{"id":1232,"date":"2025-10-14T10:30:06","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T10:30:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/1232\/"},"modified":"2025-10-14T10:30:06","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T10:30:06","slug":"accuweather-experts-team-shares-winter-outlook-for-new-york","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/1232\/","title":{"rendered":"AccuWeather expert&#8217;s team shares winter outlook for New York"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img alt=\"Lancaster Street residents clear snow and ice from their walkways following a winter storm on\u00a0Feb. 17, 2025, in Albany. AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a near-normal amount of snowfall for much of New York and below-average snowfall for areas closer to the coast.\" loading=\"eager\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Lancaster Street residents clear snow and ice from their walkways following a winter storm on\u00a0Feb. 17, 2025, in Albany. AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a near-normal amount of snowfall for much of New York and below-average snowfall for areas closer to the coast.<\/p>\n<p>Will Waldron\/Times Union<\/p>\n<p>Parts of the western U.S. are seeing some of the first significant snows of the season this week. Between 1 and 3 feet of snow is expected in the higher peaks of the Sierra Nevada region, while a foot of snow could pile up in the Cascades of Washington.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-channels-pixel.ex.co\/events\/0012000001fxZm9AAE?integrationType=DEFAULT&amp;template=design%2Farticle%2Fplatypus_two_column.tpl\" alt=\"\" class=\"x1px y1px vh abs\" aria-hidden=\"true\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n<p>With these early signs of winter in the West, it seems like a good time to ask one of the country\u2019s largest private weather forecasting companies what they think this winter will look like in the Northeast.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather\u2019s winter forecast for the Northeast<\/p>\n<p>Long-range winter forecasting isn\u2019t for the faint of heart. It requires wrestling with the complexity and chaos of our atmosphere and its inherent unpredictability when looking forward for an extended period. Those challenges don\u2019t keep the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.accuweather.com\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">State College, Pennsylvania-based\u00a0AccuWeather<\/a> from sticking its neck out. They have been forecasting the country\u2019s weather for more than six decades.<\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather\u2019s Lead Long-Range Expert, Paul Pastelok, has many things to consider in his winter crystal ball before coming up with a seasonal forecast. The factors that influence his forecast include water temperature anomalies in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, as well as across the waters of the Gulf. The forecast of a La Ni\u00f1a is also something to consider.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MM_onlineOnly\" title=\"CCI Online Only\">Live map: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesunion.com\/projects\/new-york-weather\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Real-time weather across New York<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p class=\"MM_onlineOnly\" title=\"CCI Online Only\">How much rain did we get?\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesunion.com\/projects\/new-york-snow-rain-storm-totals\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Regional storm totals<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"The influence of a La Ni\u00f1a on the winter weather pattern in the Northern Hemisphere.\" loading=\"lazy\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The influence of a La Ni\u00f1a on the winter weather pattern in the Northern Hemisphere.<\/p>\n<p>NOAAClimate.gov<\/p>\n<p>These are examples of\u00a0teleconnections. Teleconnections describe distant climate relationships, patterns in one part of the world that influence weather far across the globe. We have already discussed how <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesunion.com\/weather\/article\/warm-blob-help-bring-snow-capital-region-21053274.php\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an expansive warm blob<\/a> of water, stretching from near Japan to the west coast of the U.S, and measuring nearly as big as our country, could help tip the scales in favor of a harsh winter for the East.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"AccuWeather\u2019s forecast of snowfall departure for this winter.\" loading=\"lazy\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather\u2019s forecast of snowfall departure for this winter.<\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather<\/p>\n<p>Pastelok and his forecast team at AccuWeather have taken all these things and more into account in their forecast for the winter of 2025-2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>The bottom line for this winter\u2019s snowfall forecast in the Northeast is below-average snowfall for the coast and near-normal snowfall further inland.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"AccuWeather\u2019s winter snowfall forecast for some selected cities.\" loading=\"lazy\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather\u2019s winter snowfall forecast for some selected cities.<\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNear average snow, perhaps below average near the coast,\u201d is what Pastelok says he expects for New York.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNovember and December temperature above average, just occasional cold shots, but not persistent,\u201d he said when reached via email. \u201cJanuary can feature more ice, some snow, some rain. \u00a0February can be colder and probably more snow.