{"id":139010,"date":"2026-02-19T18:24:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T18:24:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/139010\/"},"modified":"2026-02-19T18:24:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T18:24:08","slug":"n-y-weather-will-noreaster-hit-nyc-forecast-models-split-on-storm-track-snow-projections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/139010\/","title":{"rendered":"N.Y. weather: Will nor\u2019easter hit NYC? Forecast models split on storm track, snow projections"},"content":{"rendered":"

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. \u2014 New York City could dodge a frosty bullet or it could end up with half a foot of snow from a nor\u2019easter set to develop this weekend.<\/p>\n

Although John Murray, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service<\/a>, is monitoring the potential for half an inch of rain on Friday and some light snow Saturday, he believes Sunday\u2019s storm could yield the greatest impact.<\/p>\n

The \u201cpotentially strong\u201d coastal storm is expected to develop offshore Sunday night into Monday, but great uncertainty remains over just how impactful this storm will be.<\/p>\n

As of Thursday morning, some model solutions show the nor\u2019easter tracking farther south and east of the city, resulting in no snow. Meanwhile, there are other solutions which show a \u201ctypical nor\u2019easter track\u201d in which the city receives \u201ca significant amount of snow\u201d \u2014 potentially 6 inches or more.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt looks potentially that there is a possibility that we could have some significant, impactful snowfall and gusty winds as well for Sunday,\u201d Murray told the Advance\/SILive.com.<\/p>\n

Dan Pydynowski, a senior meteorologist with AccuWeather<\/a>, reiterated the influence the track of the storm will have on ultimate snowfall tallies.<\/p>\n

\u201cRight now, we think the most likely outcome for the New York City area is sort of a general 1 to 3 inches of snow. And that would fall \u2014 it could start falling during the day on Sunday and then continue into Sunday night and Monday morning before it wraps up,” he said. \u201cBest chance for accumulation may be Sunday evening and Sunday night when it gets a little bit colder.\u201d<\/p>\n

Pydynowski noted that any snow that does come down during the day Sunday may have trouble sticking as temperatures may be just above freezing.<\/p>\n

Murray said temperatures will remain near their daily average in the coming days. Sunday is forecast to feature a high in the upper 30s and lows right around freezing (32 degrees Fahrenheit).<\/p>\n

In addition to snow, the nor\u2019easter is forecast to bring wind gusts of up to around 35 mph on Sunday, particularly for those along the coastline, according to Murray.<\/p>\n

Should the storm strengthen enough, it could bring about gale force winds, which Murray explained could include gusts of around 40 mph.<\/p>\n

Even if the storm were to miss the city, Pydynowski is confident the five boroughs will still experience heightened winds from the coastal storm.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is still going to turn windy, probably winds start increasing later in the day on Sunday and we see strong winds continuing Sunday night and throughout the day on Monday,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n

As of Thursday morning, Pydynowski forecasts winds of 15-25 mph with elevated gusts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. \u2014 New York City could dodge a frosty bullet or it could end up with…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":139011,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[9,24,63,134,136,135],"class_list":["post-139010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-staten-island","tag-new-york","tag-new-york-city","tag-nyc","tag-staten-island","tag-staten-island-headlines","tag-staten-island-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139010","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=139010"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139010\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/139011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=139010"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=139010"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=139010"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}