{"id":141119,"date":"2026-02-21T18:01:08","date_gmt":"2026-02-21T18:01:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/141119\/"},"modified":"2026-02-21T18:01:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-21T18:01:08","slug":"n-y-weather-when-will-snow-start-in-nyc-when-will-it-get-bad-forecaster-lays-out-blizzard-timeline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/141119\/","title":{"rendered":"N.Y. weather: When will snow start in NYC? When will it get bad? Forecaster lays out blizzard timeline"},"content":{"rendered":"

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. \u2014 A major nor\u2019easter is forecast to deliver a significant amount of snowfall to New York City this weekend.<\/p>\n

Snow could begin falling in the city as early as \u201clunchtime\u201d Sunday, according to Tom Kines, a senior meteorologist with AccuWeather<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u201cHaving said that, I don\u2019t think there\u2019s many problems tomorrow afternoon from the snow,\u201d Kines told the Advance\/SILive.com. \u201cI think temperatures are going to be a little bit above freezing, so while it is going to be snowing \u2014 at least on the roads, it\u2019s going to have a real tough time accumulating.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"\u2018N.Y.People shovel their cars out of the snow on Oakwood Avenue near Forest Avenue in West Brighton in January.(Advance\/SILive.com | Jan Somma-Hammel)<\/p>\n

It\u2019s around 5 p.m. that Kines said residents will need to worry about snow accumulation on the roads.<\/p>\n

\u201cAnd also as we get into the overnight hours the precipitation intensity is going to pick up,\u201d he added. \u201cThere\u2019s going to be a time tomorrow night when it\u2019s snowing pretty hard out there.\u201d<\/p>\n

The National Weather Service<\/a> foresees the heaviest snow coming down between 7 p.m. Sunday and noon on Monday. Snowfall rates late Sunday into Monday morning could even exceed 2 inches per hour.<\/p>\n

Snow will taper off Monday morning, but Kines believes the Monday morning commute will be \u201chorrendous\u201d due to the wind and snow.<\/p>\n

\u201cNot a good recipe for a pleasant morning commute,\u201d he noted.<\/p>\n

\"NWS:This National Weather Service graphic shows there is at least a 50% chance that New York City will receive 6 or more inches of snow between Saturday, Feb. 21, through Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026.(National Weather Service)The snowfall forecast<\/p>\n

As of Saturday morning, Kines explained that the snowfall forecast for the city is a general 6-12 inches. While there is confidence there will be at least 6 inches, he said there is \u201ccertainly potential\u201d for the five boroughs to receive over a foot of accumulation.<\/p>\n

\u201cA lot of times with these rapidly intensifying storms \u2014 which this one will be \u2014 you do get bands of very heavy snow,” Kines explained. \u201cIf you\u2019re underneath one of those bands of heavy snow for three or four hours and the snow is coming down at an inch or 2 an hour, right there you can see how you could pick up 6-8 inches in a rather short period of time.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cWhether there\u2019s 10 inches or 15 inches, the impact is the same, okay? It\u2019s terrible,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n

As of Saturday morning, the National Weather Service forecasts that the city will receive upwards of 15 inches of snow<\/a>. There is a 10% chance snowfall exceeds 24 inches on Staten Island and a 90% chance the borough gets at least an inch of accumulation, according to the National Weather Service.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think a lot of people would be surprised in the weather world if this storm all of a sudden, you know, shifted far enough off the coast that we didn\u2019t get much snow,\u201d Kines told the Advance\/SILive.com.<\/p>\n

In addition to snow, Kines foresees wind gusts of up to 50 mph Sunday night. The weather service forecasts sustained winds of 25-35 mph with gusts of 45-55 mph Sunday night.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s not out of the question that there\u2019s some power outages that take place,\u201d said Kines.<\/p>\n

Minor to moderate coastal flooding is also possible Sunday night into Monday morning with the high tide, the weather service explained.<\/p>\n

Given these anticipated conditions, the National Weather Service has issued a blizzard warning for the city<\/a>. The warning will go into effect at 6 a.m. Sunday and remain in place until about 6 p.m. Monday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. \u2014 A major nor\u2019easter is forecast to deliver a significant amount of snowfall to New…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141120,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[9,56,63,65,64,137],"class_list":{"0":"post-141119","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-city","8":"tag-new-york","9":"tag-ny","10":"tag-nyc","11":"tag-nyc-headlines","12":"tag-nyc-news","13":"tag-processedbyclaro"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141119","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141119"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141119\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/141120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/us-ny\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}