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p class=\"MM_onlineOnly\" title=\"CCI Online Only\">Live New York flood tracker: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesunion.com\/projects\/new-york-flood-map\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">See river levels, storm alerts, radar<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"MM_onlineOnly\" title=\"CCI Online Only\">Interactive: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesunion.com\/projects\/2021\/power-outage-tracker\/\" data-link=\"native\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">New York Power Outage Tracker<\/a><\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather is calling for 17-21 inches of snow in New York City this winter. The average snowfall for NYC is 29.8 inches. Buffalo is forecast to receive 90-100 inches of snow this winter, compared to an average of 95.4 inches.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"AccuWeather\u2019s temperature departure forecast for this winter.\" loading=\"lazy\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather\u2019s temperature departure forecast for this winter.<\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather<\/p>\n<p>AccuWeather expects the biggest departures from average on the cold side will stay west of New York, targeting portions of the northern plains, Upper Midwest, and Great Lakes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Nearly all of the Northeast and New York is forecast to see near-normal temperatures this winter. The exceptions include along the immediate coast from Boston to Long Island and southward into Philadelphia, where temperatures should be between 1 and 2 degrees above average.<\/p>\n<p>Milder Decembers due to climate change have meant a tendency toward mild winters overall in the Northeast, according to\u00a0Pastelok.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSnowfall has been less near the East Coast or (Interstate) 95 corridor in the last 5-10 years,\u201d Pastelok noted. \u201cSnow pack is thinning quickly in the late winter and early spring, leading to drought and a higher fire threat in the spring.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Here comes the sun<\/p>\n<p>But there aren\u2019t any signs of winter yet in our forecast. The first nor\u2019easter of the season will continue to drift further offshore into the Atlantic today, allowing for cloud cover to finally break a bit. A northwest flow aloft will continue to usher in cool air out of Canada for the next few days.<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Temperatures will warm slightly by the weekend before a cold front brings in a reinforcing shot of cooler air for the start of next week.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"The National Blend of Models\u2019 daily high and low temperature forecast.\" loading=\"lazy\"   style=\"aspect-ratio:3 \/ 2\" class=\"x100 y100 opc bgpc ofcv bgscv block bg-gray200 mnh0px fill\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The National Blend of Models\u2019 daily high and low temperature forecast.<\/p>\n<p>WeatherBELL<\/p>\n<p>That cold front could bring our next good chance for rain after a few morning sprinkles or light showers today. Clouds should break for some peeks of sunshine this afternoon. More abundant October sunshine is expected Wednesday through Friday.<\/p>\n<p>The Capital Region and Hudson Valley\u2019s week ahead<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: A few showers early, partly to mostly cloudy, high lower 60s<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Clouds, then partial clearing, breezy, high in the lower to middle 60s<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday night<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Mostly cloudy, low in the middle 40s<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Partly cloudy, low in the middle 40s<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Sun and cloud mix, high near 60<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Partly to mostly sunny, high in the lower 60s<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday night<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Mainly clear, low in the middle to upper 30s<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Mainly clear, low near 40<\/p>\n<p>Thursday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Mostly sunny, high in the middle 50s<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Plenty of sunshine, high in the upper 50s<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Friday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Mostly sunny, highs in the middle to upper 50s<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Sunny skies, highs near 60<\/p>\n<p>Saturday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Sun and cloud mix, high in the lower 60s<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Mostly sunny, high in the middle 60s<\/p>\n<p>Sunday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Partly sunny, shower possible late, high near 70<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: Partly to mostly cloudy, shower possible late, high near 70<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n<p>Monday<\/p>\n<p>Capital Region: Showers possible early, partly to mostly cloudy, high near 60<\/p>\n<p>Hudson Valley: A few morning showers, then partial clearing, high in the lower 60s<\/p>\n<p class=\"uiTextSmall f aic jcc\">Article continues below this ad<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Lancaster Street residents clear snow and ice from their walkways following a winter storm on\u00a0Feb. 17, 2025, in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1233,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[844,610,9,11,10,133],"class_list":{"0":"post-1232","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york","8":"tag-latestnews","9":"tag-local","10":"tag-new-york","11":"tag-new-york-headlines","12":"tag-new-york-news","13":"tag-weather"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1232","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1232"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1232\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1232"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1232"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1232"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}