”:”author”,”version”:”0.5.8″,”name”:”Mike Matteo”,”image”:{“url”:”https:\/\/author-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub\/advancelocal\/bd697db8-ad01-4c0a-97b8-8f65c6813d1e.png”,”version”:”0.5.8″},”description”:”Mike Matteo is the transportation reporter for the Staten Island Advance and SILive.com.”,”url”:””,”slug”:””,”social_links”:[{“site”:”email”,”url”:”mmatteo@siadvance.com”}],”socialLinks”:[{“site”:”email”,”url”:”mmatteo@siadvance.com”,”deprecated”:true,”deprecation_msg”:”Please use social_links.”}],”additional_properties”:{“original”:{“_id”:”mike-matteo”,”firstName”:”Mike”,”lastName”:”Matteo”,”secondLastName”:””,”byline”:”Mike Matteo | mmatteo@siadvance.com”,”image”:”https:\/\/author-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub\/advancelocal\/bd697db8-ad01-4c0a-97b8-8f65c6813d1e.png”,”email”:”mmatteo@siadvance.com”,”affiliations”:””,”education”:[],”awards”:[],”books”:[],”podcasts”:[],”bio_page”:””,”bio”:”Mike Matteo is the transportation reporter for the Staten Island Advance and SILive.com.”,”longBio”:”Mike Matteo, a native Staten Islander, is the transportation reporter for the Staten Island Advance and SILive.com, covering everything from mass transit to potholes. He graduated from the Craig Newmark Graduate School of Journalism at CUNY in December 2023. Before working at the Advance, Matteo worked for five years in local government. \\n”,”slug”:””,”native_app_rendering”:false,”fuzzy_match”:false,”contributor”:false,”status”:true,”last_updated_date”:”2025-09-16T16:28:47.122Z”,”role”:”Traffic and Transportation Reporter”}}}]},”description”:{“basic”:”Are we in for more winter, or an early spring?”},”display_date”:”2026-02-02T13:29:45.522Z”,”distributor”:{“category”:”staff”,”name”:”advancelocal”,”subcategory”:””},”first_publish_date”:”2026-02-02T13:29:45.522Z”,”headlines”:{“basic”:”Groundhog Day 2026 prediction results: Did NYC\u2019s Staten Island Chuck see his shadow? 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